Kilsyth vs Mt Gambier Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Aug 2017

Tip-off: 10:00

Final 73-92

19-26 22-25 12-22 20-19

Position#9

Record11-12

FormLLWWW

Points / game79.9

Allowed / game80.7

Kilsyth

Mt Gambier 🏆

Position#1

Record20-3

FormWWWWL

Points / game93.0

Allowed / game79.5

SEABL

Other2017

Meetings · Kilsyth v Mt Gambier

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kilsyth winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Mt Gambier winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kilsyth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dandenong

64-85

-21

A03/06

SEABL

Geelong

77-82

-5

H04/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

92-87

H17/06

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

88-66

+22

A24/06

SEABL

Albury

#11

103-90

103

+13

H02/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

80-84

-4

H08/07

SEABL

Geelong

62-79

-17

A09/07

SEABL

Frankston

#12

88-75

+13

H15/07

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

84-67

+17

H22/07

SEABL

Albury

#11

103-93

103

+10

A29/07

SEABL

19-24

14-19

21-24

10-18

19-29

24-21

16-15

18-17

24-26

20-18

28-30

20-13

17-24

22-9

27-18

22-15

24-32

18-24

29-22

32-12

6-30

21-17

28-21

25-16

13-15

18-21

21-20

10-23

23-14

19-19

21-17

25-25

12-16

23-10

22-21

27-20

31-20

28-26

22-27

22-20

164.9Avg total

84.1Scored

80.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	79.9	80.7	160.6	-0.9	48%
Season at home (11)	83.4	82.4	165.7	+1.0	55%
Season away (12)	76.7	79.2	155.9	-2.6	42%
Last 10 (10)	84.1	80.8	164.9	+3.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	83.4	79.6	163.0	+3.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	73.0	80.3	153.3	-7.3	15%
vs Similar (9)	85.4	83.6	169.0	+1.9	56%
vs Weaker (8)	82.1	71.5	153.6	+10.6	88%

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Mt Gambier Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dandenong

77-91

-14

A18/06

SEABL

Geelong

104-94

104

+10

H23/06

SEABL

Ballarat

100-75

100

+25

H01/07

SEABL

Nunawading

92-81

+11

H07/07

SEABL

Canberra

#14

113-69

113

+44

A15/07

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

94-63

+31

A16/07

SEABL

Albury

#11

103-82

103

+21

H21/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

99-89

+10

H28/07

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

110-83

110

+27

A30/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

80-88

-8

A04/08

SEABL

20-21

19-19

23-28

15-23

41-27

35-21

6-19

22-27

25-27

35-11

13-19

27-18

23-19

24-18

20-21

25-23

32-20

23-12

29-21

29-16

19-19

24-16

27-11

24-17

22-22

25-23

27-20

29-17

20-24

25-25

27-20

27-26

30-18

26-23

27-16

22-33

20-20

18-16

20-19

178.7Avg total

97.2Scored

81.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	93.0	79.5	172.5	+13.4	87%
Season at home (12)	95.6	78.9	174.5	+16.7	100%
Season away (11)	90.1	80.2	170.3	+9.9	73%
Last 10 (10)	97.2	81.5	178.7	+15.7	80%
Last 5 (5)	97.2	81.0	178.2	+16.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	83.2	78.6	161.8	+4.6	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	92.4	78.1	170.5	+14.3	92%

This opponent (Kilsyth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

KilsythMt Gambier

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	21.5	39.9	-3.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.4	22.1	40.5	-3.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	20.9	39.3	-2.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	23.0	41.8	-4.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	19.0	36.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	17.3	21.7	39.0	-4.4	23%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.9	25.3	46.2	-4.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	17.4	16.8	34.1	+0.6	38%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.8	20.8	45.7	+4.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	26.6	19.4	46.0	+7.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.1	22.3	45.3	+0.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.1	23.8	48.9	+1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	24.8	46.8	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	21.8	23.0	44.8	-1.2	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	25.4	20.4	45.8	+5.0	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.9	38.3	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	18.3	37.6	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	19.5	38.9	+0.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	18.4	39.1	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	18.6	40.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.3	19.2	37.5	-0.8	62%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.6	21.1	40.7	-1.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.0	15.9	36.9	+5.1	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	18.2	40.2	+3.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.4	18.3	41.7	+5.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	18.1	38.8	+2.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.0	18.3	44.3	+7.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	20.4	45.2	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	20.2	18.0	38.2	+2.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	22.4	18.2	40.6	+4.2	68%	-

KilsythLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dandenong

33-43

-10

A03/06

SEABL

Geelong

43-50

-7

H04/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

44-44

H17/06

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

39-33

A24/06

SEABL

Albury

#11

42-56

-14

H02/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

27-47

-20

H08/07

SEABL

Geelong

31-36

-5

A09/07

SEABL

Frankston

#12

42-33

H15/07

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

35-26

H22/07

SEABL

Albury

#11

59-46

+13

A29/07

SEABL

80.9Avg total

39.5Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	40.3	78.1	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.7	40.3	78.1	-2.6	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.9	40.3	78.2	-2.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	41.4	80.9	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	37.6	76.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	35.6	40.8	76.5	-5.2	23%	-
vs Similar (9)	40.4	46.4	86.9	-6.0	11%	-
vs Weaker (8)	38.4	32.6	71.0	+5.8	75%	-

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dandenong

39-40

-1

A18/06

SEABL

Geelong

76-48

+28

H23/06

SEABL

Ballarat

60-38

+22

H01/07

SEABL

Nunawading

47-37

+10

H07/07

SEABL

Canberra

#14

55-32

+23

A15/07

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

43-35

A16/07

SEABL

Albury

#11

47-45

H21/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

45-49

-4

H28/07

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

57-44

+13

A30/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

42-53

-11

A04/08

SEABL

93.2Avg total

51.1Scored

42.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.9	39.0	85.9	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	50.0	37.7	87.7	+12.3	93%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.7	40.4	84.1	+3.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	51.1	42.1	93.2	+9.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	45.2	92.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	42.0	41.0	83.0	+1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	47.8	38.6	86.5	+9.2	88%	-

This opponent (Kilsyth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.9	40.8	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	19.7	42.0	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	20.1	39.5	-0.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	21.5	45.0	+2.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	21.2	44.0	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.8	19.3	38.1	-0.5	46%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.6	21.3	43.9	+1.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (8)	22.5	19.1	41.6	+3.4	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	20.2	42.5	+2.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	20.1	41.5	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.3	20.3	43.6	+3.1	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	19.8	41.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	18.0	43.0	+7.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	20.2	17.2	37.4	+3.0	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	22.8	20.8	43.6	+2.0	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.1	37.8	+1.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	17.9	39.3	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	18.3	36.2	-0.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	17.9	39.0	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.8	42.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	17.0	19.2	36.2	-2.2	38%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.4	15.8	38.2	+6.7	89%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.9	18.9	39.8	+2.0	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	19.0	40.6	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	19.2	42.3	+3.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	18.7	38.9	+1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	19.6	44.1	+4.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	17.8	43.2	+7.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	21.0	20.4	41.4	+0.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	21.8	18.7	40.4	+3.1	68%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	38.0	78.5	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	37.6	81.3	+6.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.4	38.3	75.7	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.6	39.4	84.0	+5.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	42.0	86.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	35.8	38.5	74.3	-2.8	46%	-
vs Similar (9)	45.0	37.1	82.1	+7.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	43.4	38.0	81.4	+5.4	88%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	39.1	83.1	+4.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.5	39.3	83.7	+5.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.5	39.0	82.5	+4.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.1	39.4	85.5	+6.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.4	35.8	86.2	+14.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	41.2	37.6	78.8	+3.6	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	44.6	39.4	84.0	+5.1	68%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Kilsyth wins

Mt Gambier wins

Date	Game	Score
26/05/17	Mt Gambier v Kilsyth	82-66
29/04/16	Mt Gambier v Kilsyth	83-58
13/06/15	Kilsyth v Mt Gambier	75-89
22/05/15	Mt Gambier v Kilsyth	85-61

Kilsythlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/07/17	A	Albury	103-93
22/07/17	H	Melbourne Tigers	84-67
15/07/17	H	Frankston	88-75
09/07/17	A	Geelong	62-79
08/07/17	H	NW Tasmania	80-84
02/07/17	H	Albury	103-90
24/06/17	A	Melbourne Tigers	88-66
17/06/17	H	Southern Sabres	92-87
04/06/17	H	Geelong	77-82
03/06/17	A	Dandenong	64-85

Mt Gambierlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/08/17	A	Hobart Chargers	80-88
30/07/17	A	Melbourne Tigers	110-83
28/07/17	H	Hobart Chargers	99-89
21/07/17	H	Albury	103-82
16/07/17	A	BA CoE	94-63
15/07/17	A	Canberra	113-69
07/07/17	H	Nunawading	92-81
01/07/17	H	Ballarat	100-75
23/06/17	H	Geelong	104-94
18/06/17	A	Dandenong	77-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kilsyth

SEABL 2017

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	48%
Home	WWLWW	55%
Away	LLWLW	42%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	48%	55%	42%
Points / game	79.9	83.4	76.7
Allowed / game	80.7	82.4	79.2
Point differential	-0.9	+1.0	-2.6
Avg total	160.6	165.7	155.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	27%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	50% (4)	0% (2)
Overtime %	9%	9%	8%

Mt Gambier

SEABL 2017

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	87%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LWWWL	73%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	87%	100%	73%
Points / game	93.0	95.6	90.1
Allowed / game	79.5	78.9	80.2
Point differential	+13.4	+16.7	+9.9
Avg total	172.5	174.5	170.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	70%	92%	45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	-	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	23	20	3	87%	93.0	79.5	+13.4
2	Nunawading	24	17	7	71%	88.5	81.8	+6.8
3	Dandenong	23	16	7	70%	82.5	78.3	+4.2
4	Geelong	24	16	8	67%	88.2	81.5	+6.7
5	Hobart Chargers	23	15	8	65%	94.0	81.2	+12.8
6	Ballarat	23	15	8	65%	88.7	84.3	+4.3
7	NW Tasmania	23	12	11	52%	82.6	83.1	-0.5
8	Kilsyth	23	11	12	48%	79.9	80.7	-0.9
9	Southern Sabres	24	11	13	46%	83.6	84.0	-0.4
10	Bendigo	24	11	13	46%	87.0	87.7	-0.8
11	Albury	24	9	15	38%	91.0	94.6	-3.6
12	Frankston	23	7	16	30%	80.9	87.8	-6.9
13	Melbourne Tigers	24	7	17	29%	76.5	88.8	-12.2
14	BA CoE	15	2	13	13%	74.7	89.1	-14.4
15	Canberra	24	3	21	12%	79.1	91.9	-12.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Kilsyth	19	22	12	20	73
Mt Gambier	26	25	22	19	92

← all games of the day

Kilsyth vs Mt Gambier Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature