PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Geelong vs NW Tasmania Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jul 2015
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 86-76
13-19 27-20 21-14 25-23
Position#3
Record9-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game81.9
Geelong 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#6
Record9-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game80.7
AustraliaSEABLRound 12
Other2015
Meetings · Geelong v NW Tasmania
15 Jun 2025
GEEL85
NW T97
25 May 2024
GEEL81
NW T89
25 Jun 2022
GEEL86
NW T82
21 Jun 2019
GEEL79
NW T74
26 May 2017
GEEL87
NW T92
06 Aug 2016
GEEL93
NW T74
05 Jul 2015
GEEL86
NW T76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NW Tasmania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth
#11
W
90-81
90
81
+9
A02/05
SEABL
Dandenong
#5
W
101-79
101
79
+22
A09/05
SEABL
Frankston
#15
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H10/05
SEABL
Southern Sabres
#12
W
93-88
93
88
+5
A16/05
SEABL
Nunawading
#8
L
83-94
83
94
-11
A17/05
SEABL
Brisbane Spartans
#13
W
97-95 OT
97
95
+2
H24/05
SEABL
Canberra
#14
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H30/05
SEABL
Albury
#2
L
74-85
74
85
-11
A13/06
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#1
L
73-94
73
94
-21
H20/06
SEABL
Nunawading
#8
W
94-63
94
63
+31
H27/06
SEABL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
23-23
26-19
15-15
23-23
26-19
20-22
32-15
24-16
21-22
21-21
25-19
26-28
23-18
19-23
25-19
23-27
20-15
15-23
25-29
18-26
24-24
20-15
25-22
20-26
29-15
16-14
18-25
19-24
26-19
13-20
16-22
15-25
17-29
17-25
24-15
31-15
19-18
20-23
24-7
171.6Avg total
87.9Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)85.681.9167.6+3.764%
Season at home (7)88.783.7172.4+5.071%
Season away (7)82.680.1162.7+2.457%
Last 10 (10)87.983.7171.6+4.270%
Last 5 (5)84.283.4167.6+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.094.0167.0-21.00%
vs Similar ◀ (5)86.684.2170.8+2.440%
vs Weaker (8)86.679.0165.6+7.688%
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NW TasmaniaAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers
#10
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H09/05
SEABL
Dandenong
#5
W
87-71
87
71
+16
H16/05
SEABL
Frankston
#15
W
103-102 OT
103
102
+1
A23/05
SEABL
Kilsyth
#11
L
62-87
62
87
-25
A24/05
SEABL
Ballarat
#7
L
85-101
85
101
-16
H30/05
SEABL
Brisbane Spartans
#13
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A12/06
SEABL
Southern Sabres
#12
L
82-109
82
109
-27
A14/06
SEABL
Albury
#2
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H20/06
SEABL
Canberra
#14
W
96-79
96
79
+17
H27/06
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#10
W
65-61
65
61
+4
A03/07
SEABL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-17
13-11
15-16
24-15
26-16
21-20
16-21
24-14
24-27
20-15
22-31
22-15
17-22
15-21
16-20
14-24
25-19
25-26
14-21
21-35
17-19
13-20
20-15
17-22
21-26
25-37
16-28
20-18
25-21
28-9
16-24
17-24
27-18
19-24
18-15
32-22
16-11
15-16
16-13
18-21
161.8Avg total
79.5Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.580.7162.1+0.860%
Season at home (8)82.176.0158.1+6.175%
Season away (7)80.786.0166.7-5.343%
Last 10 (10)79.582.3161.8-2.860%
Last 5 (5)79.280.6159.8-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)84.881.2166.0+3.575%
vs Weaker (11)80.380.5160.7-0.255%
This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
GeelongNW Tasmania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth
#11
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A02/05
SEABL
Dandenong
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A09/05
SEABL
Frankston
#15
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H10/05
SEABL
Southern Sabres
#12
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A16/05
SEABL
Nunawading
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A17/05
SEABL
Brisbane Spartans
#13
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H24/05
SEABL
Canberra
#14
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H30/05
SEABL
Albury
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A13/06
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H20/06
SEABL
Nunawading
#8
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H27/06
SEABL
88.9Avg total
45.3Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)44.842.687.4+2.271%-
Last 30 at home (7)45.144.189.3+1.057%-
Last 30 away (7)44.441.085.4+3.486%-
Last 10 (10)45.343.688.9+1.780%-
Last 5 (5)43.644.287.8-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.054.086.0-22.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)46.044.690.6+1.460%-
vs Weaker (8)45.639.985.5+5.888%-
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers
#10
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H09/05
SEABL
Dandenong
#5
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H16/05
SEABL
Frankston
#15
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A23/05
SEABL
Kilsyth
#11
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A24/05
SEABL
Ballarat
#7
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H30/05
SEABL
Brisbane Spartans
#13
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A12/06
SEABL
Southern Sabres
#12
L
46-63
46
63
-17
A14/06
SEABL
Albury
#2
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H20/06
SEABL
Canberra
#14
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H27/06
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#10
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A03/07
SEABL
79.7Avg total
40.2Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)40.638.979.5+1.760%-
Last 30 at home (8)42.437.279.6+5.175%-
Last 30 away (7)38.640.779.3-2.143%-
Last 10 (10)40.239.579.7+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.240.281.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)48.837.286.0+11.5100%-
vs Weaker (11)37.639.577.1-1.845%-
This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Geelong wins
1
NW Tasmania wins
DateGameScore
18/04/15NW Tasmania v Geelong81-75
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/06/15HNunawading94-63
20/06/15HMt Gambier73-94
13/06/15AAlbury74-85
30/05/15HCanberra83-80
24/05/15HBrisbane Spartans97-95 OT
17/05/15ANunawading83-94
16/05/15ASouthern Sabres93-88
10/05/15HFrankston91-78
09/05/15ADandenong101-79
02/05/15AKilsyth90-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/07/15AHobart Chargers65-61
27/06/15HCanberra96-79
20/06/15HAlbury86-78
14/06/15ASouthern Sabres82-109
12/06/15ABrisbane Spartans67-76
30/05/15HBallarat85-101
24/05/15AKilsyth62-87
23/05/15AFrankston103-102 OT
16/05/15HDandenong87-71
09/05/15HHobart Chargers62-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong
SEABL 2015
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW64%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayWWWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%71%57%
Points / game85.688.782.6
Allowed / game81.983.780.1
Point differential+3.7+5.0+2.4
Avg total167.6172.4162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
NW Tasmania
SEABL 2015
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayWLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %60%75%43%
Points / game81.582.180.7
Allowed / game80.776.086.0
Point differential+0.8+6.1-5.3
Avg total162.1158.1166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%38%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier1614288%87.873.5+14.2
2 Geelong149564%85.681.9+3.7
3 Albury1610662%86.581.8+4.8
4 BA CoE106460%86.886.0+0.8
5 NW Tasmania159660%81.580.7+0.8
6 Bendigo148657%85.484.1+1.2
7 Dandenong169756%83.184.3-1.2
8 Nunawading179853%86.486.2+0.2
9 Ballarat167944%87.487.0+0.4
10 Southern Sabres167944%82.283.0-0.8
11 Hobart Chargers167944%70.070.8-0.8
12 Kilsyth156940%79.579.7-0.2
13 Canberra1761135%76.984.6-7.6
14 Brisbane Spartans1651131%80.384.2-3.9
15 Frankston1631319%78.188.2-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong1327212586
NW Tasmania1920142376
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.