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Utah State vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 87-75 (OT)
35-36 35-34 17-5
Position#17
Record26-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game69.6
Utah State 🏆
USA
vs
Fresno State
USA
Position#304
Record12-20
FormLLLLW
Points / game67.4
Allowed / game73.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Utah State v Fresno State
10 Feb 2026
UTAH91
FRES78
14 Jan 2026
UTAH v FRES
upcoming
04 Jan 2025
UTAH89
FRES83
14 Mar 2024
UTAH87
FRES75
20 Jan 2024
UTAH83
FRES62
31 Dec 2022
UTAH67
FRES54
07 Dec 2019
UTAH77
FRES70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#48
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A03/02
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
63-77
63
77
-14
H07/02
NCAA
Boise State
#70
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H11/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A15/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
55-75
55
75
-20
A17/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
77-73 OT
77
73
+4
A28/02
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H02/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
90-70
90
70
+20
A07/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
36-42
31-39
27-36
36-41
41-30
39-31
39-43
45-33
26-43
29-32
31-26
37-37
30-25
35-40
43-30
29-30
53-37
37-33
39-44
48-41
146.4Avg total
74.3Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)79.969.6149.5+10.384%
Season at home (17)81.065.5146.5+15.594%
Season away (14)78.574.6153.1+3.971%
Last 10 (10)74.372.1146.4+2.270%
Last 5 (5)78.870.2149.0+8.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)73.974.7148.6-0.967%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)84.566.9151.4+17.6100%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#335
W
69-57
69
57
+12
A07/02
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A10/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
65-67
65
67
-2
H15/02
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
66-90
66
90
-24
A18/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
41-73
41
73
-32
H25/02
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
73-77 OT
73
77
-4
H28/02
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A02/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
58-79
58
79
-21
A07/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
47-86
47
86
-39
H10/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A13/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-33
35-24
28-28
40-38
32-29
33-38
33-48
33-42
16-42
25-31
25-30
40-35
24-37
42-37
24-37
34-42
30-46
17-40
33-40
44-33
137.2Avg total
63.0Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)67.473.5140.9-6.138%
Season at home (17)69.172.1141.2-3.041%
Season away (15)65.575.1140.6-9.533%
Last 10 (10)63.074.2137.2-11.230%
Last 5 (5)64.277.8142.0-13.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)62.675.7138.3-13.014%
vs Similar (7)77.969.4147.3+8.4100%
vs Weaker (1)89.056.0145.0+33.0100%
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: -9.1-9.12nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: -1.7-1.7
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: -9.1-9.12nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: -1.7-1.7
Utah StateFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#48
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A03/02
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H07/02
NCAA
Boise State
#70
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H11/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A15/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A17/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A28/02
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H02/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A07/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H10/03
NCAA
72.1Avg total
36.5Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.634.872.3+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.832.670.4+5.175%-
Last 30 away (14)37.437.274.6+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)36.535.672.1+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)39.232.471.6+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)34.537.772.1-3.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.332.172.4+8.293%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#335
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A07/02
NCAA
Air Force
#331
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A10/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H15/02
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A18/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
16-42
16
42
-26
H25/02
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H28/02
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A02/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A07/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H10/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A13/03
NCAA
64.9Avg total
27.9Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.235.265.5-5.030%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.535.166.6-3.638%-
Last 30 away (14)28.835.464.2-6.621%-
Last 10 (10)27.937.064.9-9.120%-
Last 5 (5)27.238.065.2-10.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)28.536.865.3-8.323%-
vs Similar (7)34.032.066.0+2.043%-
vs Weaker (1)42.023.065.0+19.0100%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Utah State wins
1
Fresno State wins
DateGameScore
28/02/24Fresno State v Utah State73-77 OT
20/01/24Utah State v Fresno State83-62
29/01/23Fresno State v Utah State53-70
31/12/22Utah State v Fresno State67-54
19/01/22Fresno State v Utah State61-54
07/03/21Fresno State v Utah State51-57
05/02/21Fresno State v Utah State53-69
16/02/20Fresno State v Utah State59-71
07/12/19Utah State v Fresno State77-70 OT
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24HNew Mexico87-85
07/03/24ASan Jose State90-70
02/03/24HAir Force72-60
28/02/24AFresno State77-73 OT
21/02/24HSan Diego State68-63
17/02/24AColorado State55-75
15/02/24AWyoming84-76
11/02/24HBoise State80-61
07/02/24HNevada63-77
03/02/24ASan Diego State67-81
Fresno Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/24AWyoming77-73
10/03/24HWyoming47-86
07/03/24ANew Mexico58-79
02/03/24ANevada66-74
28/02/24HUtah State73-77 OT
25/02/24HSan Diego State41-73
18/02/24ABoise State66-90
15/02/24HUNLV65-67
10/02/24AAir Force68-66
07/02/24ASan Jose State69-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW84%
HomeLWWWW94%
AwayLWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %84%94%71%
Points / game79.981.078.5
Allowed / game69.665.574.6
Point differential+10.3+15.5+3.9
Avg total149.5146.5153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%65%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (9)100% (4)100% (5)
Overtime %10%0%21%
Fresno State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW38%
HomeLLLLL41%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %38%41%33%
Points / game67.469.165.5
Allowed / game73.572.175.1
Point differential-6.1-3.0-9.5
Avg total140.9141.2140.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%29%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)29% (7)80% (5)
Overtime %9%12%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grand Canyon3127487%79.566.5+13.0
2 Utah State3126584%79.969.6+10.3
3 Nevada3226681%76.466.5+9.9
4 New Mexico3223972%82.671.2+11.3
5 Colorado State3223972%76.667.9+8.7
6 Boise State3122971%76.167.3+8.9
7 San Diego State3122971%74.766.3+8.4
8 UNLV30191163%73.367.6+5.7
9 Wyoming32151747%72.874.5-1.6
10 Fresno State32122038%67.473.5-6.1
11 Air Force3192229%66.272.4-6.2
12 San Jose State3292328%69.675.1-5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Utah State35351787
Fresno State3634575
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