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Air Force vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 72-69 (OT)
31-32 30-29 11-8
Position#367
Record3-23
FormLLLLL
Points / game62.3
Allowed / game72.5
Air Force 🏆
USA
vs
Fresno State
USA
Position#358
Record5-22
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game81.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Air Force v Fresno State
31 Jan 2026
AIR 62
FRES79
22 Feb 2025
AIR 72
FRES69
10 Feb 2024
AIR 66
FRES68
21 Feb 2023
AIR 69
FRES74
22 Feb 2022
AIR 40
FRES65
13 Feb 2021
AIR 64
FRES67
11 Feb 2021
AIR 63
FRES69
28 Jan 2020
AIR 68
FRES79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Air Force winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#189
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A15/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A18/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
76-77 OT
76
77
-1
H23/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
58-87
58
87
-29
H25/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
58-79
58
79
-21
A29/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A01/02
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
60-74
60
74
-14
H05/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
53-88
53
88
-35
H08/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
52-77
52
77
-25
A12/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-33
27-35
24-41
41-33
31-35
37-33
33-42
25-45
37-38
21-41
29-37
35-38
28-30
32-44
24-34
29-54
22-44
30-33
38-28
24-41
137.8Avg total
61.0Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)62.372.5134.8-10.112%
Season at home (14)64.271.1135.4-6.921%
Season away (12)60.274.0134.2-13.80%
Last 10 (10)61.076.8137.8-15.80%
Last 5 (5)58.276.6134.8-18.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)62.373.1135.4-10.810%
vs Similar ◀ (1)65.074.0139.0-9.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#367
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
67-95
67
95
-28
A20/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H26/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
72-83 OT
72
83
-11
A29/01
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
60-82
60
82
-22
A01/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
H05/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H08/02
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
69-94
69
94
-25
A11/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H16/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
60-83
60
83
-23
A19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
41-24
33-41
27-45
40-50
31-33
33-36
30-31
37-36
26-44
34-38
29-31
38-36
31-50
50-39
31-41
38-53
18-26
33-26
23-43
37-40
149.5Avg total
68.9Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)71.681.8153.4-10.219%
Season at home (13)73.877.7151.5-3.931%
Season away (14)69.685.6155.1-16.07%
Last 10 (10)68.980.6149.5-11.710%
Last 5 (5)70.482.4152.8-12.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)70.083.5153.5-13.68%
vs Similar ◀ (4)78.270.5148.8+7.8100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Air Force) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -6.1-6.11st half: -8.1-8.12nd half2nd half: -9.6-9.62nd half: -2.2-2.2
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -6.1-6.11st half: -8.1-8.12nd half2nd half: -9.6-9.62nd half: -2.2-2.2
Air ForceFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#189
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A15/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A18/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H23/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H25/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A29/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A01/02
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H05/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H08/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
22-44
22
44
-22
A12/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A19/02
NCAA
66.3Avg total
30.1Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.134.863.9-5.727%-
Last 30 at home (15)29.733.262.9-3.533%-
Last 30 away (15)28.536.464.9-7.920%-
Last 10 (10)30.136.266.3-6.120%-
Last 5 (5)28.234.662.8-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)29.334.663.9-5.328%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)24.041.065.0-17.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#367
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A20/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H26/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A29/01
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A01/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H05/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H08/02
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A11/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
18-26
18
26
-8
H16/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A19/02
NCAA
65.5Avg total
28.7Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.238.469.7-7.217%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.036.168.1-4.121%-
Last 30 away (16)30.640.571.1-9.912%-
Last 10 (10)28.736.865.5-8.110%-
Last 5 (5)26.438.264.6-11.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)30.139.169.2-9.012%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)38.534.072.5+4.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Air Force) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Air Force wins
8
Fresno State wins
DateGameScore
18/01/25Fresno State v Air Force74-65
10/02/24Air Force v Fresno State66-68
28/01/24Fresno State v Air Force84-70
22/02/23Air Force v Fresno State69-74
15/01/23Fresno State v Air Force48-51
23/02/22Air Force v Fresno State40-65
13/02/21Air Force v Fresno State64-67
12/02/21Air Force v Fresno State63-69
04/03/20Fresno State v Air Force70-77
20/02/20Fresno State v Air Force71-62
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/25AWyoming62-69
12/02/25AUNLV52-77
08/02/25HNew Mexico53-88
05/02/25HNevada60-74
01/02/25ASan Jose State64-75
29/01/25AColorado State58-79
25/01/25HUtah State58-87
23/01/25HSan Diego State76-77 OT
18/01/25AFresno State65-74
15/01/25ANevada62-68
Fresno Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/25ASan Diego State60-83
16/02/25HUNLV51-52
11/02/25ANevada69-94
08/02/25HUtah State81-89
05/02/25HSan Jose State91-94 OT
01/02/25ABoise State60-82
29/01/25AWyoming72-83 OT
26/01/25HColorado State64-69
20/01/25ANew Mexico67-95
18/01/25HAir Force74-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Air Force
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeLLLLL21%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %12%21%0%
Points / game62.364.260.2
Allowed / game72.571.174.0
Point differential-10.1-6.9-13.8
Avg total134.8135.4134.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Fresno State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL19%
HomeWLLLL31%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %19%31%7%
Points / game71.673.869.6
Allowed / game81.877.785.6
Point differential-10.2-3.9-16.0
Avg total153.4151.5155.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %15%23%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2723485%82.669.4+13.1
2 New Mexico2722581%83.071.6+11.4
3 Grand Canyon2519676%78.668.5+10.1
4 San Diego State2418675%71.362.5+8.8
5 Boise State2618869%76.366.2+10.2
6 Colorado State2617965%74.768.9+5.8
7 Nevada26151158%73.367.7+5.6
8 UNLV26141254%70.068.6+1.4
9 Wyoming27121544%67.770.8-3.1
10 San Jose State28121643%72.773.9-1.2
11 Fresno State2752219%71.681.8-10.2
12 Air Force2632312%62.372.5-10.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Air Force31301172
Fresno State3229869
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