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Fresno State vs CSU Bakersfield Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 61-58
24-17 37-41
Position#304
Record5-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game73.4
vs
Position#280
Record4-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game70.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Fresno State v CSU Bakersfield
30 Nov 2025
FRES71
CSU 76
15 Dec 2023
FRES61
CSU 58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSU Bakersfield winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#238
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A08/03
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#432
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H07/11
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A12/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#308
W
87-68
87
68
+19
H16/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
81-76 OT
81
76
+5
A22/11
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
64-95
64
95
-31
H23/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#189
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H28/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
56-85
56
85
-29
A02/12
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H06/12
NCAA
Pacific
#361
W
89-56
89
56
+33
H10/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-36
36-31
33-24
44-42
22-31
47-48
43-26
44-42
28-32
41-37
23-51
41-44
31-29
34-40
23-36
33-49
42-35
37-32
42-23
47-33
146.0Avg total
73.2Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.173.4147.6+0.756%
Season at home (6)76.870.2147.0+6.767%
Season away (3)68.780.0148.7-11.333%
Last 10 (10)73.272.8146.0+0.450%
Last 5 (5)70.674.4145.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)64.572.0136.5-7.527%
vs Similar (13)68.266.2134.5+2.054%
vs Weaker (2)83.061.0144.0+22.0100%
This opponent (CSU Bakersfield) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSU BakersfieldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Irvine
#65
L
51-75
51
75
-24
A09/03
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H07/11
NCAA
USC
#249
L
59-85
59
85
-26
A10/11
NCAA
California
#283
L
63-83
63
83
-20
A14/11
NCAA
Saint Katherine
#522
W
77-44
77
44
+33
H16/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A20/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A22/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#21
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A29/11
NCAA
Whittier
#626
W
106-58
106
58
+48
H06/12
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#299
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A10/12
NCAA
1H
2H
18-36
33-39
34-36
39-36
23-47
36-38
34-49
29-34
36-20
41-24
30-38
45-33
24-29
16-30
29-44
36-37
55-30
51-28
30-46
43-32
138.8Avg total
68.2Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)70.170.1140.2+0.044%
Season at home (3)85.358.0143.3+27.3100%
Season away (6)62.576.2138.7-13.717%
Last 10 (10)68.270.6138.8-2.440%
Last 5 (5)71.869.4141.2+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)58.171.2129.3-13.16%
vs Similar (12)66.466.9133.3-0.567%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)77.044.0121.0+33.0100%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: -6.2-6.22nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: +3.8+3.8
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: -6.2-6.22nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: +3.8+3.8
Fresno StateCSU Bakersfield
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#238
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A08/03
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#432
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H07/11
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A12/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#308
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H16/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A22/11
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
23-51
23
51
-28
H23/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#189
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H28/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A02/12
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H06/12
NCAA
Pacific
#361
W
42-23
42
23
+19
H10/12
NCAA
63.9Avg total
31.6Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.232.463.6-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.630.163.7+3.675%-
Last 30 away (14)28.435.163.5-6.87%-
Last 10 (10)31.632.363.9-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)32.234.867.0-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)30.634.765.3-4.140%-
vs Similar (13)30.831.262.0-0.338%-
vs Weaker (2)37.523.561.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (CSU Bakersfield) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSU BakersfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Irvine
#65
L
18-36
18
36
-18
A09/03
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H07/11
NCAA
USC
#249
L
23-47
23
47
-24
A10/11
NCAA
California
#283
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A14/11
NCAA
Saint Katherine
#522
W
36-20
36
20
+16
H16/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A20/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A22/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#21
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A29/11
NCAA
Whittier
#626
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H06/12
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#299
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A10/12
NCAA
68.8Avg total
31.3Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.933.961.8-6.020%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.630.161.8+1.543%-
Last 30 away (16)24.637.261.8-12.60%-
Last 10 (10)31.337.568.8-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)33.637.471.0-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)25.434.960.4-9.512%-
vs Similar (12)28.234.062.2-5.817%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)36.020.056.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Fresno State wins
0
CSU Bakersfield wins
DateGameScore
21/12/22CSU Bakersfield v Fresno State48-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HPacific89-56
06/12/23HIdaho State79-67
02/12/23ABrigham Young56-85
28/11/23HUC Santa Barbara65-69
23/11/23HJames Madison64-95
22/11/23ANew Mexico State81-76 OT
16/11/23HMorgan State87-68
12/11/23AKent State69-79
07/11/23HFresno Pacific77-66
08/03/23AColorado State65-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23ASouth Dakota Coyotes73-78
06/12/23HWhittier106-58
29/11/23AGonzaga65-81
22/11/23ATarleton40-59
20/11/23ASacramento State75-71
16/11/23HSaint Katherine77-44
14/11/23ACalifornia63-83
10/11/23AUSC59-85
07/11/23HSouthern Utah73-72
09/03/23AUC Irvine51-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW56%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %56%67%33%
Points / game74.176.868.7
Allowed / game73.470.280.0
Point differential+0.7+6.7-11.3
Avg total147.6147.0148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %11%0%33%
CSU Bakersfield
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL44%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %44%100%17%
Points / game70.185.362.5
Allowed / game70.158.076.2
Point differential+0.0+27.3-13.7
Avg total140.2143.3138.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1110191%83.966.9+17.0
2 New Mexico1110191%84.968.5+16.4
3 Colorado State109190%83.370.5+12.8
4 Nevada98189%79.064.6+14.4
5 Grand Canyon98189%78.968.3+10.6
6 San Diego State108280%76.167.9+8.2
7 Boise State107370%75.265.9+9.3
8 Air Force107370%67.862.1+5.7
9 Wyoming96367%76.669.8+6.8
10 Fresno State95456%74.173.4+0.7
11 San Jose State116555%75.369.1+6.2
12 UNLV84450%73.873.1+0.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hawaii76186%79.166.4+12.7
2 CS Northridge107370%80.469.3+11.1
3 Long Beach State117464%78.576.5+2.1
4 UC Santa Barbara85362%83.175.8+7.4
5 UC Irvine106460%76.566.4+10.1
6 CS Fullerton106460%68.366.4+1.9
7 UC San Diego105550%76.869.5+7.3
8 CSU Bakersfield94544%70.170.1+0.0
9 UC Riverside104640%67.971.8-3.9
10 Cal Poly103730%66.274.9-8.7
11 UC Davis72529%68.772.9-4.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fresno State243761
CSU Bakersfield174158
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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