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Fukushima vs Shinshu Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 04:15
Final 78-53
19-15 20-10 18-18 21-10
Position#13
Record12-40
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#5
Record33-19
FormLWLLW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game77.8
JapanB2.League· Kokichi Tsuburaya Memorial Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Fukushima v Shinshu
30 Mar 2025
FUKU72
SHIN90
29 Mar 2025
FUKU78
SHIN53
27 Oct 2024
FUKU80
SHIN93
26 Oct 2024
FUKU74
SHIN101
26 Apr 2015
FUKU104
SHIN89
25 Apr 2015
FUKU89
SHIN77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fukushima winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shinshu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FukushimaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukushima
Date
Competition
Kumamoto
#8
L
60-92
60
92
-32
46avg 68
A23/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
77-88
77
88
-11
62avg 68
H01/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
71-64
71
64
+7
69avg 68
H02/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
67-64
67
64
+3
66avg 68
H08/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
73-82
73
82
-9
69avg 68
H09/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
L
96-104 OT
96
104
-8
92avg 68
A15/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
L
65-71
65
71
-6
54avg 68
A16/03
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
69-79
69
79
-10
57avg 68
A22/03
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
78-95
78
95
-17
68avg 68
A23/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
66-74
66
74
-8
63avg 68
H26/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-23
11-32
18-22
19-15
20-17
15-26
23-22
19-23
21-17
16-21
14-17
20-9
14-15
15-18
19-18
19-13
22-18
16-19
22-27
13-18
29-28
15-23
20-15
26-24
20-12
16-21
16-11
13-27
11-21
15-16
25-16
18-26
17-28
20-20
20-21
21-26
20-22
15-15
18-20
13-17
153.5Avg total
72.2Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)72.882.5155.3-9.823%
Season at home (26)74.883.8158.7-9.027%
Season away (26)70.781.2151.9-10.519%
Last 10 (10)72.281.3153.5-9.120%
Last 5 (5)74.884.6159.4-9.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)71.583.3154.8-11.823%
vs Similar (2)74.071.0145.0+3.050%
vs Weaker (2)80.587.5168.0-7.00%
This opponent (Shinshu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#6
L
85-94
85
94
-9
77avg 79
A23/02
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
69-68
69
68
+1
59avg 79
H01/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
79-89
79
89
-10
79avg 79
H02/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
81-87
81
87
-6
80avg 79
H10/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
79-66
79
66
+13
77avg 79
H11/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
79-84
79
84
-5
74avg 79
A15/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
65-61
65
61
+4
62avg 79
A16/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
82-89
82
89
-7
73avg 79
H22/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
71-100
71
100
-29
53avg 79
H23/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
80-69
80
69
+11
81avg 79
H26/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-31
21-18
20-24
25-21
18-23
21-21
11-15
19-9
12-27
25-18
23-28
19-16
28-25
22-28
15-13
16-21
12-15
28-12
19-15
20-24
22-30
21-20
18-19
18-15
16-22
23-7
8-19
18-13
18-23
18-23
28-18
18-25
16-27
10-26
29-26
16-21
21-17
19-19
20-19
20-14
157.7Avg total
77.0Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)84.677.8162.4+6.763%
Season at home (28)85.976.9162.8+8.968%
Season away (24)83.178.9162.0+4.258%
Last 10 (10)77.080.7157.7-3.740%
Last 5 (5)75.480.6156.0-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.792.7169.3-16.00%
vs Similar (11)82.481.9164.3+0.545%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)82.875.7158.4+7.181%
This opponent (Fukushima) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -5.8-5.8Q2Q2: -5.7-5.7Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +1.0+1.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -5.8-5.8Q2Q2: -5.7-5.7Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +1.0+1.0
FukushimaShinshu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FukushimaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kumamoto
#8
L
23-55
23
55
-32
A23/02
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H01/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H02/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H08/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H09/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A15/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A16/03
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A22/03
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A23/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H26/03
B2.League
75.2Avg total
34.0Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.942.578.4-6.623%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.643.280.9-5.621%-
Last 30 away (16)34.341.976.2-7.625%-
Last 10 (10)34.041.275.2-7.220%-
Last 5 (5)35.641.276.8-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)35.943.379.2-7.319%-
vs Similar (2)31.033.064.0-2.050%-
vs Weaker (2)40.042.082.0-2.050%-
This opponent (Shinshu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#6
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A23/02
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H01/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H02/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H10/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H11/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A15/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A16/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H22/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
26-53
26
53
-27
H23/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H26/03
B2.League
82.2Avg total
39.0Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.840.981.8-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.141.984.1+0.247%-
Last 30 away (13)39.239.678.8-0.538%-
Last 10 (10)39.043.282.2-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)36.842.879.6-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.049.782.7-16.70%-
vs Similar (11)40.840.080.8+0.845%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.339.982.2+2.450%-
This opponent (Fukushima) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fukushimatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukushima: 71.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.1
49.9%
51.0%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.3
30.5%
32.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws19.213.7
71.4%
70.7%13.7
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.9
51.4%
51.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.0
30.4%
32.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.412.6
72.4%
70.7%12.6
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fukushima
LLLLLLWWLL
Shinshu
WLLWLWLLWL
#13
League position
#5
-12.2
Net rating
-4.2
99.8
Offensive rating
102.8
112.0
Defensive rating
106.9
48.3%
Effective FG%
49.1%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
17.6%
Turnover %
16.4%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.5%
3-point %
30.4%
67.7%
Assist %
67.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.8 · 102.8Defence112.0 · 106.9Shooting48.3% · 49.1%3-point %30.5% · 30.4%Ball care17.6% · 16.4%Off. rebounds26.6% · 27.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Fukushima   ■ Shinshu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Fukushima wins
4
Shinshu wins
DateGameScore
05/01/25Shinshu v Fukushima93-76
04/01/25Shinshu v Fukushima99-72
27/10/24Fukushima v Shinshu80-93
26/10/24Fukushima v Shinshu74-101
26/04/15Fukushima v Shinshu104-89
25/04/15Fukushima v Shinshu89-77
15/02/15Shinshu v Fukushima102-105
14/02/15Shinshu v Fukushima77-95
Fukushimalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/25HYamagata Wyverns66-74
23/03/25AKobe78-95
22/03/25AKobe69-79
16/03/25AEhime Orange Vikings65-71
15/03/25AEhime Orange Vikings96-104 OT
09/03/25HKagoshima Rebnise73-82
08/03/25HKagoshima Rebnise67-64
02/03/25HFukuoka71-64
01/03/25HFukuoka77-88
23/02/25AKumamoto60-92
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/25HFukui80-69
23/03/25HAltiri Chiba71-100
22/03/25HAltiri Chiba82-89
16/03/25AYamagata Wyverns65-61
15/03/25AYamagata Wyverns79-84
11/03/25HKumamoto79-66
10/03/25HKumamoto81-87
02/03/25HFukui79-89
01/03/25HFukui69-68
23/02/25AShizuoka85-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fukushima
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL23%
HomeLWWLL27%
AwayLLLLL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522626
Win %23%27%19%
Points / game72.874.870.7
Allowed / game82.583.881.2
Point differential-9.8-9.0-10.5
Avg total155.3158.7151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)60% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %8%4%12%
Shinshu
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW63%
HomeLWLLW68%
AwayLWLLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522824
Win %63%68%58%
Points / game84.685.983.1
Allowed / game77.876.978.9
Point differential+6.7+8.9+4.2
Avg total162.4162.8162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %10%4%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba5249394%91.674.1+17.6
2 Fukuoka53361768%82.774.5+8.1
3 Toyama52351767%88.180.6+7.5
4 Shinshu52331963%84.677.8+6.7
5 Kagoshima Rebnise52322062%82.078.2+3.8
6 Shizuoka52302258%78.076.3+1.7
7 Fukui52282454%82.180.1+1.9
8 Kumamoto52232944%78.279.7-1.4
9 Nara52232944%77.479.6-2.2
10 Kobe52213140%79.683.1-3.5
11 Yamagata Wyverns52203238%78.381.8-3.5
12 Aomori52183435%77.986.4-8.5
13 Fukushima52124023%72.882.5-9.8
14 Ehime Orange Vikings535489%72.190.5-18.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fukushima1920182178
Shinshu1510181053
← all games of the day
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