On 3 November 2026 the LNBP will feature Fuerza Regia hosting the Astros, a matchup that pits a team on a sharp downturn against one that has been on a perfect run; Fuerza Regia's last five games include only one win, whereas the Astros have won all five of theirs. Fuerza Regia finish the season 22-13, averaging 90.4 points scored and 86.9 allowed, and sit fourth in the league, while the Astros are 26-8, averaging 88.7 points scored and 80.2 allowed, and sit second. In home-only play Fuerza Regia are 11-6, scoring 88.9 and allowing 87.2, and on the road the Astros are 12-4, scoring 90.2 and allowing 81.1. Their head-to-head record is 6-4 in favour of the Astros, who last beat Fuerza Regia 83-69 on 2 November. Pythia gives the Astros a 58% chance to win versus 42% for Fuerza Regia, projecting a 85-87 score and a total of 172.3 points, with a 5% chance of overtime. The Astros have won every recent encounter, including the most recent home win 97-90.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (35) | 90.4 | 86.9 | 177.2 | +3.5 | 63% |
| Season at home (17) | 88.9 | 87.2 | 176.2 | +1.7 | 65% |
| Season away (18) | 91.7 | 86.5 | 178.2 | +5.2 | 61% |
| Last 10 (10) | 91.6 | 92.3 | 183.9 | -0.7 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 94.0 | 98.6 | 192.6 | -4.6 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (7) | 84.3 | 87.7 | 172.0 | -3.4 | 29% |
| vs Similar (9) | 95.0 | 94.2 | 189.2 | +0.8 | 56% |
| vs Weaker (14) | 92.5 | 81.2 | 173.7 | +11.3 | 86% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (34) | 88.7 | 80.2 | 168.9 | +8.5 | 76% |
| Season at home (18) | 87.4 | 79.4 | 166.8 | +8.0 | 78% |
| Season away (16) | 90.2 | 81.1 | 171.3 | +9.1 | 75% |
| Last 10 (10) | 90.0 | 80.5 | 170.5 | +9.5 | 90% |
| Last 5 (5) | 88.6 | 80.6 | 169.2 | +8.0 | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 78.5 | 82.0 | 160.5 | -3.5 | 50% |
| vs Similar | no games | ||||
| vs Weaker ◀ (28) | 89.8 | 79.9 | 169.6 | +9.9 | 79% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 85.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.9 | 43.5 | 87.4 | +0.4 | 43% | 60% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 44.1 | 41.9 | 86.1 | +2.2 | 50% | 64% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 43.7 | 44.8 | 88.5 | -1.1 | 38% | 56% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.4 | 47.1 | 90.5 | -3.7 | 20% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.0 | 47.0 | 92.0 | -2.0 | 20% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (7) | 39.7 | 45.0 | 84.7 | -5.3 | 0% | 43% |
| vs Similar (9) | 46.3 | 48.6 | 94.9 | -2.2 | 33% | 89% |
| vs Weaker (14) | 44.4 | 39.4 | 83.9 | +5.0 | 71% | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 85.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 45.1 | 39.9 | 85.0 | +5.3 | 73% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 44.1 | 40.6 | 84.8 | +3.5 | 62% | 38% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 46.3 | 39.0 | 85.3 | +7.3 | 86% | 64% |
| Last 10 (10) | 46.0 | 40.2 | 86.2 | +5.8 | 90% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 46.4 | 40.4 | 86.8 | +6.0 | 80% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 39.5 | 44.5 | 84.0 | -5.0 | 0% | 50% |
| vs Similar | no games | |||||
| vs Weaker ◀ (28) | 45.5 | 39.5 | 85.1 | +6.0 | 79% | 50% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Astros +4 | 70.5% | 1.43 | 1.56 | 1.52 | 1.34 | 1.30 | - | +12.4pp | Won |
| Astros +4.5 | 71.5% | 1.41 | 1.52 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.28 | 1.24 | +11.8pp | Won |
| Astros +9.5 | 84.6% | 1.22 | 1.25 | 1.19 | - | - | - | +11.2pp | Won |
| Fuerza Regia under 92.5 | 76.7% | 1.40 | 1.42 | 1.38 | - | - | - | +11.0pp | Won |
| Astros +5.5 | 74.6% | 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.44 | 1.42 | 1.24 | - | +10.8pp | Won |
| Astros +6.5 | 77.5% | 1.28 | 1.36 | 1.20 | - | - | - | +10.0pp | Won |
| Astros +7.5 | 80.1% | 1.25 | 1.31 | 1.19 | - | - | - | +9.8pp | Won |
| Fuerza Regia under 94.5 | 82.0% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +9.7pp | Won |
| Astros +5 | 73.8% | 1.39 | 1.46 | 1.45 | 1.25 | - | - | +9.6pp | Won |
| Fuerza Regia under 90.5 | 70.6% | 1.47 | 1.55 | 1.52 | 1.34 | - | - | +9.4pp | Won |
| Under 181.5 | 71.6% | 1.45 | 1.52 | 1.44 | 1.39 | - | - | +9.2pp | Won |
| Under 186.5 | 80.6% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +9.1pp | Won |
| Fuerza Regia under 97.5 | 88.4% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +8.9pp | Won |
| Fuerza Regia under 96.5 | 86.5% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +8.7pp | Won |
| Fuerza Regia under 98.5 | 90.0% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +8.6pp | Won |
| Under 191.5 | 87.4% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +8.5pp | Won |
| Astros +8.5 | 82.5% | 1.24 | 1.26 | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | +8.3pp | Won |
| Under 182.5 | 73.6% | 1.38 | 1.40 | 1.35 | - | - | - | +8.1pp | Won |
| Fuerza Regia under 91.5 | 73.7% | 1.38 | 1.47 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +8.0pp | Won |
| Under 185.5 | 78.9% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +7.5pp | Won |
| Astros under 99.5 | 88.0% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +7.5pp | Won |
| Under 190.5 | 86.2% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| Fuerza Regia under 100.5 | 92.9% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| Astros under 98.5 | 86.0% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +7.1pp | Won |
| Astros +18.5 | 95.9% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Won |
| Astros +13.5 | 91.2% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Astros under 95.5 | 78.6% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| Astros +23.5 | 98.2% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| Under 196.5 | 92.2% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| Astros under 97.5 | 83.8% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Won |
| Under 195.5 | 91.4% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Won |
| Astros over 76.5 | 85.3% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Under 200.5 | 94.8% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Astros under 93.5 | 72.6% | 1.35 | 1.40 | 1.31 | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| Fuerza Regia +21.5 | 94.7% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Astros over 70.5 | 94.9% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Under 188.5 | 83.5% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Under 198.5 | 93.6% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +4.6pp | Won |
| Astros over 72.5 | 92.5% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| Under 183.5 | 75.4% | 1.33 | 1.34 | 1.31 | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| Astros over 71.5 | 93.8% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Under 193.5 | 89.5% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| Astros over 74.5 | 89.3% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Astros under 96.5 | 81.3% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Won |
| Astros over 73.5 | 91.0% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Won |
| Fuerza Regia +16.5 | 88.9% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Over 148.5 | 92.4% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +2.8pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 94.7% | 1.02 | 1.04 | 1.03 | 1.02 | 1.01 | - | +2.6pp | - |
| Astros over 77.5 | 83.0% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +2.5pp | Won |
| Astros over 75.5 | 87.5% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +2.4pp | Won |
| Astros over 81.5 | 71.3% | 1.33 | 1.40 | 1.31 | 1.28 | - | - | +2.1pp | Won |
| Fuerza Regia over 71.5 | 90.3% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +2.0pp | Won |
| Astros over 78.5 | 80.4% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +1.5pp | Won |
| Astros over 79.5 | 77.6% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +1.4pp | Won |
| Over 150.5 | 90.5% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +1.1pp | Won |
| Fuerza Regia over 72.5 | 88.5% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +1.0pp | Won |
| Fuerza Regia +11.5 | 78.8% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +1.0pp | Won |
| Over 153.5 | 87.0% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +0.9pp | Won |
| Fuerza Regia over 73.5 | 86.5% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +0.4pp | Won |
| Fuerza Regia over 75.5 | 81.8% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +0.3pp | Won |
| Fuerza Regia +8.5 | 70.2% | 1.31 | 1.35 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +0.2pp | Won |
| Over 151.5 | 89.4% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +0.0pp | Won |
| Fuerza Regia over 74.5 | 84.3% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -0.1pp | Won |
| Over 158.5 | 79.3% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -0.2pp | Won |
| Fuerza Regia over 76.5 | 79.1% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | -1.4pp | Won |
| Over 155.5 | 84.2% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -1.9pp | Won |
| Fuerza Regia over 77.5 | 76.2% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | -2.7pp | Lost |
| Fuerza Regia over 78.5 | 73.0% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | -3.1pp | Lost |
| Over 160.5 | 75.6% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | -3.2pp | Lost |
| Over 156.5 | 82.6% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -3.4pp | Won |
| Over 161.5 | 73.7% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | -5.2pp | Lost |
| Astros +9 | 84.3% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Astros +8 | 82.0% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Astros +7 | 79.6% | 1.17 | 1.17 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Under 184.5 | 77.2% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Astros +6 | 76.8% | 1.21 | 1.21 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Under 184 | 76.8% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Fuerza Regia +10.5 | 76.1% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Fuerza Regia +10 | 75.4% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Under 183 | 75.0% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Fuerza Regia +9.5 | 73.3% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Under 182 | 73.0% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Fuerza Regia +9 | 72.4% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Under 181 | 71.0% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.0 | 21.2 | 54.1% | 42.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 26.4 | 10.5 | 34.8% | 31.5 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.4 | 15.8 | 71.7% | 15.8 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.2 | 20.5 | 54.1% | 41.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.3 | 11.1 | 34.8% | 33.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.1 | 15.5 | 71.7% | 15.5 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 03/11/26 | Fuerza Regia v Astros | 69-83 |
| 31/10/26 | Astros v Fuerza Regia | 97-90 OT |
| 30/10/26 | Astros v Fuerza Regia | 96-89 |
| 04/10/26 | Astros v Fuerza Regia | 101-87 |
| 03/10/26 | Astros v Fuerza Regia | 74-77 |
| 14/09/25 | Astros v Fuerza Regia | 100-88 |
| 14/09/25 | Astros v Fuerza Regia | 98-107 |
| 19/09/24 | Astros v Fuerza Regia | 63-89 |
| 18/09/24 | Astros v Fuerza Regia | 80-79 |
| 15/12/23 | Fuerza Regia v Astros | 98-90 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/26 | A | Fuerza Regia | 83-69 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Fuerza Regia | 97-90 OT |
| 30/10/26 | H | Fuerza Regia | 96-89 |
| 23/10/26 | A | Mineros | 81-72 |
| 20/10/26 | H | Mineros | 86-83 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Mineros | 100-78 |
| 08/10/26 | H | Gambusinos | 86-71 |
| 07/10/26 | H | Gambusinos | 96-89 |
| 04/10/26 | H | Fuerza Regia | 101-87 |
| 03/10/26 | H | Fuerza Regia | 74-77 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLLL | 63% |
| Home | WWWWL | 65% |
| Away | WLWLL | 61% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 35 | 17 | 18 |
| Win % | 63% | 65% | 61% |
| Points / game | 90.4 | 88.9 | 91.7 |
| Allowed / game | 86.9 | 87.2 | 86.5 |
| Point differential | +3.5 | +1.7 | +5.2 |
| Avg total | 177.2 | 176.2 | 178.2 |
| Over 173.75 | 66% | 59% | 72% |
| Win by 10+ | 29% | 24% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 58% (12) | 67% (6) | 50% (6) |
| Overtime % | 17% | 24% | 11% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWW | 76% |
| Home | WWWWW | 78% |
| Away | WWWWW | 75% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 34 | 18 | 16 |
| Win % | 76% | 78% | 75% |
| Points / game | 88.7 | 87.4 | 90.2 |
| Allowed / game | 80.2 | 79.4 | 81.1 |
| Point differential | +8.5 | +8.0 | +9.1 |
| Avg total | 168.9 | 166.8 | 171.3 |
| Over 173.75 | 41% | 39% | 44% |
| Win by 10+ | 44% | 33% | 56% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 33% (3) | 33% (3) | - |
| Overtime % | 9% | 11% | 6% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 76% | 86.0 | 73.7 | +12.3 | |
| 2 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 76% | 88.7 | 80.2 | +8.5 | |
| 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 66% | 88.4 | 85.4 | +3.0 | |
| 4 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 63% | 90.4 | 86.9 | +3.5 | |
| 5 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 62% | 85.6 | 82.0 | +3.6 | |
| 6 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 59% | 87.6 | 86.5 | +1.1 | |
| 7 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 50% | 86.2 | 85.3 | +0.9 | |
| 8 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 41% | 83.4 | 86.8 | -3.3 | |
| 9 | Diablos Rojos | 31 | 12 | 19 | 39% | 82.4 | 85.7 | -3.3 |
| 10 | Santos | 31 | 12 | 19 | 39% | 84.9 | 88.9 | -4.1 |
| 11 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 37% | 80.1 | 83.8 | -3.7 | |
| 12 | El Calor de Cancun | 28 | 9 | 19 | 32% | 81.3 | 85.1 | -3.9 |
| 13 | Freseros | 30 | 9 | 21 | 30% | 84.3 | 92.2 | -7.9 |
| 14 | 28 | 4 | 24 | 14% | 82.5 | 94.1 | -11.6 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 20 | 8 | 28 | 77 | |
| 24 | 23 | 21 | 14 | 82 |
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