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Niigata vs Fukushima Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 10:10
Final 75-93
7-27 29-17 17-26 22-23
Position#14
Record7-44
FormLLLWL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game86.9
vs
Position#10
Record20-31
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game84.6
JapanB2.League· City Hall Plaza Aore Nagaoka
Other2023-24
Meetings · Niigata v Fukushima
14 Apr 2024
NIIG57
FUKU92
13 Apr 2024
NIIG71
FUKU90
27 Mar 2024
NIIG75
FUKU93
26 Oct 2014
NIIG82
FUKU75
25 Oct 2014
NIIG89
FUKU77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Niigata winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fukushima winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NiigataJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNiigata
Date
Competition
Aomori
#8
L
68-85
68
85
-17
59avg 62
H26/02
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
84-93
84
93
-9
75avg 62
H27/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
75-105
75
105
-30
59avg 62
H02/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
95-101
95
101
-6
87avg 62
H03/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
85-91
85
91
-6
80avg 62
A08/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
82-98
82
98
-16
73avg 62
A09/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
74-86
74
86
-12
58avg 62
A16/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
69-83
69
83
-14
53avg 62
A17/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
85-81
85
81
+4
80avg 62
H23/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
60-97
60
97
-37
46avg 62
H24/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
12-21
20-17
15-20
22-18
23-32
22-20
17-23
12-28
23-23
24-24
16-30
20-27
20-24
21-30
34-20
18-25
23-17
23-19
21-30
29-22
22-23
22-25
9-28
17-22
21-18
8-22
28-24
17-23
15-24
15-16
22-20
24-16
19-17
20-19
22-29
8-32
16-25
23-18
13-22
169.7Avg total
77.7Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)73.586.9160.5-13.414%
Season at home (25)74.086.0160.0-12.016%
Season away (26)73.087.9160.9-14.812%
Last 10 (10)77.792.0169.7-14.310%
Last 5 (5)74.089.0163.0-15.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)77.389.3166.6-11.920%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fukushima) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FukushimaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukushima
Date
Competition
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
91-77
91
77
+14
90avg 75
A24/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
90-79
90
79
+11
94avg 75
A25/02
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
84-92
84
92
-8
74avg 75
A02/03
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
82-85
82
85
-3
81avg 75
A03/03
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
84-80
84
80
+4
86avg 75
H09/03
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
76-89
76
89
-13
66avg 75
H10/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
81-77
81
77
+4
82avg 75
A15/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
73-90
73
90
-17
67avg 75
A16/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
73-81
73
81
-8
66avg 75
H23/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
73-86
73
86
-13
64avg 75
H24/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-18
22-25
21-13
18-21
23-25
22-19
20-19
25-16
18-26
23-24
22-19
21-23
23-11
19-25
15-21
25-28
20-13
24-24
20-22
20-21
18-24
23-32
20-12
15-21
13-25
23-16
20-19
25-17
15-16
14-25
20-24
24-25
11-19
29-20
13-23
20-19
9-24
25-18
15-20
24-24
164.3Avg total
80.7Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)80.884.6165.4-3.839%
Season at home (26)80.382.8163.2-2.542%
Season away (25)81.286.4167.7-5.236%
Last 10 (10)80.783.6164.3-2.940%
Last 5 (5)75.284.6159.8-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)80.087.9167.9-7.938%
vs Similar (16)80.382.7163.0-2.444%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)88.083.0171.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
NiigataFukushima
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NiigataLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aomori
#8
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H26/02
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H27/02
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H02/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H03/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A08/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A09/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A16/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A17/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H23/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
24-57
24
57
-33
H24/03
B2.League
84.6Avg total
38.2Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.445.184.5-5.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.944.982.7-7.027%-
Last 30 away (15)40.945.386.2-4.333%-
Last 10 (10)38.246.484.6-8.220%-
Last 5 (5)37.644.482.0-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)39.445.184.5-5.730%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fukushima) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FukushimaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A24/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A25/02
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A02/03
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A03/03
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H09/03
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H10/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A15/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A16/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H23/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H24/03
B2.League
83.3Avg total
40.4Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.741.881.5-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.541.582.0-1.050%-
Last 30 away (14)38.842.281.0-3.436%-
Last 10 (10)40.442.983.3-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)36.043.879.8-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.843.180.9-5.223%-
vs Similar (16)40.941.081.9-0.156%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)44.039.083.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Niigatatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Niigata: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.021.5
52.4%
52.4%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.4
31.9%
33.6%22.2
🏀 Free throws14.911.7
78.5%
71.0%11.7
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fukushimatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukushima: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.9
53.9%
52.4%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.2
36.0%
33.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws15.811.7
74.1%
71.0%11.7
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Niigata
LWLLLLLLLL
Fukushima
LLLWLWLLWW
#14
League position
#10
-19.4
Net rating
-4.0
103.5
Offensive rating
108.0
122.9
Defensive rating
112.0
50.8%
Effective FG%
53.9%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
14.0%
Turnover %
18.0%
19.3%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.25
31.9%
3-point %
36.0%
52.2%
Assist %
66.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 108.0Defence122.9 · 112.0Shooting50.8% · 53.9%3-point %31.9% · 36.0%Ball care14.0% · 18.0%Off. rebounds19.3% · 27.7%Free throws0.23 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Niigata   ■ Fukushima
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Niigata wins
4
Fukushima wins
DateGameScore
31/01/24Fukushima v Niigata88-83
05/11/23Fukushima v Niigata85-67
04/11/23Fukushima v Niigata94-81
14/12/14Fukushima v Niigata59-54
13/12/14Fukushima v Niigata70-74
26/10/14Niigata v Fukushima82-75
25/10/14Niigata v Fukushima89-77
Niigatalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24HFukuoka60-97
23/03/24HFukuoka85-81
17/03/24AKobe69-83
16/03/24AKobe74-86
09/03/24AEhime Orange Vikings82-98
08/03/24AEhime Orange Vikings85-91
03/03/24HAltiri Chiba95-101
02/03/24HAltiri Chiba75-105
27/02/24HAomori84-93
26/02/24HAomori68-85
Fukushimalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24HKobe73-86
23/03/24HKobe73-81
16/03/24AFukuoka73-90
15/03/24AFukuoka81-77
10/03/24HKoshigaya Alphas76-89
09/03/24HKoshigaya Alphas84-80
03/03/24AAomori82-85
02/03/24AAomori84-92
25/02/24AYamagata Wyverns90-79
24/02/24AYamagata Wyverns91-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Niigata
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL14%
HomeLLLWL16%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512526
Win %14%16%12%
Points / game73.574.073.0
Allowed / game86.986.087.9
Point differential-13.4-12.0-14.8
Avg total160.5160.0160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Fukushima
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL39%
HomeWWLLL42%
AwayWLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512625
Win %39%42%36%
Points / game80.880.381.2
Allowed / game84.682.886.4
Point differential-3.8-2.5-5.2
Avg total165.4163.2167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%12%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (19)55% (11)62% (8)
Overtime %2%0%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba5248492%91.877.2+14.6
2 Shiga52371571%87.080.1+6.9
3 Fukuoka52341865%77.774.3+3.4
4 Kumamoto52322062%85.284.3+0.9
5 Koshigaya Alphas52312160%83.374.4+8.9
6 Aomori52262650%84.887.1-2.3
7 Yamagata Wyverns52262650%81.585.1-3.6
8 Kobe52252748%79.678.2+1.4
9 Shizuoka52232944%80.581.2-0.7
10 Fukushima51203139%80.884.6-3.8
11 Nara52203238%73.977.0-3.1
12 Ehime Orange Vikings52193337%79.084.2-5.2
13 Iwate52153729%71.475.8-4.4
14 Niigata5174414%73.586.9-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Niigata729172275
Fukushima2717262393
← all games of the day
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