PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Fuerza Regia vs Astros Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 02:15
Final 77-82
21-24 20-23 8-21 28-14
Position#5
Record22-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game86.9
Fuerza Regia
Mexico
Vs
42%
58%
■ FUER 42%■ ASTR 58%
Pythia win probability
Projected 85-87
Projected total 172.3
Astros 🏆
Mexico
Position#2
Record26-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game80.2
MexicoLNBPLNBP - Semi-finals· Gimnasio Nuevo Leon Independiente
Other2026-27
Meetings · Fuerza Regia v Astros
03 Nov 2026
FUER77
ASTR82
02 Nov 2026
FUER69
ASTR83
14 Dec 2023
FUER98
ASTR90
12 Dec 2023
FUER93
ASTR88
11 Dec 2023
FUER90
ASTR83
22 Nov 2021
FUER85
ASTR81
21 Nov 2021
FUER85
ASTR73
19 Sep 2021
FUER64
ASTR81
18 Sep 2021
FUER77
ASTR75
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

On 3 November 2026 the LNBP will feature Fuerza Regia hosting the Astros, a matchup that pits a team on a sharp downturn against one that has been on a perfect run; Fuerza Regia's last five games include only one win, whereas the Astros have won all five of theirs. Fuerza Regia finish the season 22-13, averaging 90.4 points scored and 86.9 allowed, and sit fourth in the league, while the Astros are 26-8, averaging 88.7 points scored and 80.2 allowed, and sit second. In home-only play Fuerza Regia are 11-6, scoring 88.9 and allowing 87.2, and on the road the Astros are 12-4, scoring 90.2 and allowing 81.1. Their head-to-head record is 6-4 in favour of the Astros, who last beat Fuerza Regia 83-69 on 2 November. Pythia gives the Astros a 58% chance to win versus 42% for Fuerza Regia, projecting a 85-87 score and a total of 172.3 points, with a 5% chance of overtime. The Astros have won every recent encounter, including the most recent home win 97-90.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fuerza Regia winLost
41.6%fair 2.40
Best odds2.26
Implied41.1%
Edge+0.5pp
Astros winWon
58.4%fair 1.71
Best odds1.90
Implied58.9%
Edge-0.5pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 03 Nov 08:29 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fuerza RegiaMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRegia
Date
Competition
Astros
#2
L
87-101
87
101
-14
79avg 84
A04/10
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
86-88
86
88
-2
86avg 84
A07/10
LNBP
Soles
#1
W
92-75
92
75
+17
90avg 84
A08/10
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
101-90
101
90
+11
102avg 84
H18/10
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
80-76
80
76
+4
78avg 84
H20/10
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
116-120 OT
116
120
-4
122avg 84
A23/10
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
106-97
106
97
+9
114avg 84
A24/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
89-96
89
96
-7
69avg 84
A30/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
90-97 OT
90
97
-7
79avg 84
A31/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
69-83
69
83
-14
no box
H03/11
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
24-30
19-17
21-29
25-28
15-23
24-17
22-20
20-19
19-23
25-9
28-24
31-15
23-34
25-18
22-23
19-22
10-17
24-18
27-19
28-26
30-28
25-24
20-25
27-26
25-27
33-25
21-19
25-18
17-28
22-25
25-25
19-20
18-24
16-23
33-19
21-20
15-18
19-22
14-23
183.9Avg total
91.6Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)90.486.9177.2+3.563%
Season at home (17)88.987.2176.2+1.765%
Season away (18)91.786.5178.2+5.261%
Last 10 (10)91.692.3183.9-0.740%
Last 5 (5)94.098.6192.6-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)84.387.7172.0-3.429%
vs Similar (9)95.094.2189.2+0.856%
vs Weaker (14)92.581.2173.7+11.386%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Fuerza Regia
#5
L
74-77
74
77
-3
64avg 89
H03/10
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
101-87
101
87
+14
86avg 89
H04/10
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
96-89
96
89
+7
96avg 89
H07/10
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
86-71
86
71
+15
74avg 89
H08/10
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
100-78
100
78
+22
91avg 89
H18/10
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
86-83
86
83
+3
75avg 89
H20/10
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
81-72
81
72
+9
75avg 89
A23/10
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
96-89
96
89
+7
97avg 89
H30/10
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
97-90 OT
97
90
+7
94avg 89
H31/10
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
83-69
83
69
+14
no box
A03/11
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
20-15
16-21
19-19
25-23
30-24
17-19
29-21
19-20
25-23
31-19
21-27
18-18
22-21
23-11
23-21
28-22
22-12
24-24
26-20
28-27
23-24
17-27
18-5
24-12
29-24
11-25
17-11
18-25
28-17
25-22
25-25
20-19
24-18
23-16
19-33
20-21
18-15
22-19
23-14
170.5Avg total
90.0Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)88.780.2168.9+8.576%
Season at home (18)87.479.4166.8+8.078%
Season away (16)90.281.1171.3+9.175%
Last 10 (10)90.080.5170.5+9.590%
Last 5 (5)88.680.6169.2+8.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)78.582.0160.5-3.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)89.879.9169.6+9.979%
This opponent (Fuerza Regia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 168.5Actual: Under 168.5
Over 168.5
58.2%
@ 1.52-2.2pp
Under 168.5
41.8%
@ 2.62+2.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.52
Bet365
1.52
Marathon Be
1.50
Betano
1.42
Under
Betano
2.62
Bet365
2.40
1xBet
2.24
Marathon Be
2.21
Over/Under 173.75 · main lineActual: Under 173.75
Over 173.75
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under 173.75
no forecast
@ 1.80
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.80
Under
1xBet
1.80
Over/Under 178.5Actual: Under 178.5
Over 178.5
34.7%
@ 2.24-11.8pp
Under 178.5
65.3%
@ 1.74+11.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
2.24
1xBet
2.15
Betano
2.15
Bet365
2.15
SBO
2.00
Under
SBO
1.74
Pinnacle
1.71
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.56

📊 3. Team Totals

Fuerza Regia total 81.5Actual: Fuerza Regia under 81.5
Over 81.5
62.6%
@ 1.39-0.4pp
Under 81.5
37.4%
@ 2.37+0.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.39
Under
1xBet
2.37
Fuerza Regia total 85.5 · main lineActual: Fuerza Regia under 85.5
Over 85.5
47.4%
@ 1.85-2.6pp
Under 85.5
52.6%
@ 2.22+2.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.72
Betano
1.57
Under
Betano
2.22
WilliamHill
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
1xBet
1.72
Fuerza Regia total 89.5Actual: Fuerza Regia under 89.5
Over 89.5
32.8%
@ 2.35-11.6pp
Under 89.5
67.2%
@ 1.68+11.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.35
Betano
2.07
Marathon Be
1.96
Under
Marathon Be
1.68
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.39
Astros total 83.5Actual: Astros under 83.5
Over 83.5
64.4%
@ 1.44-0.2pp
Under 83.5
35.6%
@ 2.70+0.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.41
1xBet
1.36
Under
Bet365
2.70
Betano
2.55
1xBet
2.48
Astros total 87.5 · main lineActual: Astros under 87.5
Over 87.5
49.2%
@ 1.85-0.9pp
Under 87.5
50.8%
@ 1.91+0.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
WilliamHill
1.85
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
Marathon Be
1.74
Under
Marathon Be
1.91
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Astros total 91.5Actual: Astros under 91.5
Over 91.5
34.2%
@ 2.55-4.4pp
Under 91.5
65.8%
@ 1.54+4.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.55
Bet365
2.35
1xBet
2.26
Under
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.42

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Fuerza Regia 0Actual: Astros 0
FUER 0
41.6%
ASTR 0
58.4%
Best 5 market prices
FUER
No market prices yet.
ASTR
No market prices yet.
Spread Fuerza Regia +3 · main lineActual: Astros -3
FUER +3
50.6%
@ 1.91+1.6pp
ASTR -3
49.4%
@ 2.05-1.6pp
Best 5 market prices
FUER
Pinnacle
1.91
Marathon Be
1.81
1xBet
1.81
SBO
1.78
Bet365
1.68
ASTR
Bet365
2.05
SBO
1.96
Marathon Be
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Pinnacle
1.83
Spread Fuerza Regia +6Actual: Fuerza Regia +6
FUER +6
62.1%
@ 1.50+1.8pp
ASTR -6
37.9%
@ 2.28-1.8pp
Best 5 market prices
FUER
Marathon Be
1.50
ASTR
Marathon Be
2.28

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +2.4+2.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +2.4+2.4
Fuerza RegiaAstros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fuerza RegiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astros
#2
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A04/10
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A07/10
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A08/10
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H18/10
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H20/10
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
58-54
58
54
+4
A23/10
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A24/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A30/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A31/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H03/11
LNBP
90.5Avg total
43.4Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 85.5
Last 30 (30)43.943.587.4+0.443%60%
Last 30 at home (14)44.141.986.1+2.250%64%
Last 30 away (16)43.744.888.5-1.138%56%
Last 10 (10)43.447.190.5-3.720%60%
Last 5 (5)45.047.092.0-2.020%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.745.084.7-5.30%43%
vs Similar (9)46.348.694.9-2.233%89%
vs Weaker (14)44.439.483.9+5.071%50%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H03/10
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H04/10
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H07/10
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H08/10
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H18/10
LNBP
Mineros
#7
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H20/10
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A23/10
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H30/10
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H31/10
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A03/11
LNBP
86.2Avg total
46.0Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 85.5
Last 30 (30)45.139.985.0+5.373%50%
Last 30 at home (16)44.140.684.8+3.562%38%
Last 30 away (14)46.339.085.3+7.386%64%
Last 10 (10)46.040.286.2+5.890%50%
Last 5 (5)46.440.486.8+6.080%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)39.544.584.0-5.00%50%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)45.539.585.1+6.079%50%
This opponent (Fuerza Regia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Astros win
FUER win
no forecast
@ 2.05
ASTR win
no forecast
@ 1.90
1st half Spread Fuerza Regia +0.5 · main lineActual: Astros -0.5
FUER +0.5
no forecast
@ 2.00
ASTR -0.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 85.5 · main lineActual: Over 85.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 2.15
Fuerza Regia 1st half total 44.5 · main lineActual: Fuerza Regia under 44.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
Astros 1st half total 42.5 · main lineActual: Astros over 42.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 2.07
1st half: FUER + total 85.5
FUER & over
no forecast
@ 3.50
FUER & under
no forecast
@ 3.60
1st half: Draw + total 85.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 26.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 29.00
1st half: ASTR + total 85.5
ASTR & over
no forecast
@ 3.80
ASTR & under
no forecast
@ 3.90
1st half Over/Under 86.75Actual: Over 86.75
Over
no forecast
@ 1.89
Under
no forecast
@ 1.74
1st half Spread Fuerza Regia -0.5Actual: Astros +0.5
FUER -0.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
ASTR +0.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half Spread Fuerza Regia +1.5Actual: Astros -1.5
FUER +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
ASTR -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.15
1st half Over/Under 83.5Actual: Over 83.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.50
Under
no forecast
@ 2.50
1st half Over/Under 88Push
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.84
1st half Spread Fuerza Regia -1.5Actual: Astros +1.5
FUER -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.20
ASTR +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.70
1st half Spread Fuerza Regia +2.5Actual: Astros -2.5
FUER +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.62
ASTR -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.37
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Astros (regulation)
FUER
no forecast
@ 2.15
Draw
no forecast
@ 19.00
ASTR
no forecast
@ 1.95

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
FUER win + total 173.5
🔒 Pro
ASTR win + total 173.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: FUER leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: ASTR leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (FUER:ASTR): FUER wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Astros +470.5%1.43
Pinnacle
1.56
Bet365
1.52
1xBet
1.34
Marathon Bet
1.30		-+12.4ppWon
Astros +4.571.5%1.41
Pinnacle
1.52
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Marathon Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.24		+11.8ppWon
Astros +9.584.6%1.22
Betano
1.25
Marathon Bet
1.19		---+11.2ppWon
Fuerza Regia under 92.576.7%1.40
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.38		---+11.0ppWon
Astros +5.574.6%1.40
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.44
Betano
1.42
Marathon Bet
1.24		-+10.8ppWon
Astros +6.577.5%1.28
Betano
1.36
Marathon Bet
1.20		---+10.0ppWon
Astros +7.580.1%1.25
Betano
1.31
Marathon Bet
1.19		---+9.8ppWon
Fuerza Regia under 94.582.0%1.28
Bet365
1.28		----+9.7ppWon
Astros +573.8%1.39
1xBet
1.46
Bet365
1.45
Marathon Bet
1.25		--+9.6ppWon
Fuerza Regia under 90.570.6%1.47
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.52
1xBet
1.34		--+9.4ppWon
Under 181.571.6%1.45
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.44
Marathon Bet
1.39		--+9.2ppWon
Under 186.580.6%1.30
Bet365
1.30		----+9.1ppWon
Fuerza Regia under 97.588.4%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+8.9ppWon
Fuerza Regia under 96.586.5%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+8.7ppWon
Fuerza Regia under 98.590.0%1.14
Bet365
1.14		----+8.6ppWon
Under 191.587.4%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+8.5ppWon
Astros +8.582.5%1.24
Betano
1.26
Marathon Bet
1.23
Bet365
1.23		--+8.3ppWon
Under 182.573.6%1.38
Betano
1.40
Marathon Bet
1.35		---+8.1ppWon
Fuerza Regia under 91.573.7%1.38
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.29		---+8.0ppWon
Under 185.578.9%1.30
Bet365
1.30		----+7.5ppWon
Astros under 99.588.0%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+7.5ppWon
Under 190.586.2%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+7.3ppWon
Fuerza Regia under 100.592.9%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+7.3ppWon
Astros under 98.586.0%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+7.1ppWon
Astros +18.595.9%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+6.9ppWon
Astros +13.591.2%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+6.8ppWon
Astros under 95.578.6%1.29
Bet365
1.29		----+6.7ppWon
Astros +23.598.2%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+6.7ppWon
Under 196.592.2%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+6.7ppWon
Astros under 97.583.8%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+6.0ppWon
Under 195.591.4%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+5.9ppWon
Astros over 76.585.3%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+5.8ppWon
Under 200.594.8%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+5.8ppWon
Astros under 93.572.6%1.35
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.31		---+5.7ppWon
Fuerza Regia +21.594.7%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+5.3ppWon
Astros over 70.594.9%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+5.2ppWon
Under 188.583.5%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+4.7ppWon
Under 198.593.6%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+4.6ppWon
Astros over 72.592.5%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+4.5ppWon
Under 183.575.4%1.33
Marathon Bet
1.34
Bet365
1.31		---+4.5ppWon
Astros over 71.593.8%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+4.4ppWon
Under 193.589.5%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+4.0ppWon
Astros over 74.589.3%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+3.8ppWon
Astros under 96.581.3%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+3.5ppWon
Astros over 73.591.0%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+3.5ppWon
Fuerza Regia +16.588.9%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+3.3ppWon
Over 148.592.4%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+2.8ppWon
Overtime: no94.7%1.02
WilliamHill
1.04
Betano
1.03
Marathon Bet
1.02
1xBet
1.01		-+2.6pp-
Astros over 77.583.0%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+2.5ppWon
Astros over 75.587.5%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+2.4ppWon
Astros over 81.571.3%1.33
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.31
1xBet
1.28		--+2.1ppWon
Fuerza Regia over 71.590.3%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+2.0ppWon
Astros over 78.580.4%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+1.5ppWon
Astros over 79.577.6%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+1.4ppWon
Over 150.590.5%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+1.1ppWon
Fuerza Regia over 72.588.5%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+1.0ppWon
Fuerza Regia +11.578.8%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+1.0ppWon
Over 153.587.0%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+0.9ppWon
Fuerza Regia over 73.586.5%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+0.4ppWon
Fuerza Regia over 75.581.8%1.14
Bet365
1.14		----+0.3ppWon
Fuerza Regia +8.570.2%1.31
Marathon Bet
1.35
1xBet
1.27		---+0.2ppWon
Over 151.589.4%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+0.0ppWon
Fuerza Regia over 74.584.3%1.11
Bet365
1.11		-----0.1ppWon
Over 158.579.3%1.16
Bet365
1.16		-----0.2ppWon
Fuerza Regia over 76.579.1%1.15
Bet365
1.15		-----1.4ppWon
Over 155.584.2%1.09
Bet365
1.09		-----1.9ppWon
Fuerza Regia over 77.576.2%1.18
Bet365
1.18		-----2.7ppLost
Fuerza Regia over 78.573.0%1.22
Bet365
1.22		-----3.1ppLost
Over 160.575.6%1.18
Bet365
1.18		-----3.2ppLost
Over 156.582.6%1.09
Bet365
1.09		-----3.4ppWon
Over 161.573.7%1.18
Bet365
1.18		-----5.2ppLost
Astros +984.3%1.20
Marathon Bet
1.20		-----Won
Astros +882.0%1.16
Marathon Bet
1.16		-----Won
Astros +779.6%1.17
Marathon Bet
1.17		-----Won
Under 184.577.2%1.38
Marathon Bet
1.38		-----Won
Astros +676.8%1.21
Marathon Bet
1.21		-----Won
Under 18476.8%1.39
Marathon Bet
1.39		-----Won
Fuerza Regia +10.576.1%1.25
Marathon Bet
1.25		-----Won
Fuerza Regia +1075.4%1.26
Marathon Bet
1.26		-----Won
Under 18375.0%1.35
Marathon Bet
1.35		-----Won
Fuerza Regia +9.573.3%1.29
Marathon Bet
1.29		-----Won
Under 18273.0%1.36
Marathon Bet
1.36		-----Won
Fuerza Regia +972.4%1.31
Marathon Bet
1.31		-----Won
Under 18171.0%1.40
Marathon Bet
1.40		-----Won
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fuerza Regiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fuerza Regia: 89.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.2
55.8%
54.1%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.410.5
39.8%
34.8%31.5
🏀 Free throws19.415.8
81.4%
71.7%15.8
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.5
52.3%
54.1%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.311.1
37.9%
34.8%33.3
🏀 Free throws21.115.5
73.5%
71.7%15.5
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fuerza Regia
LLLWLWWWLL
Astros
WWWWWWWWWL
#5
League position
#2
-0.2
Net rating
+14.2
102.0
Offensive rating
102.9
102.2
Defensive rating
88.7
57.4%
Effective FG%
54.2%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
17.2%
Turnover %
12.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
39.8%
3-point %
37.9%
77.3%
Assist %
61.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence102.0 · 102.9Defence102.2 · 88.7Shooting57.4% · 54.2%3-point %39.8% · 37.9%Ball care17.2% · 12.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Fuerza Regia   ■ Astros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Fuerza Regia wins
6
Astros wins
DateGameScore
03/11/26Fuerza Regia v Astros69-83
31/10/26Astros v Fuerza Regia97-90 OT
30/10/26Astros v Fuerza Regia96-89
04/10/26Astros v Fuerza Regia101-87
03/10/26Astros v Fuerza Regia74-77
14/09/25Astros v Fuerza Regia100-88
14/09/25Astros v Fuerza Regia98-107
19/09/24Astros v Fuerza Regia63-89
18/09/24Astros v Fuerza Regia80-79
15/12/23Fuerza Regia v Astros98-90
Fuerza Regialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26HAstros69-83
31/10/26AAstros90-97 OT
30/10/26AAstros89-96
24/10/26ADorados106-97
23/10/26ADorados116-120 OT
20/10/26HDorados80-76
18/10/26HDorados101-90
08/10/26ASoles92-75
07/10/26ASoles86-88
04/10/26AAstros87-101
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26AFuerza Regia83-69
31/10/26HFuerza Regia97-90 OT
30/10/26HFuerza Regia96-89
23/10/26AMineros81-72
20/10/26HMineros86-83
18/10/26HMineros100-78
08/10/26HGambusinos86-71
07/10/26HGambusinos96-89
04/10/26HFuerza Regia101-87
03/10/26HFuerza Regia74-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fuerza Regia
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL63%
HomeWWWWL65%
AwayWLWLL61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %63%65%61%
Points / game90.488.991.7
Allowed / game86.987.286.5
Point differential+3.5+1.7+5.2
Avg total177.2176.2178.2
Over 173.7566%59%72%
Win by 10+29%24%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)67% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %17%24%11%
Astros
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW76%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %76%78%75%
Points / game88.787.490.2
Allowed / game80.279.481.1
Point differential+8.5+8.0+9.1
Avg total168.9166.8171.3
Over 173.7541%39%44%
Win by 10+44%33%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %9%11%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Soles3426876%86.073.7+12.3
2 Astros3426876%88.780.2+8.5
3 Panteras35231266%88.485.4+3.0
4 Fuerza Regia35221363%90.486.9+3.5
5 Lobos Plateados34211362%85.682.0+3.6
6 Dorados34201459%87.686.5+1.1
7 Mineros34171750%86.285.3+0.9
8 Abejas34142041%83.486.8-3.3
9 Diablos Rojos31121939%82.485.7-3.3
10 Santos31121939%84.988.9-4.1
11 Gambusinos30111937%80.183.8-3.7
12 El Calor de Cancun2891932%81.385.1-3.9
13 Freseros3092130%84.392.2-7.9
14 Correcaminos2842414%82.594.1-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fuerza Regia212082877
Astros2423211482
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.