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Geelong United W vs Perth Lynx W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 77-80
18-23 19-15 16-22 24-20
Position#8
Record5-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game81.6
Geelong United W
Australia
vs
Perth Lynx W 🏆
Australia
Position#2
Record11-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game77.6
AustraliaNBL WRound 11· Geelong Arena
Women2024-25
Meetings · Geelong United W v Perth Lynx W
12 Jan 2025
GEEL77
PERT80
24 Jan 2024
GEEL90
PERT76
03 Dec 2023
GEEL63
PERT80
29 Jan 2023
GEEL82
PERT91
09 Apr 2022
GEEL84
PERT66
02 Apr 2022
GEEL71
PERT98
06 Feb 2022
GEEL71
PERT76
28 Nov 2020
GEEL v PERT
upcoming
01 Feb 2020
GEEL104
PERT75
08 Dec 2019
GEEL72
PERT63
04 Jan 2019
GEEL64
PERT59
03 Jan 2018
GEEL92
PERT76
17 Dec 2017
GEEL89
PERT92
21 Oct 2017
GEEL79
PERT77
22 Jan 2017
GEEL79
PERT87
15 Oct 2016
GEEL85
PERT88
05 Dec 2015
GEEL73
PERT84
17 Oct 2015
GEEL68
PERT78
06 Dec 2014
GEEL87
PERT84
10 Jan 2014
GEEL65
PERT50
07 Dec 2012
GEEL73
PERT52
23 Nov 2012
GEEL67
PERT61
11 Feb 2012
GEEL81
PERT56
23 Oct 2011
GEEL104
PERT79
14 Nov 2010
GEEL104
PERT81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong United W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Perth Lynx W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geelong United WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
72-66 OT
72
66
+6
56avg 63
H16/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
60-73
60
73
-13
47avg 63
H23/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
55-90
55
90
-35
35avg 63
A30/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
69-59
69
59
+10
58avg 63
H08/12
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
88-86 OT
88
86
+2
77avg 63
A11/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
74-81
74
81
-7
62avg 63
H14/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
71-96
71
96
-25
57avg 63
A23/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
61-85
61
85
-24
36avg 63
A29/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
69-89
69
89
-20
49avg 63
A05/01
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
76-70
76
70
+6
64avg 63
A08/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
19-17
15-22
17-7
22-21
15-16
14-21
9-15
12-23
17-20
5-25
21-22
14-19
18-7
16-13
21-20
15-28
20-11
27-24
16-15
12-25
20-22
23-21
19-13
19-23
17-22
17-21
18-30
14-24
19-19
14-21
14-21
15-27
20-18
9-23
25-21
9-18
21-18
21-15
25-19
149.0Avg total
69.5Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)70.881.6152.5-10.838%
Season at home (6)70.575.0145.5-4.550%
Season away (7)71.187.3158.4-16.129%
Last 10 (10)69.579.5149.0-10.040%
Last 5 (5)70.284.2154.4-14.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)70.881.6152.5-10.838%
vs Similar (13)76.274.0150.2+2.246%
vs Weaker (4)66.874.0140.8-7.225%
This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Perth Lynx WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#5
W
84-78
84
78
+6
64avg 79
H23/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
W
106-80
106
80
+26
110avg 79
H27/11
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
89-82
89
82
+7
85avg 79
A01/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
66-72
66
72
-6
56avg 79
H05/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
75-86
75
86
-11
59avg 79
A07/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
87-63
87
63
+24
78avg 79
H12/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
W
71-68
71
68
+3
55avg 79
A19/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
96-71
96
71
+25
95avg 79
H23/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
89-80
89
80
+9
82avg 79
A29/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
94-76
94
76
+18
92avg 79
H05/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
24-25
21-10
20-14
21-17
33-23
31-17
21-23
21-19
30-21
19-26
19-16
14-17
21-15
18-15
13-25
20-23
21-23
17-18
17-22
20-10
37-20
20-14
10-19
22-16
12-22
17-14
20-16
23-19
22-17
21-17
30-18
18-23
21-23
27-18
23-16
21-14
21-21
28-16
24-25
161.3Avg total
85.7Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)86.877.6164.4+9.179%
Season at home (8)88.475.4163.8+13.075%
Season away (6)84.780.7165.3+4.083%
Last 10 (10)85.775.6161.3+10.180%
Last 5 (5)87.471.6159.0+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.386.7168.0-5.350%
vs Similar (11)85.887.3173.1-1.536%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)89.279.5168.6+9.785%
This opponent (Geelong United W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.1-8.1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.1-8.1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
Geelong United WPerth Lynx W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Geelong United WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H16/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H23/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A30/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H08/12
NBL W
Southside W
#7
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A11/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H14/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A23/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A29/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A05/01
NBL W
Southside W
#7
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A08/01
NBL W
72.7Avg total
33.1Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.240.877.0-4.630%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.239.576.7-2.340%-
Last 30 away (15)35.242.177.3-6.920%-
Last 10 (10)33.139.672.7-6.510%-
Last 5 (5)33.243.276.4-10.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)34.442.576.8-8.115%-
vs Similar (13)37.538.375.8-0.854%-
vs Weaker (4)37.843.581.2-5.80%-
This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Perth Lynx WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#5
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H23/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H27/11
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A01/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H05/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A07/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
57-30
57
30
+27
H12/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A19/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H23/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A29/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H05/01
NBL W
83.8Avg total
44.1Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.843.788.5+1.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.941.187.1+4.864%-
Last 30 away (16)43.945.989.8-2.019%-
Last 10 (10)44.139.783.8+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)43.437.080.4+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.242.886.0+0.333%-
vs Similar (11)44.346.390.5-2.027%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)46.141.887.9+4.254%-
This opponent (Geelong United W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Geelong United Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Geelong United W: 68.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.120.1
38.6%
46.9%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.35.9
24.3%
32.2%17.7
🏀 Free throws15.810.8
68.4%
75.1%10.8
They take 76.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Perth Lynx Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth Lynx W: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.0
52.2%
46.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.2
30.3%
32.2%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.214.6
76.0%
75.1%14.6
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Geelong United W
WLLLLWWLLW
Perth Lynx W
WWWWWLLWWW
#8
League position
#2
-11.9
Net rating
+14.5
81.9
Offensive rating
104.5
93.9
Defensive rating
90.0
37.9%
Effective FG%
49.4%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
43.7%
20.4%
Turnover %
17.6%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.29
24.3%
3-point %
30.3%
62.7%
Assist %
58.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence81.9 · 104.5Defence93.9 · 90.0Shooting37.9% · 49.4%3-point %24.3% · 30.3%Ball care20.4% · 17.6%Off. rebounds32.4% · 30.0%Free throws0.21 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Geelong United W   ■ Perth Lynx W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Geelong United W wins
4
Perth Lynx W wins
DateGameScore
23/12/24Perth Lynx W v Geelong United W96-71
24/01/24Geelong United W v Perth Lynx W90-76
07/12/23Perth Lynx W v Geelong United W62-93
03/12/23Geelong United W v Perth Lynx W63-80
29/01/23Geelong United W v Perth Lynx W82-91
02/12/22Perth Lynx W v Geelong United W73-88
02/11/22Perth Lynx W v Geelong United W88-104
09/04/22Geelong United W v Perth Lynx W84-66
06/04/22Perth Lynx W v Geelong United W75-76
02/04/22Geelong United W v Perth Lynx W71-98
Geelong United Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/25ASouthside W76-70
05/01/25ACanberra Capitals W69-89
29/12/24ATownsville W61-85
23/12/24APerth Lynx W71-96
14/12/24HSydney W74-81
11/12/24ASouthside W88-86 OT
08/12/24HAdelaide Lightning W69-59
30/11/24ASydney W55-90
23/11/24HCanberra Capitals W60-73
16/11/24HAdelaide Lightning W72-66 OT
Perth Lynx Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25HAdelaide Lightning W94-76
29/12/24ACanberra Capitals W89-80
23/12/24HGeelong United W96-71
19/12/24ABendigo W71-68
12/12/24HCanberra Capitals W87-63
07/12/24ASydney W75-86
05/12/24HBendigo W66-72
01/12/24ASouthside W89-82
27/11/24HTownsville W106-80
23/11/24HSydney W84-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong United W
NBL W 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW38%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayWLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %38%50%29%
Points / game70.870.571.1
Allowed / game81.675.087.3
Point differential-10.8-4.5-16.1
Avg total152.5145.5158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %15%17%14%
Perth Lynx W
NBL W 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayWWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %79%75%83%
Points / game86.888.484.7
Allowed / game77.675.480.7
Point differential+9.1+13.0+4.0
Avg total164.4163.8165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%62%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W1412286%86.173.6+12.5
2 Perth Lynx W1411379%86.877.6+9.1
3 Townsville W149564%77.671.9+5.7
4 Sydney W125742%79.482.6-3.2
5 Geelong United W135838%70.881.6-10.8
6 Adelaide Lightning W1551033%73.076.3-3.3
7 Canberra Capitals W1551033%77.684.3-6.7
8 Southside W1541127%80.584.2-3.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong United W1819162477
Perth Lynx W2315222080
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