Geelong vs Southern Sabres Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Jul 2017

Tip-off: 10:00

Final 86-84

20-17 24-15 21-27 21-25

Position#4

Record13-8

FormLWLWW

Points / game86.9

Allowed / game81.5

Geelong 🏆

Southern Sabres

Position#10

Record9-11

FormLWWLL

Points / game82.2

Allowed / game84.0

SEABL

Other2017

Meetings · Geelong v Southern Sabres

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Southern Sabres winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geelong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Canberra

#14

102-94

102

A27/05

SEABL

Nunawading

79-73

A03/06

SEABL

Kilsyth

82-77

A04/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

72-95

-23

H17/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

94-104

104

-10

A23/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

88-93

-5

A30/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

92-85

A01/07

SEABL

Ballarat

84-107

107

-23

A07/07

SEABL

Kilsyth

79-62

+17

H09/07

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

100-72

100

+28

H15/07

SEABL

29-26

34-24

17-31

22-13

18-24

22-18

14-13

25-18

29-19

21-24

15-16

17-18

14-23

13-17

26-31

19-24

27-41

21-35

19-6

27-22

18-23

12-22

31-29

27-19

26-15

24-15

15-30

27-25

22-25

18-37

28-23

16-22

15-13

21-18

20-21

23-10

18-20

28-15

23-16

31-21

173.4Avg total

87.2Scored

86.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	86.9	81.5	168.4	+5.4	62%
Season at home (9)	85.4	75.1	160.6	+10.3	67%
Season away (12)	88.0	86.2	174.2	+1.8	58%
Last 10 (10)	87.2	86.2	173.4	+1.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	88.6	83.8	172.4	+4.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	85.8	93.8	179.6	-8.0	20%
vs Similar (5)	80.8	84.2	165.0	-3.4	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	91.5	78.4	169.9	+13.1	80%

This opponent (Southern Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Southern Sabres Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dandenong

84-83

A27/05

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

97-67

+30

H28/05

SEABL

Mt Gambier

70-85

-15

A02/06

SEABL

Frankston

#12

80-71

H04/06

SEABL

Kilsyth

87-92

-5

A17/06

SEABL

Ballarat

86-92

-6

H18/06

SEABL

Nunawading

96-93

H24/06

SEABL

Albury

#11

110-83

110

+27

H01/07

SEABL

Frankston

#12

71-86

-15

A08/07

SEABL

Bendigo

82-92

-10

A15/07

SEABL

27-26

22-17

19-20

16-20

24-13

17-20

27-20

29-14

22-27

12-17

24-23

12-18

24-20

24-16

14-18

18-17

26-24

18-20

30-28

13-20

20-29

16-21

29-24

21-18

21-35

27-15

22-19

26-24

23-28

27-12

21-20

39-23

21-16

19-31

18-10

13-29

20-25

18-22

23-22

21-23

170.7Avg total

86.3Scored

84.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	82.2	84.0	166.2	-1.8	45%
Season at home (9)	87.3	80.6	167.9	+6.8	67%
Season away (11)	77.9	86.8	164.7	-8.9	27%
Last 10 (10)	86.3	84.4	170.7	+1.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	89.0	89.2	178.2	-0.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	80.4	91.7	172.1	-11.3	38%
vs Similar (12)	84.5	82.7	167.2	+1.8	58%
vs Weaker (5)	82.0	74.2	156.2	+7.8	60%

This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

GeelongSouthern Sabres

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	22.0	44.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	21.9	44.2	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.1	22.1	44.2	+0.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	22.9	44.5	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.6	29.8	50.4	-9.2	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.8	21.4	39.2	-3.6	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.8	20.2	44.0	+3.6	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	22.3	42.5	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.8	23.1	44.9	-1.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	21.5	40.4	-2.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	24.3	47.1	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	26.6	47.6	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.6	25.8	45.4	-6.2	15%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.7	20.8	41.5	-0.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.0	16.6	37.6	+4.4	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	20.3	43.2	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.4	18.1	41.4	+5.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.6	22.2	44.8	+0.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	22.5	43.9	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.4	42.0	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.6	23.0	39.6	-6.4	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.0	23.0	43.0	-3.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	25.2	18.9	44.1	+6.4	85%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.8	39.9	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	19.4	41.0	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	20.1	39.0	-1.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.1	39.1	+0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.2	41.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.8	19.9	39.7	-0.2	31%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.8	19.3	40.1	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.8	20.4	40.2	-0.6	40%	-

GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Canberra

#14

63-50

+13

A27/05

SEABL

Nunawading

40-42

-2

A03/06

SEABL

Kilsyth

50-43

A04/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

27-40

-13

H17/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

48-76

-28

A23/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

30-45

-15

A30/06

SEABL

NW Tasmania

50-30

+20

A01/07

SEABL

Ballarat

40-62

-22

A07/07

SEABL

Kilsyth

36-31

H09/07

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

46-35

+11

H15/07

SEABL

88.4Avg total

43.0Scored

45.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.2	42.3	87.4	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.7	39.9	85.6	+5.8	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.7	44.3	89.0	+0.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	45.4	88.4	-2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	40.6	81.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.2	52.8	90.0	-15.6	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	37.8	44.4	82.2	-6.6	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	49.0	39.1	88.1	+9.9	95%	-

This opponent (Southern Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Southern SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dandenong

49-43

A27/05

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

41-33

H28/05

SEABL

Mt Gambier

34-44

-10

A02/06

SEABL

Frankston

#12

48-36

+12

H04/06

SEABL

Kilsyth

44-44

A17/06

SEABL

Ballarat

36-50

-14

H18/06

SEABL

Nunawading

48-50

-2

H24/06

SEABL

Albury

#11

50-40

+10

H01/07

SEABL

Frankston

#12

40-47

-7

A08/07

SEABL

Bendigo

38-47

-9

A15/07

SEABL

86.2Avg total

42.8Scored

43.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	42.0	82.5	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.4	42.5	85.9	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.8	41.6	79.4	-3.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	43.4	86.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	46.8	89.2	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	39.4	45.7	85.1	-6.3	23%	-
vs Similar (12)	41.4	40.2	81.6	+1.2	58%	-
vs Weaker (5)	40.8	37.0	77.8	+3.8	60%	-

This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.7	41.1	+1.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	18.6	40.0	+2.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	20.6	42.1	+0.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	23.8	47.2	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	24.6	18.8	43.4	+5.8	80%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.9	20.0	41.0	+0.9	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	21.7	43.5	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.1	20.6	43.7	+2.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	22.6	43.2	-2.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	20.4	43.1	+2.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	19.0	41.6	+3.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	23.0	22.8	45.8	+0.2	46%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.1	22.2	43.2	-1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.4	17.6	38.0	+2.8	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	20.0	42.2	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	19.7	40.9	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.1	20.2	43.3	+2.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	19.2	42.6	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	19.4	44.2	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	24.0	22.2	46.2	+1.8	60%	-
vs Similar (5)	23.0	20.4	43.4	+2.6	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.6	19.3	40.9	+2.3	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.5	41.5	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.0	20.6	43.6	+2.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.5	22.2	39.7	-4.7	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.6	41.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	23.4	47.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.0	23.2	41.2	-5.2	31%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.0	20.3	42.3	+1.7	58%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.8	19.6	40.4	+1.2	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.6	39.7	83.3	+4.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.6	38.4	80.9	+4.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.6	40.8	85.4	+3.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	40.8	85.0	+3.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.2	43.2	91.4	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	48.6	41.0	89.6	+7.6	60%	-
vs Similar (5)	43.0	39.8	82.8	+3.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	42.5	39.3	81.8	+3.2	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	43.1	85.0	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.1	41.2	87.4	+4.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.1	44.8	82.9	-6.7	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	41.0	84.5	+2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	42.4	89.0	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	41.0	46.0	87.0	-5.0	31%	-
vs Similar (12)	43.1	42.5	85.6	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	41.2	37.2	78.4	+4.0	40%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Geelong wins

Southern Sabres wins

Date	Game	Score
29/04/17	Southern Sabres v Geelong	84-80
19/06/16	Southern Sabres v Geelong	89-76
27/05/16	Geelong v Southern Sabres	87-80
16/05/15	Southern Sabres v Geelong	88-93

Geelonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/07/17	H	Melbourne Tigers	100-72
09/07/17	H	Kilsyth	79-62
07/07/17	A	Ballarat	84-107
01/07/17	A	NW Tasmania	92-85
30/06/17	A	Hobart Chargers	88-93
23/06/17	A	Mt Gambier	94-104
17/06/17	H	Mt Gambier	72-95
04/06/17	A	Kilsyth	82-77
03/06/17	A	Nunawading	79-73
27/05/17	A	Canberra	102-94

Southern Sabreslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/07/17	A	Bendigo	82-92
08/07/17	A	Frankston	71-86
01/07/17	H	Albury	110-83
24/06/17	H	Nunawading	96-93
18/06/17	H	Ballarat	86-92
17/06/17	A	Kilsyth	87-92
04/06/17	H	Frankston	80-71
02/06/17	A	Mt Gambier	70-85
28/05/17	H	Melbourne Tigers	97-67
27/05/17	A	Dandenong	84-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong

SEABL 2017

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	62%
Home	WLLWW	67%
Away	WLLWL	58%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	9	12
Win %	62%	67%	58%
Points / game	86.9	85.4	88.0
Allowed / game	81.5	75.1	86.2
Point differential	+5.4	+10.3	+1.8
Avg total	168.4	160.6	174.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	56%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	0% (1)	40% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Southern Sabres

SEABL 2017

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	45%
Home	WWLWW	67%
Away	WLLLL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	9	11
Win %	45%	67%	27%
Points / game	82.2	87.3	77.9
Allowed / game	84.0	80.6	86.8
Point differential	-1.9	+6.8	-8.9
Avg total	166.2	167.9	164.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	33%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	19	17	2	89%	91.9	78.3	+13.6
2	Nunawading	20	14	6	70%	89.3	82.4	+6.9
3	Ballarat	20	13	7	65%	88.6	84.2	+4.3
4	Dandenong	20	13	7	65%	81.9	79.0	+2.9
5	Hobart Chargers	19	12	7	63%	94.1	80.9	+13.2
6	Geelong	21	13	8	62%	86.9	81.5	+5.4
7	NW Tasmania	20	10	10	50%	80.8	82.8	-2.0
8	Bendigo	21	10	11	48%	87.4	86.5	+1.0
9	Albury	20	9	11	45%	92.0	93.0	-1.0
10	Southern Sabres	20	9	11	45%	82.2	84.0	-1.9
11	Kilsyth	21	9	12	43%	78.6	80.8	-2.2
12	Frankston	21	7	14	33%	80.7	87.6	-7.0
13	Melbourne Tigers	19	5	14	26%	76.0	89.9	-13.9
14	BA CoE	12	2	10	17%	77.2	89.8	-12.7
15	Canberra	19	3	16	16%	79.8	91.3	-11.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Geelong	20	24	21	21	86
Southern Sabres	17	15	27	25	84

← all games of the day

Geelong vs Southern Sabres Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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