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Koshigaya Alphas vs Aomori Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 91-67
27-15 23-20 18-15 23-17
Position#3
Record30-21
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game74.5
vs
Position#8
Record26-25
FormWLLLL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game87.0
JapanB2.League· Koshigaya City Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Koshigaya Alphas v Aomori
27 Mar 2024
KOSH91
AOMO67
15 Oct 2023
KOSH77
AOMO81
14 Oct 2023
KOSH100
AOMO95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Koshigaya Alphas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aomori winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Shiga
#2
L
64-84
64
84
-20
55avg 78
A23/02
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
72-85
72
85
-13
66avg 78
A24/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
87-66
87
66
+21
90avg 78
H02/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
69-76
69
76
-7
62avg 78
H03/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
80-84
80
84
-4
65avg 78
A09/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
89-76
89
76
+13
89avg 78
A10/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
76-65
76
65
+11
77avg 78
H15/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
75-77
75
77
-2
66avg 78
H16/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
82-72
82
72
+10
83avg 78
A23/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
84-78
84
78
+6
82avg 78
A24/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-12
13-21
12-26
13-25
17-27
24-18
19-16
12-24
25-26
26-13
15-15
21-12
18-25
23-19
7-20
21-12
13-20
24-24
22-20
21-20
24-18
32-23
12-20
21-15
27-17
15-8
20-19
14-21
28-25
12-15
18-17
17-20
19-24
24-19
26-12
13-17
14-20
22-10
23-19
25-29
154.1Avg total
77.8Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)83.174.5157.7+8.659%
Season at home (25)83.070.8153.8+12.264%
Season away (26)83.378.2161.5+5.254%
Last 10 (10)77.876.3154.1+1.550%
Last 5 (5)81.273.6154.8+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)68.084.5152.5-16.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)84.575.9160.4+8.657%
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AomoriJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAomori
Date
Competition
Niigata
#14
W
85-68
85
68
+17
88avg 74
A26/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
93-84
93
84
+9
87avg 74
A27/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
92-84
92
84
+8
91avg 74
H02/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
85-82
85
82
+3
76avg 74
H03/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
93-95
93
95
-2
95avg 74
A09/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
84-80 OT
84
80
+4
no box
A10/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
95-100
95
100
-5
89avg 74
A16/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
78-85
78
85
-7
69avg 74
A17/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
78-96
78
96
-18
73avg 74
H23/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
70-80
70
80
-10
56avg 74
H24/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
21-12
17-20
20-15
18-22
32-23
20-22
23-17
26-18
24-23
19-22
23-21
11-23
25-19
21-15
28-25
22-23
23-25
23-22
25-25
12-26
22-17
19-8
20-22
22-21
29-24
16-27
28-28
14-21
26-20
18-17
20-27
23-33
15-23
25-22
15-18
21-21
19-17
17-17
13-25
170.7Avg total
85.3Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)85.287.0172.2-1.951%
Season at home (26)81.987.3169.2-5.346%
Season away (25)88.686.8175.4+1.856%
Last 10 (10)85.385.4170.7-0.150%
Last 5 (5)81.088.2169.2-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)83.397.1180.4-13.914%
vs Similar (17)83.985.3169.2-1.441%
vs Weaker (6)87.280.3167.5+6.883%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -0.8-0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -0.8-0.8
Koshigaya AlphasAomori
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#2
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A23/02
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A24/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H02/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H03/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A09/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A10/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H15/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H16/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A23/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A24/03
B2.League
81.0Avg total
42.6Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.638.782.3+4.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.037.282.2+7.864%-
Last 30 away (16)42.440.082.4+2.450%-
Last 10 (10)42.638.481.0+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.435.879.2+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)40.039.079.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)43.938.782.6+5.257%-
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niigata
#14
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A26/02
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A27/02
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H02/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H03/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A09/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A10/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A16/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A17/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H23/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H24/03
B2.League
86.4Avg total
43.2Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.443.285.6-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.345.287.6-2.938%-
Last 30 away (14)42.540.983.4+1.657%-
Last 10 (10)43.243.286.4+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.644.685.2-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)43.347.390.6-4.029%-
vs Similar (17)40.842.283.0-1.441%-
vs Weaker (6)45.841.587.3+4.383%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.922.0
53.8%
52.4%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.16.5
30.8%
33.6%19.5
🏀 Free throws19.714.0
71.1%
71.0%14.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.322.8
53.9%
52.4%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.5
36.6%
33.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.312.9
70.5%
71.0%12.9
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Koshigaya Alphas
WWLWWLLWLL
Aomori
LLLLWLWWWW
#3
League position
#8
+2.6
Net rating
-3.7
105.1
Offensive rating
110.3
102.5
Defensive rating
114.0
51.2%
Effective FG%
54.3%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
18.1%
Turnover %
15.6%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
24.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.8%
3-point %
36.6%
61.8%
Assist %
68.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 110.3Defence102.5 · 114.0Shooting51.2% · 54.3%3-point %30.8% · 36.6%Ball care18.1% · 15.6%Off. rebounds29.2% · 24.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Koshigaya Alphas   ■ Aomori
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Koshigaya Alphas wins
2
Aomori wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24AIwate84-78
23/03/24AIwate82-72
16/03/24HShizuoka75-77
15/03/24HShizuoka76-65
10/03/24AFukushima89-76
09/03/24AFukushima80-84
03/03/24HYamagata Wyverns69-76
02/03/24HYamagata Wyverns87-66
24/02/24AShiga72-85
23/02/24AShiga64-84
Aomorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24HYamagata Wyverns70-80
23/03/24HYamagata Wyverns78-96
17/03/24AAltiri Chiba78-85
16/03/24AAltiri Chiba95-100
10/03/24AIwate84-80 OT
09/03/24AIwate93-95
03/03/24HFukushima85-82
02/03/24HFukushima92-84
27/02/24ANiigata93-84
26/02/24ANiigata85-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Koshigaya Alphas
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW59%
HomeLWLWL64%
AwayLLWWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512526
Win %59%64%54%
Points / game83.183.083.3
Allowed / game74.570.878.2
Point differential+8.6+12.2+5.2
Avg total157.7153.8161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%52%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won8% (12)14% (7)0% (5)
Overtime %8%0%15%
Aomori
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL51%
HomeLWWLL46%
AwayWLWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512625
Win %51%46%56%
Points / game85.281.988.6
Allowed / game87.087.386.8
Point differential-1.9-5.3+1.8
Avg total172.2169.2175.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%8%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (21)83% (6)53% (15)
Overtime %10%8%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba5147492%91.977.2+14.7
2 Shiga51361571%86.979.9+7.0
3 Fukuoka51341767%78.474.4+4.0
4 Kumamoto51321963%85.284.2+1.0
5 Koshigaya Alphas51302159%83.174.5+8.6
6 Aomori51262551%85.287.0-1.9
7 Yamagata Wyverns51252649%81.485.1-3.7
8 Kobe51242747%79.478.1+1.2
9 Shizuoka51232845%80.581.1-0.5
10 Fukushima51203139%80.884.6-3.8
11 Nara51193237%74.077.7-3.7
12 Ehime Orange Vikings51193237%79.084.0-5.0
13 Iwate51153629%71.175.5-4.4
14 Niigata5174414%73.586.9-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Koshigaya Alphas2723182391
Aomori1520151767
← all games of the day
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