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Canberra Capitals W vs Perth Lynx W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 80-89
23-18 23-21 18-27 16-23
Position#4
Record2-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game86.7
Canberra Capitals W
Australia
vs
Perth Lynx W 🏆
Australia
Position#2
Record9-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game77.6
AustraliaNBL WRound 9· AIS Arena
Women2024-25
Meetings · Canberra Capitals W v Perth Lynx W
04 Jan 2026
CANB77
PERT74
29 Nov 2025
CANB67
PERT91
29 Dec 2024
CANB80
PERT89
14 Nov 2024
CANB90
PERT92
11 Jan 2024
CANB81
PERT75
04 Mar 2023
CANB94
PERT107
21 Dec 2022
CANB83
PERT97
14 Jan 2022
CANB69
PERT88
26 Nov 2020
CANB73
PERT70
22 Jan 2020
CANB89
PERT75
24 Nov 2019
CANB84
PERT66
25 Jan 2019
CANB95
PERT76
16 Dec 2018
CANB92
PERT60
29 Dec 2017
CANB74
PERT69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canberra Capitals W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Perth Lynx W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Canberra Capitals WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#1
L
76-99
76
99
-23
61avg 62
H08/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
90-92
90
92
-2
77avg 62
H14/11
NBL W
Southside W
#7
L
77-98
77
98
-21
46avg 62
A17/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
W
81-80
81
80
+1
72avg 62
H21/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
73-60
73
60
+13
63avg 62
A23/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
78-98
78
98
-20
67avg 62
A30/11
NBL W
Southside W
#7
L
78-89
78
89
-11
70avg 62
H04/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
63-87
63
87
-24
47avg 62
A12/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
L
67-68
67
68
-1
54avg 62
A15/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
48-81
48
81
-33
28avg 62
A21/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
19-25
14-25
21-21
25-27
26-20
21-21
18-24
22-24
17-23
19-26
19-25
12-20
30-28
23-15
16-17
21-22
16-15
21-14
15-9
22-35
18-25
12-17
26-21
22-20
19-21
15-20
22-28
10-20
20-37
14-20
19-10
15-17
13-22
19-19
20-10
10-18
17-17
4-23
17-23
158.3Avg total
73.1Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)74.286.7160.9-12.518%
Season at home (4)81.290.0171.2-8.825%
Season away (7)70.184.9155.0-14.714%
Last 10 (10)73.185.2158.3-12.120%
Last 5 (5)66.884.6151.4-17.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)74.584.6159.1-10.120%
vs Similar (4)76.889.2166.0-12.50%
vs Weaker (1)73.060.0133.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Perth Lynx WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
92-78
92
78
+14
86avg 77
A09/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
92-90
92
90
+2
85avg 77
A14/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
84-78
84
78
+6
64avg 77
H23/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
W
106-80
106
80
+26
110avg 77
H27/11
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
89-82
89
82
+7
85avg 77
A01/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
66-72
66
72
-6
56avg 77
H05/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
75-86
75
86
-11
59avg 77
A07/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
87-63
87
63
+24
78avg 77
H12/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
W
71-68
71
68
+3
55avg 77
A19/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
96-71
96
71
+25
95avg 77
H23/12
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
28-18
18-18
21-14
27-25
20-26
21-21
24-18
19-29
24-25
21-10
20-14
21-17
33-23
31-17
21-23
21-19
30-21
19-26
19-16
14-17
21-15
18-15
13-25
20-23
21-23
17-18
17-22
20-10
37-20
20-14
10-19
22-16
12-22
17-14
20-16
23-19
22-17
21-17
30-18
162.6Avg total
85.8Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)86.077.6163.6+8.475%
Season at home (7)87.675.3162.9+12.371%
Season away (5)83.880.8164.6+3.080%
Last 10 (10)85.876.8162.6+9.080%
Last 5 (5)79.072.0151.0+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.386.7168.0-5.350%
vs Similar (13)87.584.8172.3+2.646%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.779.7168.5+9.082%
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.0+1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.0+1.0
Canberra Capitals WPerth Lynx W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Canberra Capitals WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#1
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H08/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H14/11
NBL W
Southside W
#7
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A17/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H21/11
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A23/11
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A30/11
NBL W
Southside W
#7
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H04/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
30-57
30
57
-27
A12/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A15/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A21/12
NBL W
84.0Avg total
37.6Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.244.182.3-5.823%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.943.083.9-2.142%-
Last 30 away (18)36.444.881.2-8.311%-
Last 10 (10)37.646.484.0-8.810%-
Last 5 (5)33.246.479.6-13.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)38.344.082.3-5.628%-
vs Similar (4)38.046.584.5-8.50%-
vs Weaker (1)37.037.074.0+0.00%-
This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Perth Lynx WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A09/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A14/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H23/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H27/11
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A01/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H05/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A07/12
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
W
57-30
57
30
+27
H12/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A19/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H23/12
NBL W
87.3Avg total
46.0Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.543.689.1+1.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.741.388.1+5.467%-
Last 30 away (15)44.245.990.1-1.720%-
Last 10 (10)46.041.387.3+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.436.478.8+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.242.886.0+0.333%-
vs Similar (13)45.245.290.4-0.138%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)47.142.189.2+5.055%-
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Canberra Capitals Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Canberra Capitals W: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.521.5
42.6%
46.9%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.75.7
25.1%
32.2%17.1
🏀 Free throws17.212.0
69.8%
75.1%12.0
They take 73.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Perth Lynx Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth Lynx W: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.6
53.1%
46.9%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.3
31.0%
32.2%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.613.0
73.9%
75.1%13.0
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Canberra Capitals W
LLLLLWWLLL
Perth Lynx W
WWWLLWWWWW
#4
League position
#2
-14.9
Net rating
+12.7
88.8
Offensive rating
105.4
103.7
Defensive rating
92.7
41.1%
Effective FG%
50.4%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
44.3%
18.7%
Turnover %
18.0%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.27
25.1%
3-point %
31.0%
55.5%
Assist %
53.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence88.8 · 105.4Defence103.7 · 92.7Shooting41.1% · 50.4%3-point %25.1% · 31.0%Ball care18.7% · 18.0%Off. rebounds29.7% · 31.5%Free throws0.23 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Canberra Capitals W   ■ Perth Lynx W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Canberra Capitals W wins
8
Perth Lynx W wins
DateGameScore
12/12/24Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W87-63
14/11/24Canberra Capitals W v Perth Lynx W90-92
18/02/24Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W94-79
11/01/24Canberra Capitals W v Perth Lynx W81-75
27/12/23Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W98-90
04/03/23Canberra Capitals W v Perth Lynx W94-107
21/12/22Canberra Capitals W v Perth Lynx W83-97
12/11/22Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W97-62
24/03/22Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W91-77
12/03/22Perth Lynx W v Canberra Capitals W80-96
Canberra Capitals Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24ATownsville W48-81
15/12/24AAdelaide Lightning W67-68
12/12/24APerth Lynx W63-87
04/12/24HSouthside W78-89
30/11/24ABendigo W78-98
23/11/24AGeelong United W73-60
21/11/24HTownsville W81-80
17/11/24ASouthside W77-98
14/11/24HPerth Lynx W90-92
08/11/24HBendigo W76-99
Perth Lynx Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/24HGeelong United W96-71
19/12/24ABendigo W71-68
12/12/24HCanberra Capitals W87-63
07/12/24ASydney W75-86
05/12/24HBendigo W66-72
01/12/24ASouthside W89-82
27/11/24HTownsville W106-80
23/11/24HSydney W84-78
14/11/24ACanberra Capitals W92-90
09/11/24AAdelaide Lightning W92-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canberra Capitals W
NBL W 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %18%25%14%
Points / game74.281.270.1
Allowed / game86.790.084.9
Point differential-12.5-8.8-14.7
Avg total160.9171.2155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Perth Lynx W
NBL W 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW75%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %75%71%80%
Points / game86.087.683.8
Allowed / game77.675.380.8
Point differential+8.4+12.3+3.0
Avg total163.6162.9164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%57%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W1210283%86.574.6+11.9
2 Perth Lynx W129375%86.077.6+8.4
3 Townsville W106460%78.573.1+5.4
4 Adelaide Lightning W125742%72.272.6-0.4
5 Sydney W104640%78.380.8-2.5
6 Geelong United W104640%71.581.7-10.2
7 Southside W114736%82.685.2-2.5
8 Canberra Capitals W112918%74.286.7-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Canberra Capitals W2323181680
Perth Lynx W1821272389
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