PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Geelong vs Diamond Valley Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 110-94
35-19 24-27 27-29 24-19
Position#17
Record5-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game88.6
Geelong 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#19
Record4-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game93.7
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Geelong v Diamond Valley
21 Jun 2025
GEEL110
DIAM94
19 May 2019
GEEL87
DIAM81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Diamond Valley winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NW Tasmania
#18
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A25/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A26/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A03/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H10/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
76-97
76
97
-21
A16/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
88-94
88
94
-6
A18/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A24/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
W
89-86
89
86
+3
H31/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
82-110
82
110
-28
A14/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
L
85-97
85
97
-12
H15/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
22-23
20-23
27-20
11-15
23-28
21-15
23-15
20-25
11-12
20-21
22-27
24-24
22-14
16-11
26-27
12-27
16-21
28-24
20-25
25-37
31-16
18-17
14-24
22-24
16-13
16-14
14-22
26-30
24-16
24-20
15-20
20-29
24-22
21-29
17-30
16-30
21-19
22-22
26-26
168.6Avg total
81.3Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.988.6170.4-6.736%
Season at home (6)84.588.3172.8-3.850%
Season away (8)79.988.8168.6-8.925%
Last 10 (10)81.387.3168.6-6.040%
Last 5 (5)82.492.0174.4-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)78.589.4167.9-10.927%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.880.1164.9+4.780%
vs Weaker (5)85.082.0167.0+3.060%
This opponent (Diamond Valley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diamond ValleyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston
#12
L
75-94
75
94
-19
A11/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H25/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
97-94 OT
97
94
+3
A26/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
100-104 OT
100
104
-4
H03/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
94-104
94
104
-10
A11/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
88-104
88
104
-16
H17/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
98-68
98
68
+30
A24/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
81-92
81
92
-11
A31/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
L
80-96
80
96
-16
A09/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
67-102
67
102
-35
H14/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-33
18-23
15-21
13-17
20-16
26-17
16-29
17-13
11-26
26-25
25-11
23-23
25-30
18-25
21-16
23-16
29-20
31-20
17-34
17-30
22-26
19-27
23-22
24-29
22-26
23-10
23-14
30-18
26-24
18-22
15-19
22-27
15-38
32-7
19-25
14-26
14-24
25-25
12-27
16-26
179.2Avg total
85.9Scored
93.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)84.493.7178.1-9.429%
Season at home (7)78.794.9173.6-16.114%
Season away (7)90.092.6182.6-2.643%
Last 10 (10)85.993.3179.2-7.430%
Last 5 (5)82.892.4175.2-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)84.694.8179.4-10.226%
vs Similar ◀ (7)89.685.0174.6+4.657%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.4-6.4Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -2.6-2.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.4-6.4Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -2.6-2.6
GeelongDiamond Valley
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NW Tasmania
#18
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A25/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A26/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A03/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H10/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A16/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A18/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A24/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H31/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A14/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H15/06
NBL1 South
84.4Avg total
40.3Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.643.683.2-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.743.586.2-0.850%-
Last 30 away (16)36.943.780.6-6.819%-
Last 10 (10)40.344.184.4-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)45.047.292.2-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.045.483.4-7.427%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.841.783.5+0.140%-
vs Weaker (5)40.042.082.0-2.040%-
This opponent (Diamond Valley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diamond ValleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston
#12
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A11/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H25/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A26/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H03/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
60-40
60
40
+20
A11/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H17/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A24/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A31/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A09/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H14/06
NBL1 South
91.3Avg total
44.9Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.146.088.1-3.933%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.444.984.3-5.621%-
Last 30 away (16)44.546.991.4-2.444%-
Last 10 (10)44.946.491.3-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)43.245.889.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)41.647.088.6-5.526%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)43.942.486.3+1.457%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Geelong wins
0
Diamond Valley wins
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/06/25HNW Tasmania85-97
14/06/25ARingwood82-110
31/05/25HMelbourne Tigers89-86
24/05/25AEltham68-73
18/05/25AMt Gambier88-94
16/05/25AKnox76-97
10/05/25HDandenong88-76
03/05/25ASandringham Sabres73-85
26/04/25AHobart Chargers78-73
25/04/25ANW Tasmania86-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/06/25HSandringham Sabres67-102
09/06/25AWaverley80-96
31/05/25AEltham81-92
24/05/25ABendigo Braves98-68
17/05/25HKilsyth88-104
11/05/25ABallarat94-104
03/05/25HEltham100-104 OT
26/04/25ACasey Cavaliers97-94 OT
25/04/25HRingwood79-75
11/04/25AFrankston75-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL36%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %36%50%25%
Points / game81.984.579.9
Allowed / game88.688.388.8
Point differential-6.7-3.8-8.9
Avg total170.4172.8168.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Diamond Valley
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeLWLLL14%
AwayWLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%14%43%
Points / game84.478.790.0
Allowed / game93.794.992.6
Point differential-9.4-16.1-2.6
Avg total178.1173.6182.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %14%14%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox1614288%92.880.8+12.0
2 Casey Cavaliers149564%89.283.3+5.9
3 Mt Gambier1610662%96.786.3+10.4
4 Melbourne Tigers159660%87.180.2+6.9
5 Hobart Chargers159660%87.083.1+3.9
6 Ballarat148657%87.192.9-5.7
7 Frankston158753%92.187.7+4.5
8 Kilsyth158753%86.685.9+0.7
9 Sandringham Sabres147750%89.389.8-0.5
10 Eltham147750%86.186.9-0.8
11 Nunawading147750%85.988.4-2.5
12 Bendigo Braves168850%87.694.2-6.6
13 Ringwood157847%95.089.7+5.3
14 Waverley157847%92.695.6-3.0
15 Geelong145936%81.988.6-6.7
16 Keilor Thunder145936%80.789.5-8.8
17 NW Tasmania1441029%86.488.4-2.0
18 Diamond Valley1441029%84.493.7-9.4
19 Dandenong1431121%87.894.9-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong35242724110
Diamond Valley1927291994
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.