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Fresno State vs UNLV Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 51-52
18-26 33-26
Position#358
Record5-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game82.9
vs
UNLV 🏆
USA
Position#165
Record13-12
FormLLLWW
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game69.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Fresno State v UNLV
03 Feb 2026
FRES98
UNLV96
15 Feb 2025
FRES51
UNLV52
14 Feb 2024
FRES65
UNLV67
21 Jan 2023
FRES76
UNLV63
16 Feb 2022
FRES57
UNLV60
04 Dec 2019
FRES80
UNLV81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UNLV winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#49
L
64-91
64
91
-27
A08/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
66-77 OT
66
77
-11
H12/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
67-95
67
95
-28
A20/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H26/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
72-83 OT
72
83
-11
A29/01
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
60-82
60
82
-22
A01/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
H05/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H08/02
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
69-94
69
94
-25
A11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
26-49
38-42
31-30
33-34
41-24
33-41
27-45
40-50
31-33
33-36
30-31
37-36
26-44
34-38
29-31
38-36
31-50
50-39
31-41
38-53
154.7Avg total
70.8Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)72.982.9155.8-10.020%
Season at home (12)75.779.8155.5-4.233%
Season away (13)70.385.8156.1-15.58%
Last 10 (10)70.883.9154.7-13.110%
Last 5 (5)74.688.4163.0-13.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)70.584.2154.7-13.88%
vs Similar (4)78.270.5148.8+7.8100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (UNLV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#49
L
62-84
62
84
-22
A11/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H16/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A19/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H22/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H25/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A30/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A02/02
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
62-71
62
71
-9
H05/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
68-57
68
57
+11
A08/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
77-52
77
52
+25
H12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-46
27-38
32-30
33-32
31-23
45-45
24-25
37-38
39-39
34-36
24-33
47-43
30-33
35-38
29-33
33-38
30-23
38-34
44-22
33-30
135.9Avg total
68.0Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)70.769.3140.0+1.452%
Season at home (16)72.568.1140.6+4.462%
Season away (9)67.671.6139.1-4.033%
Last 10 (10)68.067.9135.9+0.140%
Last 5 (5)68.665.4134.0+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)66.576.4142.9-9.917%
vs Similar (10)73.169.5142.6+3.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)74.661.6136.1+13.086%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -7.5-7.51st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: -1.0-1.0
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -7.5-7.51st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: -1.0-1.0
Fresno StateUNLV
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#49
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A08/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H12/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A20/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H26/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A29/01
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A01/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H05/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H08/02
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A11/02
NCAA
68.1Avg total
30.3Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.538.670.1-7.117%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.136.869.9-3.823%-
Last 30 away (17)30.239.970.2-9.712%-
Last 10 (10)30.337.868.1-7.520%-
Last 5 (5)29.439.468.8-10.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)30.439.369.7-8.912%-
vs Similar (4)38.534.072.5+4.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (UNLV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#49
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A11/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H16/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A19/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
24-25
24
25
-1
H22/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H25/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A30/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A02/02
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H05/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
30-23
30
23
+7
A08/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
44-22
44
22
+22
H12/02
NCAA
62.5Avg total
31.8Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.531.965.4+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.830.266.0+5.667%-
Last 30 away (12)30.034.564.5-4.533%-
Last 10 (10)31.830.762.5+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)31.428.860.2+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)30.136.066.1-5.933%-
vs Similar (10)34.331.665.9+2.760%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)37.724.662.3+13.186%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Fresno State wins
6
UNLV wins
DateGameScore
29/12/24UNLV v Fresno State87-77
15/02/24Fresno State v UNLV65-67
31/01/24UNLV v Fresno State78-69
04/02/23UNLV v Fresno State79-82
21/01/23Fresno State v UNLV76-63
17/02/22Fresno State v UNLV57-60
15/01/22UNLV v Fresno State68-73
27/02/21UNLV v Fresno State68-67
25/02/21UNLV v Fresno State64-67
09/02/20UNLV v Fresno State68-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/25ANevada69-94
08/02/25HUtah State81-89
05/02/25HSan Jose State91-94 OT
01/02/25ABoise State60-82
29/01/25AWyoming72-83 OT
26/01/25HColorado State64-69
20/01/25ANew Mexico67-95
18/01/25HAir Force74-65
12/01/25HNevada66-77 OT
08/01/25AColorado State64-91
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/25HAir Force77-52
08/02/25AWyoming68-57
05/02/25HBoise State62-71
02/02/25ANevada65-71
30/01/25AUtah State71-76
25/01/25HNew Mexico73-75
22/01/25HWyoming61-63
19/01/25ASan Diego State76-68
16/01/25HUtah State65-62
11/01/25AColorado State62-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %20%33%8%
Points / game72.975.770.3
Allowed / game82.979.885.8
Point differential-10.0-4.2-15.5
Avg total155.8155.5156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %16%25%8%
UNLV
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW52%
HomeWLLLW62%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25169
Win %52%62%33%
Points / game70.772.567.6
Allowed / game69.368.171.6
Point differential+1.4+4.4-4.0
Avg total140.0140.6139.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%38%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)25% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2522388%81.869.4+12.4
2 New Mexico2521484%83.270.7+12.5
3 Grand Canyon2519676%78.668.5+10.1
4 San Diego State2216673%71.163.3+7.8
5 Boise State2417771%77.265.8+11.4
6 Colorado State2516964%74.568.8+5.7
7 Nevada25151060%73.467.2+6.1
8 UNLV25131252%70.769.3+1.4
9 San Jose State27121544%73.372.8+0.5
10 Wyoming26111542%67.671.1-3.5
11 Fresno State2552020%72.982.9-10.0
12 Air Force2532212%62.472.6-10.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fresno State183351
UNLV262652
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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