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Perth Lynx W vs Canberra Capitals W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 87-63
20-10 37-20 20-14 10-19
Position#2
Record6-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game81.0
Perth Lynx W 🏆
Australia
vs
Canberra Capitals W
Australia
Position#4
Record2-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game89.8
AustraliaNBL WRound 7· Bendat Basketball Centre
Women2024-25
Meetings · Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W
23 Dec 2025
PERT75
CANB49
12 Dec 2024
PERT87
CANB63
18 Feb 2024
PERT94
CANB79
27 Dec 2023
PERT98
CANB90
12 Nov 2022
PERT97
CANB62
24 Mar 2022
PERT91
CANB77
12 Mar 2022
PERT80
CANB96
19 Jan 2022
PERT102
CANB73
10 Dec 2020
PERT69
CANB96
29 Dec 2019
PERT59
CANB76
31 Jan 2019
PERT75
CANB91
30 Nov 2018
PERT88
CANB84
10 Nov 2018
PERT71
CANB65
30 Nov 2017
PERT89
CANB76
11 Nov 2017
PERT85
CANB67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth Lynx W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Canberra Capitals W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Perth Lynx WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Southside W
#1
L
81-115
81
115
-34
64avg 77
A17/03
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
94-79
94
79
+15
93avg 77
H02/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
80-84
80
84
-4
67avg 77
H06/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
92-78
92
78
+14
86avg 77
A09/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
92-90
92
90
+2
85avg 77
A14/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
84-78
84
78
+6
64avg 77
H23/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
W
106-80
106
80
+26
110avg 77
H27/11
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
89-82
89
82
+7
85avg 77
A01/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
66-72
66
72
-6
56avg 77
H05/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
75-86
75
86
-11
59avg 77
A07/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-28
12-24
26-33
16-30
31-27
26-18
29-12
8-22
21-26
25-25
17-16
17-17
25-28
28-18
18-18
21-14
27-25
20-26
21-21
24-18
19-29
24-25
21-10
20-14
21-17
33-23
31-17
21-23
21-19
30-21
19-26
19-16
14-17
21-15
18-15
13-25
20-23
21-23
17-18
17-22
170.3Avg total
85.9Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.481.0167.4+5.467%
Season at home (5)86.078.6164.6+7.460%
Season away (4)87.084.0171.0+3.075%
Last 10 (10)85.984.4170.3+1.560%
Last 5 (5)84.079.6163.6+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)83.490.4173.8-7.040%
vs Similar (16)86.184.6170.7+1.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)88.182.6170.7+5.678%
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra Capitals WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
79-94
79
94
-15
64avg 67
A18/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
74-75
74
75
-1
72avg 67
H24/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
85-102
85
102
-17
72avg 67
A03/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
76-99
76
99
-23
61avg 67
H08/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
90-92
90
92
-2
77avg 67
H14/11
NBL W
Southside W
#7
L
77-98
77
98
-21
46avg 67
A17/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
W
81-80
81
80
+1
72avg 67
H21/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
73-60
73
60
+13
63avg 67
A23/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
78-98
78
98
-20
67avg 67
A30/11
NBL W
Southside W
#7
L
78-89
78
89
-11
70avg 67
H04/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
17-28
27-16
20-32
22-26
26-18
7-16
19-15
21-35
23-24
18-22
23-21
22-28
19-25
14-25
21-21
25-27
26-20
21-21
18-24
22-24
17-23
19-26
19-25
12-20
30-28
23-15
16-17
21-22
16-15
21-14
15-9
22-35
18-25
12-17
26-21
22-20
19-21
15-20
22-28
167.8Avg total
79.1Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.889.8169.5-10.025%
Season at home (4)81.290.0171.2-8.825%
Season away (4)78.289.5167.8-11.225%
Last 10 (10)79.188.7167.8-9.620%
Last 5 (5)77.485.0162.4-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)77.086.2163.2-9.119%
vs Similar (3)80.096.3176.3-16.30%
vs Weaker (1)73.060.0133.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
Perth Lynx WCanberra Capitals W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Perth Lynx WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southside W
#1
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A17/03
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H02/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H06/11
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A09/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A14/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H23/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H27/11
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A01/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H05/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A07/12
NBL W
92.3Avg total
46.6Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.844.189.0+0.740%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.642.688.2+2.957%-
Last 30 away (16)44.245.489.6-1.225%-
Last 10 (10)46.645.792.3+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)44.842.487.2+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)45.043.888.8+1.240%-
vs Similar (16)44.044.288.2-0.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)46.244.190.3+2.144%-
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra Capitals WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#4
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A18/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H24/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
44-59
44
59
-15
A03/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H08/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H14/11
NBL W
Southside W
#7
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A17/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H21/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A23/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A30/11
NBL W
Southside W
#7
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H04/12
NBL W
89.7Avg total
41.5Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.645.184.8-5.523%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.245.386.5-4.133%-
Last 30 away (15)38.145.083.1-6.913%-
Last 10 (10)41.548.289.7-6.720%-
Last 5 (5)39.846.686.4-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)39.545.084.5-5.527%-
vs Similar (3)41.349.090.3-7.70%-
vs Weaker (1)37.037.074.0+0.00%-
This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perth Lynx Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth Lynx W: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.7
52.1%
46.9%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.5
37.5%
32.2%28.5
🏀 Free throws16.411.3
68.9%
75.1%11.3
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Canberra Capitals Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Canberra Capitals W: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.222.1
47.8%
46.9%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.17.0
26.8%
32.2%21.0
🏀 Free throws17.113.3
77.8%
75.1%13.3
They take 72.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth Lynx W
LLWWWWWLWL
Canberra Capitals W
LLWWLLLLLL
#2
League position
#4
+2.7
Net rating
-11.2
106.6
Offensive rating
97.4
103.9
Defensive rating
108.6
53.8%
Effective FG%
45.1%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
19.0%
Turnover %
17.6%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.5%
3-point %
26.8%
54.5%
Assist %
58.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 97.4Defence103.9 · 108.6Shooting53.8% · 45.1%3-point %37.5% · 26.8%Ball care19.0% · 17.6%Off. rebounds29.5% · 29.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Perth Lynx W   ■ Canberra Capitals W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Perth Lynx W wins
2
Canberra Capitals W wins
DateGameScore
14/11/24Canberra Capitals W v Perth Lynx W90-92
18/02/24Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W94-79
11/01/24Canberra Capitals W v Perth Lynx W81-75
27/12/23Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W98-90
04/03/23Canberra Capitals W v Perth Lynx W94-107
21/12/22Canberra Capitals W v Perth Lynx W83-97
12/11/22Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W97-62
24/03/22Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W91-77
12/03/22Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W80-96
19/01/22Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W102-73
Perth Lynx Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24ASydney W75-86
05/12/24HBendigo W66-72
01/12/24ASouthside W89-82
27/11/24HTownsville W106-80
23/11/24HSydney W84-78
14/11/24ACanberra Capitals W92-90
09/11/24AAdelaide Lightning W92-78
06/11/24HTownsville W80-84
02/11/24HSouthside W94-79
17/03/24ASouthside W81-115
Canberra Capitals Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/24HSouthside W78-89
30/11/24ABendigo W78-98
23/11/24AGeelong United W73-60
21/11/24HTownsville W81-80
17/11/24ASouthside W77-98
14/11/24HPerth Lynx W90-92
08/11/24HBendigo W76-99
03/11/24ASydney W85-102
24/02/24HGeelong United W74-75
18/02/24APerth Lynx W79-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth Lynx W
NBL W 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%60%75%
Points / game86.486.087.0
Allowed / game81.078.684.0
Point differential+5.4+7.4+3.0
Avg total167.4164.6171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Canberra Capitals W
NBL W 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL25%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game79.881.278.2
Allowed / game89.890.089.5
Point differential-10.0-8.8-11.2
Avg total169.5171.2167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W880100%87.673.2+14.4
2 Perth Lynx W96367%86.481.0+5.4
3 Townsville W74357%75.174.9+0.3
4 Geelong United W84450%71.280.0-8.8
5 Sydney W73443%79.478.6+0.9
6 Southside W93633%82.985.2-2.3
7 Adelaide Lightning W82625%70.470.5-0.1
8 Canberra Capitals W82625%79.889.8-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth Lynx W2037201087
Canberra Capitals W1020141963
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