Geelong vs Bendigo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 May 2017

Tip-off: 09:00

Final 83-77

32-23 21-22 16-14 14-18

Position#4

Record6-3

FormLWLWW

Points / game87.0

Allowed / game75.6

Geelong 🏆

Bendigo

Position#8

Record5-6

FormWLLLW

Points / game82.7

Allowed / game81.7

SEABL

Other2017

Meetings · Geelong v Bendigo

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bendigo winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geelong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Albury

82-84

-2

H20/08

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

97-68

+29

H25/03

SEABL

Ballarat

100-76

100

+24

H31/03

SEABL

Dandenong

62-75

-13

H07/04

SEABL

Bendigo

74-63

+11

A08/04

SEABL

Albury

#11

97-98

-1

A21/04

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

83-80

A23/04

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

80-84

-4

A29/04

SEABL

Canberra

#14

89-59

+30

H06/05

SEABL

Frankston

#12

101-77

101

+24

A13/05

SEABL

25-21

22-25

18-18

17-20

18-15

36-19

23-19

20-15

23-20

32-17

18-16

27-23

13-23

10-21

20-14

19-17

20-18

19-18

17-18

18-9

25-35

24-22

21-17

27-24

23-20

24-17

17-15

19-28

21-22

22-18

15-19

22-25

23-23

23-10

19-12

24-14

16-17

28-16

35-22

22-22

162.9Avg total

86.5Scored

76.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	87.0	75.6	162.6	+11.4	67%
Season at home (4)	87.0	69.5	156.5	+17.5	75%
Season away (5)	87.0	80.4	167.4	+6.6	60%
Last 10 (10)	86.5	76.4	162.9	+10.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	90.0	79.6	169.6	+10.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	87.5	88.5	176.0	-1.0	50%
vs Similar (5)	81.2	82.8	164.0	-1.6	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	90.1	80.3	170.4	+9.8	65%

This opponent (Bendigo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bendigo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mt Gambier

66-80

-14

A31/03

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

78-63

+15

A07/04

SEABL

Geelong

63-74

-11

H08/04

SEABL

Albury

#11

96-85

+11

H22/04

SEABL

Nunawading

79-90

-11

A23/04

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

107-99

107

H28/04

SEABL

Ballarat

73-87

-14

A29/04

SEABL

NW Tasmania

78-81

-3

A06/05

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

89-112

112

-23

A07/05

SEABL

Mt Gambier

92-71

+21

H13/05

SEABL

20-26

19-15

14-21

13-18

19-17

26-11

20-19

13-16

18-20

18-19

18-17

9-18

33-23

17-22

24-22

22-18

21-24

24-27

16-16

18-23

22-21

27-29

30-16

28-33

26-26

21-21

13-18

13-22

22-23

22-25

18-19

16-14

15-23

23-24

25-34

26-31

30-12

34-16

11-17

17-26

166.3Avg total

82.1Scored

84.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	82.7	81.7	164.5	+1.0	45%
Season at home (5)	89.4	77.2	166.6	+12.2	80%
Season away (6)	77.2	85.5	162.7	-8.3	17%
Last 10 (10)	82.1	84.2	166.3	-2.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	87.8	90.0	177.8	-2.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	78.7	81.6	160.3	-2.9	29%
vs Similar (6)	80.8	71.8	152.7	+9.0	83%
vs Weaker (17)	90.6	79.5	170.1	+11.1	88%

This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

GeelongBendigo

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	20.2	42.8	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.4	21.3	44.6	+2.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.9	19.3	41.2	+2.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	21.4	42.1	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	23.4	45.0	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	31.0	53.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.4	21.0	38.4	-3.6	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	23.7	19.1	42.9	+4.6	78%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	20.1	43.1	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.0	18.6	41.6	+4.4	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.0	21.9	44.9	+1.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	21.5	44.1	+1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	21.0	44.0	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	21.6	20.7	42.3	+0.9	29%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.3	21.0	44.3	+2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (17)	23.5	19.5	42.9	+4.0	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	20.2	43.0	+2.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.5	18.9	41.4	+3.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.1	21.4	44.4	+1.7	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	18.3	42.3	+5.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	16.6	40.8	+7.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.5	20.5	39.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	23.7	20.3	44.0	+3.4	74%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	18.8	39.9	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.9	18.4	38.3	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.6	19.3	41.9	+3.3	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	20.9	44.0	+2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	23.0	48.4	+2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	23.0	19.4	42.4	+3.6	43%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	21.0	18.8	39.8	+2.2	59%	-

GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Albury

47-46

H20/08

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

54-34

+20

H25/03

SEABL

Ballarat

55-37

+18

H31/03

SEABL

Dandenong

23-44

-21

H07/04

SEABL

Bendigo

39-36

A08/04

SEABL

Albury

#11

49-57

-8

A21/04

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

47-37

+10

A23/04

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

43-40

A29/04

SEABL

Canberra

#14

46-33

+13

H06/05

SEABL

Frankston

#12

44-33

+11

A13/05

SEABL

84.4Avg total

44.7Scored

39.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.4	40.4	85.8	+4.9	77%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.9	40.1	86.0	+5.7	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.9	40.7	85.6	+4.2	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.7	39.7	84.4	+5.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	40.0	85.8	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.5	51.5	92.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	37.8	40.6	78.4	-2.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	47.4	39.4	86.9	+8.0	91%	-

This opponent (Bendigo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BendigoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mt Gambier

39-41

-2

A31/03

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

45-28

+17

A07/04

SEABL

Geelong

36-39

-3

H08/04

SEABL

Albury

#11

50-45

H22/04

SEABL

Nunawading

45-51

-6

A23/04

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

49-50

-1

H28/04

SEABL

Ballarat

47-47

A29/04

SEABL

NW Tasmania

44-48

-4

A06/05

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

38-47

-9

A07/05

SEABL

Mt Gambier

64-28

+36

H13/05

SEABL

88.1Avg total

45.7Scored

42.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.1	38.9	82.9	+5.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.9	37.1	79.9	+5.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	45.6	41.2	86.8	+4.4	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.7	42.4	88.1	+3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.4	44.0	92.4	+4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	44.6	40.1	84.7	+4.4	29%	-
vs Similar (6)	42.3	39.0	81.3	+3.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (17)	44.5	38.3	82.8	+6.2	76%	-

This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	19.6	41.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	17.8	39.9	+4.3	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.1	21.2	42.3	-0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	17.0	37.3	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	17.0	38.4	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.5	14.0	37.5	+9.5	100%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.8	19.4	40.2	+1.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.6	20.1	41.7	+1.4	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	18.8	39.5	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.6	17.6	40.2	+4.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.3	20.2	38.5	-1.9	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.9	38.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.8	40.2	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	17.9	20.0	37.9	-2.1	29%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.0	19.3	39.3	+0.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (17)	22.2	18.1	40.2	+4.1	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.2	42.7	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.0	21.9	43.9	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.1	20.7	41.8	+0.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	19.7	41.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	22.6	45.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.5	23.0	46.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.6	22.8	45.4	-0.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.1	20.7	41.8	+0.3	35%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.3	40.3	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.9	19.1	38.0	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.4	21.8	43.2	-0.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	21.9	39.4	-4.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	25.2	45.2	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	16.3	21.4	37.7	-5.1	14%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.5	13.5	32.0	+5.0	83%	-
vs Weaker (17)	22.1	22.2	44.2	-0.1	47%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	40.8	83.9	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.1	39.6	83.7	+4.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.2	41.9	84.1	+0.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	36.7	78.5	+5.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	39.6	83.8	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	47.0	37.0	84.0	+10.0	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	43.4	42.2	85.6	+1.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	42.7	40.9	83.5	+1.8	52%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	39.0	79.8	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.5	36.7	78.2	+4.8	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.7	42.1	81.8	-2.4	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	41.8	78.2	-5.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	46.0	85.4	-6.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	34.1	41.4	75.6	-7.3	14%	-
vs Similar (6)	38.5	32.8	71.3	+5.7	83%	-
vs Weaker (17)	44.2	40.2	84.5	+4.0	65%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Geelong wins

Bendigo wins

Date	Game	Score
08/04/17	Bendigo v Geelong	63-74
01/07/16	Geelong v Bendigo	77-90
09/08/15	Bendigo v Geelong	93-81 OT
11/07/15	Geelong v Bendigo	69-76

Geelonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/05/17	A	Frankston	101-77
06/05/17	H	Canberra	89-59
29/04/17	A	Southern Sabres	80-84
23/04/17	A	Melbourne Tigers	83-80
21/04/17	A	Albury	97-98
08/04/17	A	Bendigo	74-63
07/04/17	H	Dandenong	62-75
31/03/17	H	Ballarat	100-76
25/03/17	H	BA CoE	97-68
20/08/16	H	Albury	82-84

Bendigolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/05/17	H	Mt Gambier	92-71
07/05/17	A	Hobart Chargers	89-112
06/05/17	A	NW Tasmania	78-81
29/04/17	A	Ballarat	73-87
28/04/17	H	BA CoE	107-99
23/04/17	A	Nunawading	79-90
22/04/17	H	Albury	96-85
08/04/17	H	Geelong	63-74
07/04/17	A	Southern Sabres	78-63
31/03/17	A	Mt Gambier	66-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong

SEABL 2017

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	67%
Home	WWLW	75%
Away	WLWLW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	67%	75%	60%
Points / game	87.0	87.0	87.0
Allowed / game	75.6	69.5	80.4
Point differential	+11.4	+17.5	+6.6
Avg total	162.6	156.5	167.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	56%	75%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	-	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Bendigo

SEABL 2017

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	45%
Home	WLWWW	80%
Away	WLLLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	45%	80%	17%
Points / game	82.7	89.4	77.2
Allowed / game	81.7	77.2	85.5
Point differential	+1.0	+12.2	-8.3
Avg total	164.5	166.6	162.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	60%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Nunawading	10	9	1	90%	89.5	79.0	+10.5
2	Mt Gambier	10	9	1	90%	90.4	80.6	+9.8
3	Hobart Chargers	10	8	2	80%	100.6	79.9	+20.7
4	Geelong	9	6	3	67%	87.0	75.6	+11.4
5	Ballarat	8	5	3	62%	86.1	85.5	+0.6
6	Dandenong	11	6	5	55%	79.3	81.5	-2.2
7	Kilsyth	10	5	5	50%	77.1	78.6	-1.5
8	Bendigo	11	5	6	45%	82.7	81.7	+1.0
9	Albury	9	4	5	44%	92.2	93.0	-0.8
10	Southern Sabres	9	4	5	44%	77.8	81.0	-3.2
11	Melbourne Tigers	8	3	5	38%	78.0	89.4	-11.4
12	NW Tasmania	9	3	6	33%	78.2	83.9	-5.7
13	BA CoE	6	1	5	17%	76.3	90.5	-14.2
14	Frankston	10	1	9	10%	79.1	92.3	-13.2
15	Canberra	8	0	8	0%	75.9	87.8	-11.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Geelong	32	21	16	14	83
Bendigo	23	22	14	18	77

← all games of the day

Geelong vs Bendigo Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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