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Fresno State vs UC San Diego Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 73-78
30-42 43-36
Position#275
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game60.0
Fresno State
USA
vs
UC San Diego 🏆
USA
Position#64
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game66.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UC San Diego winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#165
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H16/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
60-83
60
83
-23
A19/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
L
69-72 OT
69
72
-3
A22/02
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
61-66
61
66
-5
H02/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H05/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
68-92
68
92
-24
A08/03
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A12/03
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#524
W
88-51
88
51
+37
H04/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
L
66-67
66
67
-1
H06/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
82-62
82
62
+20
H08/11
NCAA
1H
2H
18-26
33-26
23-43
37-40
32-31
29-30
26-27
35-39
27-24
35-34
32-42
36-50
32-44
39-42
42-29
46-22
36-25
30-42
28-20
54-42
136.7Avg total
67.8Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.760.0138.7+18.767%
Season at home (3)78.760.0138.7+18.767%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)67.868.9136.7-1.130%
Last 5 (5)75.071.6146.6+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)69.883.6153.3-13.84%
vs Similar (5)72.866.2139.0+6.660%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (UC San Diego) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC San DiegoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#218
W
83-44
83
44
+39
H23/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A28/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
100-55
100
55
+45
H02/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H07/03
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
W
68-57
68
57
+11
A09/03
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
W
69-51
69
51
+18
H15/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H16/03
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A21/03
NCAA
La Verne
#483
W
105-73
105
73
+32
H04/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H09/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-17
41-27
37-30
40-41
49-17
51-38
33-23
37-40
34-22
34-35
26-27
43-24
31-33
44-28
27-41
38-27
47-30
58-43
35-21
43-39
139.3Avg total
79.0Scored
60.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)91.566.5158.0+25.0100%
Season at home (2)91.566.5158.0+25.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.060.3139.3+18.790%
Last 5 (5)78.462.6141.0+15.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)80.860.9141.7+19.990%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: +10.0+10.02nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: +8.7+8.7
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: +10.0+10.02nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: +8.7+8.7
Fresno StateUC San Diego
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#165
L
18-26
18
26
-8
H16/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A19/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A22/02
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H02/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H05/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A08/03
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A12/03
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#524
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H04/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H06/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
28-20
28
20
+8
H08/11
NCAA
60.7Avg total
29.6Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.436.266.7-5.827%-
Last 30 at home (16)30.931.962.8-1.138%-
Last 30 away (14)29.941.171.1-11.214%-
Last 10 (10)29.631.160.7-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)34.032.066.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)29.238.467.6-9.112%-
vs Similar (5)33.827.461.2+6.480%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (UC San Diego) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC San DiegoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#218
W
42-17
42
17
+25
H23/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A28/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
49-17
49
17
+32
H02/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H07/03
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
W
34-22
34
22
+12
A09/03
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H15/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H16/03
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A21/03
NCAA
La Verne
#483
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H04/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H09/11
NCAA
62.2Avg total
36.1Scored
26.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.228.968.1+10.373%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.227.269.5+15.075%-
Last 30 away (14)35.730.866.5+4.971%-
Last 10 (10)36.126.162.2+10.070%-
Last 5 (5)33.230.463.6+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)38.928.967.8+10.172%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fresno State wins
0
UC San Diego wins
No previous meetings.
Fresno Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25HLong Beach State82-62
06/11/25HUSC Upstate66-67
04/11/25HFresno Pacific88-51
12/03/25ANevada71-86
08/03/25ASan Jose State68-92
05/03/25HWyoming62-58
02/03/25HBoise State61-66
22/02/25AAir Force69-72 OT
19/02/25ASan Diego State60-83
16/02/25HUNLV51-52
UC San Diegolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25HHouston Christian78-60
04/11/25HLa Verne105-73
21/03/25AMichigan65-68
16/03/25HUC Irvine75-61
15/03/25HUC Santa Barbara69-51
09/03/25AUC Davis68-57
07/03/25HLong Beach State70-63
02/03/25HCS Fullerton100-55
28/02/25ACS Northridge77-71
23/02/25HHawaii83-44

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWLW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game78.778.7-
Allowed / game60.060.0-
Point differential+18.7+18.7-
Avg total138.7138.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
UC San Diego
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game91.591.5-
Allowed / game66.566.5-
Point differential+25.0+25.0-
Avg total158.0158.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State220100%95.065.5+29.5
2 Colorado State220100%97.569.0+28.5
3 San Diego State220100%75.051.0+24.0
4 New Mexico330100%77.359.3+18.0
5 Wyoming330100%90.074.0+16.0
6 Nevada220100%77.563.5+14.0
7 Fresno State32167%78.760.0+18.7
8 Boise State32167%88.073.7+14.3
9 Grand Canyon32167%86.373.3+13.0
10 UNLV31233%91.785.7+6.0
11 San Jose State2020%74.584.5-10.0
12 Air Force3030%63.076.3-13.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC San Diego220100%91.566.5+25.0
2 UC Santa Barbara330100%91.776.0+15.7
3 UC Irvine32167%105.360.3+45.0
4 UC Davis32167%79.768.0+11.7
5 UC Riverside32167%77.367.0+10.3
6 CSU Bakersfield32167%72.368.7+3.7
7 Cal Poly32167%79.381.3-2.0
8 Hawaii21150%79.567.0+12.5
9 CS Northridge42250%79.279.8-0.5
10 CS Fullerton31233%94.389.0+5.3
11 Long Beach State2020%53.579.5-26.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fresno State304373
UC San Diego423678
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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