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Geelong vs Bendigo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jul 2015
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 69-76
23-15 18-17 20-28 8-16
Position#3
Record11-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Bendigo 🏆
Australia
Position#4
Record8-7
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game84.2
AustraliaSEABLRound 13
Other2015
Meetings · Geelong v Bendigo
20 May 2017
GEEL83
BEND77
01 Jul 2016
GEEL77
BEND90
11 Jul 2015
GEEL69
BEND76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bendigo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston
#15
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H10/05
SEABL
Southern Sabres
#12
W
93-88
93
88
+5
A16/05
SEABL
Nunawading
#8
L
83-94
83
94
-11
A17/05
SEABL
Brisbane Spartans
#13
W
97-95 OT
97
95
+2
H24/05
SEABL
Canberra
#14
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H30/05
SEABL
Albury
#2
L
74-85
74
85
-11
A13/06
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#1
L
73-94
73
94
-21
H20/06
SEABL
Nunawading
#8
W
94-63
94
63
+31
H27/06
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#6
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H05/07
SEABL
Ballarat
#7
W
93-77
93
77
+16
A08/07
SEABL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
21-22
21-21
25-19
26-28
23-18
19-23
25-19
23-27
20-15
15-23
25-29
18-26
24-24
20-15
25-22
20-26
29-15
16-14
18-25
19-24
26-19
13-20
16-22
15-25
17-29
17-25
24-15
31-15
19-18
20-23
24-7
13-19
27-20
21-14
25-23
33-23
20-23
22-18
18-13
169.7Avg total
86.7Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.181.2167.4+4.969%
Season at home (8)88.482.8171.1+5.675%
Season away (8)83.979.8163.6+4.162%
Last 10 (10)86.783.0169.7+3.770%
Last 5 (5)84.079.0163.0+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.094.0167.0-21.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)87.482.0169.4+5.457%
vs Weaker (8)86.679.0165.6+7.688%
This opponent (Bendigo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BendigoAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra
#14
W
93-88
93
88
+5
A16/05
SEABL
BA CoE
#9
W
93-84 OT
93
84
+9
A17/05
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#1
L
86-87
86
87
-1
H23/05
SEABL
Dandenong
#5
L
92-93
92
93
-1
H30/05
SEABL
Nunawading
#8
W
100-95
100
95
+5
A31/05
SEABL
Ballarat
#7
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H13/06
SEABL
Frankston
#15
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H21/06
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#1
L
72-86
72
86
-14
A26/06
SEABL
Southern Sabres
#12
W
90-85
90
85
+5
A04/07
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#6
L
75-85
75
85
-10
H10/07
SEABL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-19
19-20
22-19
22-30
17-20
19-20
19-28
25-12
22-30
27-18
20-23
17-16
25-23
25-33
25-21
17-16
23-27
24-32
14-10
39-26
20-21
17-23
26-26
22-6
26-18
17-18
30-20
19-18
19-21
16-21
24-26
13-18
23-15
23-25
16-21
28-24
24-18
24-27
14-21
13-19
173.1Avg total
87.8Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)84.784.2168.9+0.553%
Season at home (8)84.482.4166.8+2.050%
Season away (7)85.086.3171.3-1.357%
Last 10 (10)87.885.3173.1+2.560%
Last 5 (5)82.881.2164.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.086.5165.5-7.50%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.484.4167.8-1.050%
vs Weaker (3)92.782.0174.7+10.7100%
This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +3.0+3.0
GeelongBendigo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston
#15
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H10/05
SEABL
Southern Sabres
#12
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A16/05
SEABL
Nunawading
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A17/05
SEABL
Brisbane Spartans
#13
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H24/05
SEABL
Canberra
#14
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H30/05
SEABL
Albury
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A13/06
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H20/06
SEABL
Nunawading
#8
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H27/06
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H05/07
SEABL
Ballarat
#7
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A08/07
SEABL
88.0Avg total
44.8Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)45.042.687.6+2.475%-
Last 30 at home (8)44.543.588.0+1.062%-
Last 30 away (8)45.541.687.1+3.988%-
Last 10 (10)44.843.288.0+1.680%-
Last 5 (5)44.043.087.0+1.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.054.086.0-22.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)46.144.090.1+2.171%-
vs Weaker (8)45.639.985.5+5.888%-
This opponent (Bendigo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BendigoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra
#14
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A16/05
SEABL
BA CoE
#9
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A17/05
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#1
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H23/05
SEABL
Dandenong
#5
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H30/05
SEABL
Nunawading
#8
L
47-59
47
59
-12
A31/05
SEABL
Ballarat
#7
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H13/06
SEABL
Frankston
#15
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H21/06
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#1
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A26/06
SEABL
Southern Sabres
#12
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A04/07
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#6
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H10/07
SEABL
88.9Avg total
44.0Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)42.344.486.7-2.147%-
Last 30 at home (8)44.644.889.4-0.162%-
Last 30 away (7)39.744.083.7-4.329%-
Last 10 (10)44.044.988.9-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.483.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.045.087.0-3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.346.188.4-3.840%-
vs Weaker (3)42.738.381.0+4.367%-
This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Geelong wins
0
Bendigo wins
No previous meetings.
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/07/15ABallarat93-77
05/07/15HNW Tasmania86-76
27/06/15HNunawading94-63
20/06/15HMt Gambier73-94
13/06/15AAlbury74-85
30/05/15HCanberra83-80
24/05/15HBrisbane Spartans97-95 OT
17/05/15ANunawading83-94
16/05/15ASouthern Sabres93-88
10/05/15HFrankston91-78
Bendigolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/07/15HNW Tasmania75-85
04/07/15ASouthern Sabres90-85
26/06/15AMt Gambier72-86
21/06/15HFrankston92-74
13/06/15HBallarat85-76
31/05/15ANunawading100-95
30/05/15HDandenong92-93
23/05/15HMt Gambier86-87
17/05/15ABA CoE93-84 OT
16/05/15ACanberra93-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong
SEABL 2015
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW69%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayWWLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %69%75%62%
Points / game86.188.483.9
Allowed / game81.282.879.8
Point differential+4.9+5.6+4.1
Avg total167.4171.1163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%38%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Bendigo
SEABL 2015
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL53%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayWWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %53%50%57%
Points / game84.784.485.0
Allowed / game84.282.486.3
Point differential+0.5+2.0-1.3
Avg total168.9166.8171.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)33% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier1715288%89.073.4+15.6
2 Geelong1611569%86.181.2+4.9
3 BA CoE106460%86.886.0+0.8
4 Albury1710759%86.782.8+3.9
5 Dandenong1710759%83.884.2-0.5
6 Nunawading1911858%86.785.8+0.9
7 NW Tasmania1810856%81.481.4+0.1
8 Bendigo158753%84.784.2+0.5
9 Hobart Chargers1881044%70.871.1-0.3
10 Kilsyth167944%78.778.8-0.1
11 Ballarat1771041%86.887.4-0.6
12 Southern Sabres1871139%81.382.6-1.3
13 Canberra1871139%77.884.5-6.7
14 Brisbane Spartans1751229%79.885.7-5.9
15 Frankston1731418%77.587.7-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong231820869
Bendigo1517281676
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