Geelong vs Kilsyth Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Apr 2019

Tip-off: 09:00

Final 78-95

23-28 25-26 17-24 13-17

Position#4

Record3-2

FormLWLWW

Points / game81.2

Allowed / game77.2

Geelong

Kilsyth 🏆

Position#7

Record4-0

FormLWWWW

Points / game88.8

Allowed / game81.0

NBL 1

Other2019

Meetings · Geelong v Kilsyth

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Kilsyth winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geelong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Southern Sabres

#10

86-84

H21/07

SEABL

Nunawading

96-76

+20

H28/07

SEABL

Albury

#11

109-84

109

+25

H05/08

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

88-73

+15

H13/08

SEABL

Nunawading

65-107

107

-42

A19/08

SEABL

Nunawading

70-93

-23

H29/03

NBL 1

Knox

#13

88-72

+16

H06/04

NBL 1

Frankston

72-77

-5

A12/04

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

103-72

103

+31

H20/04

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

73-72

A25/04

NBL 1

20-17

24-15

21-27

21-25

27-23

20-19

27-11

22-23

29-16

28-22

26-27

26-19

28-20

16-19

25-12

19-22

23-29

11-24

18-22

13-32

21-32

16-28

18-16

15-17

30-17

9-22

26-18

23-15

18-25

16-6

19-19

19-27

26-19

26-17

32-15

19-21

21-27

10-18

26-9

16-18

166.0Avg total

85.0Scored

81.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	81.2	77.2	158.4	+4.0	60%
Season at home (3)	87.0	79.0	166.0	+8.0	67%
Season away (2)	72.5	74.5	147.0	-2.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	85.0	81.0	166.0	+4.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	81.2	77.2	158.4	+4.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	79.2	92.4	171.6	-13.2	0%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	81.0	85.7	166.7	-4.7	50%
vs Weaker (19)	89.3	77.7	167.0	+11.5	84%

This opponent (Kilsyth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kilsyth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NW Tasmania

80-84

-4

H08/07

SEABL

Geelong

62-79

-17

A09/07

SEABL

Frankston

#12

88-75

+13

H15/07

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

84-67

+17

H22/07

SEABL

Albury

#11

103-93

103

+10

A29/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

73-92

-19

H05/08

SEABL

Knox

#13

70-67

A30/03

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

93-88

H31/03

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

100-90

100

+10

H13/04

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

92-79

+13

A14/04

NBL 1

6-30

21-17

28-21

25-16

13-15

18-21

21-20

10-23

23-14

19-19

21-17

25-25

12-16

23-10

22-21

27-20

31-20

28-26

22-27

22-20

19-26

22-25

12-22

20-19

10-18

23-15

24-20

13-14

30-27

24-19

18-23

21-19

27-28

23-19

31-18

19-25

29-16

30-17

8-31

25-15

165.9Avg total

84.5Scored

81.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	88.8	81.0	169.8	+7.8	100%
Season at home (2)	96.5	89.0	185.5	+7.5	100%
Season away (2)	81.0	73.0	154.0	+8.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	84.5	81.4	165.9	+3.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	85.6	83.2	168.8	+2.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	71.8	82.4	154.2	-10.6	10%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	86.1	82.4	168.5	+3.7	70%
vs Weaker (10)	84.2	73.9	158.1	+10.3	90%

This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

GeelongKilsyth

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	22.7	45.4	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	21.1	43.9	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.4	24.4	46.8	-2.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.3	22.5	46.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	24.0	47.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.6	28.8	48.4	-9.2	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	21.0	24.0	45.0	-3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (19)	23.9	20.7	44.7	+3.2	63%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	21.7	40.5	-2.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	22.7	41.9	-3.5	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	20.6	39.0	-2.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	23.0	46.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.0	22.1	38.1	-6.1	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.7	25.3	46.0	-4.6	30%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.8	17.7	37.5	+2.1	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.8	40.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	18.7	39.5	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	20.9	41.3	-0.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	19.0	36.6	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	18.2	33.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	15.6	21.6	37.2	-6.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	18.8	22.7	41.5	-3.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (19)	22.5	18.5	40.9	+4.0	74%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	19.7	40.0	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	18.8	41.9	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	19.0	43.4	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.4	22.0	40.4	-3.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.1	20.4	40.5	-0.3	60%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.2	16.3	38.5	+5.9	60%	-

GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Southern Sabres

#10

44-32

+12

H21/07

SEABL

Nunawading

47-42

H28/07

SEABL

Albury

#11

57-38

+19

H05/08

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

44-39

H13/08

SEABL

Nunawading

34-53

-19

A19/08

SEABL

Nunawading

37-60

-23

H29/03

NBL 1

Knox

#13

39-39

H06/04

NBL 1

Frankston

34-31

A12/04

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

52-36

+16

H20/04

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

31-45

-14

A25/04

NBL 1

83.4Avg total

41.9Scored

41.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	42.6	85.8	+0.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	39.8	83.5	+3.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.8	45.3	88.1	-2.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	41.5	83.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	42.2	80.8	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	35.2	50.4	85.6	-15.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	39.8	46.7	86.5	-6.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (19)	46.4	39.2	85.6	+7.2	84%	-

This opponent (Kilsyth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KilsythLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NW Tasmania

27-47

-20

H08/07

SEABL

Geelong

31-36

-5

A09/07

SEABL

Frankston

#12

42-33

H15/07

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

35-26

H22/07

SEABL

Albury

#11

59-46

+13

A29/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

41-51

-10

H05/08

SEABL

Knox

#13

33-33

A30/03

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

54-46

H31/03

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

50-47

H13/04

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

59-33

+26

A14/04

NBL 1

82.9Avg total

43.1Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	41.3	80.3	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.4	42.1	81.5	-2.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.7	40.3	79.0	-1.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	39.8	82.9	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	42.0	89.4	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	34.4	44.1	78.5	-9.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	40.8	45.7	86.5	-4.9	20%	-
vs Weaker (10)	42.0	34.0	76.0	+8.0	80%	-

This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	18.7	40.1	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	18.1	40.4	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	19.3	39.7	+1.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	17.6	41.4	+6.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	15.4	39.6	+8.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.6	20.2	42.8	+2.4	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.8	16.5	37.3	+4.3	83%	-
vs Weaker (19)	21.2	19.0	40.2	+2.2	53%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.1	41.3	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	20.0	42.2	+2.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	20.2	40.3	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	22.0	42.7	-1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	22.8	41.4	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.7	18.9	37.6	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	24.4	20.7	45.1	+3.7	60%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.6	20.7	41.3	-0.1	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.5	41.8	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	19.5	41.1	+2.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	21.5	42.6	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.9	41.2	-2.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.6	38.0	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.4	21.8	43.2	-0.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.3	22.5	42.8	-2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (19)	21.6	19.5	41.2	+2.1	47%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	17.6	37.2	+2.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	17.8	38.5	+3.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	17.4	35.6	+0.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.6	40.3	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.6	18.2	34.8	-1.6	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.9	16.0	36.9	+4.9	70%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.3	18.5	39.8	+2.8	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	39.2	81.9	+3.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.8	37.7	81.5	+6.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.6	40.7	82.3	+0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	39.5	82.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	35.0	77.6	+7.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	44.0	42.0	86.0	+2.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	41.2	39.0	80.2	+2.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (19)	42.8	38.5	81.4	+4.3	58%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	37.7	78.5	+3.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.0	37.8	80.8	+5.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.4	37.6	75.9	+0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	41.6	83.0	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	41.2	79.4	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	35.3	37.1	72.4	-1.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	45.3	36.7	82.0	+8.6	70%	-
vs Weaker (10)	41.9	39.2	81.1	+2.7	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Geelong wins

Kilsyth wins

Date	Game	Score
09/07/17	Geelong v Kilsyth	79-62
04/06/17	Kilsyth v Geelong	77-82
04/06/16	Kilsyth v Geelong	70-91
08/04/16	Geelong v Kilsyth	87-60
14/08/15	Geelong v Kilsyth	83-65
02/05/15	Kilsyth v Geelong	81-90

Geelonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/04/19	A	BA CoE	73-72
20/04/19	H	Eltham	103-72
12/04/19	A	Frankston	72-77
06/04/19	H	Knox	88-72
29/03/19	H	Nunawading	70-93
19/08/17	A	Nunawading	65-107
13/08/17	H	Southern Sabres	88-73
05/08/17	H	Albury	109-84
28/07/17	H	Nunawading	96-76
21/07/17	H	Southern Sabres	86-84

Kilsythlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/04/19	A	Ringwood	92-79
13/04/19	H	Bendigo Braves	100-90
31/03/19	H	BA CoE	93-88
30/03/19	A	Knox	70-67
05/08/17	H	Mt Gambier	73-92
29/07/17	A	Albury	103-93
22/07/17	H	Melbourne Tigers	84-67
15/07/17	H	Frankston	88-75
09/07/17	A	Geelong	62-79
08/07/17	H	NW Tasmania	80-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	60%
Home	LWW	67%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	60%	67%	50%
Points / game	81.2	87.0	72.5
Allowed / game	77.2	79.0	74.5
Point differential	+4.0	+8.0	-2.0
Avg total	158.4	166.0	147.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	67%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Kilsyth

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	88.8	96.5	81.0
Allowed / game	81.0	89.0	73.0
Point differential	+7.8	+7.5	+8.0
Avg total	169.8	185.5	154.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	50%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	3	3	0	100%	103.0	86.0	+17.0
2	Kilsyth	4	4	0	100%	88.8	81.0	+7.8
3	Ballarat	3	3	0	100%	89.3	82.0	+7.3
4	Nunawading	5	4	1	80%	93.0	78.2	+14.8
5	Waverley	4	3	1	75%	89.2	86.0	+3.2
6	NW Tasmania	3	2	1	67%	92.3	83.3	+9.0
7	Geelong	5	3	2	60%	81.2	77.2	+4.0
8	Dandenong	5	3	2	60%	83.4	82.4	+1.0
9	Melbourne Tigers	4	2	2	50%	83.8	80.0	+3.8
10	BA CoE	6	3	3	50%	87.7	85.8	+1.8
11	Bendigo Braves	5	2	3	40%	81.8	84.6	-2.8
12	Ringwood	3	1	2	33%	94.7	97.0	-2.3
13	Hobart Huskies	3	1	2	33%	85.0	91.7	-6.7
14	Knox	4	1	3	25%	77.8	79.8	-2.0
15	Eltham	4	1	3	25%	81.0	94.5	-13.5
16	Frankston	5	1	4	20%	82.8	90.8	-8.0
17	Diamond Valley	4	0	4	0%	81.8	95.8	-14.0
18	Southern Sabres	4	0	4	0%	76.0	93.5	-17.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Geelong	23	25	17	13	78
Kilsyth	28	26	24	17	95

← all games of the day

Geelong vs Kilsyth Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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