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Geelong vs Nunawading Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 90-81
26-20 22-21 17-17 25-23
Position#17
Record6-10
FormWLLWL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game89.1
Geelong 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#11
Record8-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game86.4
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Geelong v Nunawading
28 Jun 2025
GEEL90
NUNA81
18 May 2024
GEEL87
NUNA86
20 May 2023
GEEL90
NUNA82
05 Aug 2022
GEEL89
NUNA75
08 May 2021
GEEL66
NUNA65
29 Mar 2019
GEEL70
NUNA93
28 Jul 2017
GEEL96
NUNA76
27 Jun 2015
GEEL94
NUNA63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nunawading winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A03/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H10/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
76-97
76
97
-21
A16/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
88-94
88
94
-6
A18/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A24/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
W
89-86
89
86
+3
H31/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
82-110
82
110
-28
A14/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
L
85-97
85
97
-12
H15/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
110-94
110
94
+16
H21/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
77-92
77
92
-15
A22/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
11-12
20-21
22-27
24-24
22-14
16-11
26-27
12-27
16-21
28-24
20-25
25-37
31-16
18-17
14-24
22-24
16-13
16-14
14-22
26-30
24-16
24-20
15-20
20-29
24-22
21-29
17-30
16-30
21-19
22-22
26-26
35-19
24-27
27-29
24-19
15-22
13-21
27-20
22-29
174.0Avg total
83.6Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)83.389.1172.4-5.838%
Season at home (7)88.189.1177.3-1.057%
Season away (9)79.689.1168.7-9.622%
Last 10 (10)83.690.4174.0-6.830%
Last 5 (5)88.695.8184.4-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)78.789.9168.5-11.227%
vs Similar (11)87.181.4168.5+5.782%
vs Weaker (4)85.282.2167.5+3.050%
This opponent (Nunawading) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NunawadingAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham
#6
W
95-91 OT
95
91
+4
H25/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
L
100-102
100
102
-2
A03/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
88-87
88
87
+1
A09/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
84-71
84
71
+13
A10/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
95-94
95
94
+1
H17/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
86-93
86
93
-7
H24/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H31/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
87-84
87
84
+3
A01/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
83-96
83
96
-13
H15/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
91-59
91
59
+32
H21/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
13-19
20-18
29-29
37-18
15-28
23-26
25-30
26-25
23-22
21-16
18-24
29-13
19-20
11-17
25-21
19-20
26-28
26-25
24-21
20-24
17-25
26-23
23-21
27-25
14-18
20-21
15-18
23-19
23-21
18-23
23-21
34-24
21-22
12-25
16-25
25-18
27-8
18-12
21-21
174.4Avg total
88.5Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)86.286.4172.6-0.253%
Season at home (7)87.087.0174.0+0.043%
Season away (8)85.585.9171.4-0.462%
Last 10 (10)88.585.9174.4+2.660%
Last 5 (5)84.682.8167.4+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.695.6174.2-17.020%
vs Similar (16)85.786.7172.4-1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)87.979.9167.8+8.067%
This opponent (Geelong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
GeelongNunawading
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A03/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H10/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A16/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A18/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A24/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H31/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A14/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H15/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H21/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A22/06
NBL1 South
86.5Avg total
41.7Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.143.683.7-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.343.687.9+0.757%-
Last 30 away (16)36.443.680.0-7.119%-
Last 10 (10)41.744.886.5-3.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.647.090.6-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.445.382.7-7.927%-
vs Similar (11)43.442.185.5+1.345%-
vs Weaker (4)41.241.282.5+0.050%-
This opponent (Nunawading) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NunawadingLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham
#6
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H25/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A03/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A09/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A10/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H17/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H24/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H31/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A01/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H15/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H21/06
NBL1 South
87.5Avg total
46.0Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.243.187.3+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.643.186.6+0.544%-
Last 30 away (14)45.043.188.1+1.964%-
Last 10 (10)46.041.587.5+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)46.240.887.0+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.850.488.2-12.60%-
vs Similar (16)44.843.187.9+1.856%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)46.839.085.8+7.878%-
This opponent (Geelong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Geelong wins
4
Nunawading wins
DateGameScore
23/06/24Nunawading v Geelong74-75
18/05/24Geelong v Nunawading87-86
20/05/23Geelong v Nunawading90-82
05/08/22Geelong v Nunawading89-75
01/08/21Nunawading v Geelong85-83
08/05/21Geelong v Nunawading66-65
03/08/19Nunawading v Geelong82-76
29/03/19Geelong v Nunawading70-93
19/08/17Nunawading v Geelong107-65
28/07/17Geelong v Nunawading96-76
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/06/25AKilsyth77-92
21/06/25HDiamond Valley110-94
15/06/25HNW Tasmania85-97
14/06/25ARingwood82-110
31/05/25HMelbourne Tigers89-86
24/05/25AEltham68-73
18/05/25AMt Gambier88-94
16/05/25AKnox76-97
10/05/25HDandenong88-76
03/05/25ASandringham Sabres73-85
Nunawadinglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/06/25HBendigo Braves91-59
15/06/25HBallarat83-96
01/06/25ADandenong87-84
31/05/25HFrankston76-82
24/05/25HSandringham Sabres86-93
17/05/25HRingwood95-94
10/05/25ANW Tasmania84-71
09/05/25AHobart Chargers88-87
03/05/25AKeilor Thunder100-102
25/04/25HEltham95-91 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL38%
HomeLWWLW57%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %38%57%22%
Points / game83.388.179.6
Allowed / game89.189.189.1
Point differential-5.8-1.0-9.6
Avg total172.4177.3168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nunawading
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW53%
HomeWLLLW43%
AwayWLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %53%43%62%
Points / game86.287.085.5
Allowed / game86.487.085.9
Point differential-0.2+0.0-0.4
Avg total172.6174.0171.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%14%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)100% (2)67% (6)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox1714382%92.481.8+10.6
2 Mt Gambier1711665%96.685.7+10.9
3 Melbourne Tigers159660%87.180.2+6.9
4 Casey Cavaliers159660%89.585.0+4.5
5 Hobart Chargers159660%87.083.1+3.9
6 Ballarat159660%87.192.3-5.2
7 Sandringham Sabres158753%90.890.8+0.0
8 Nunawading158753%86.286.4-0.2
9 Kilsyth179853%86.685.9+0.7
10 Ringwood168850%95.989.9+5.9
11 Frankston168850%91.687.6+4.1
12 Waverley168850%92.894.7-1.9
13 Bendigo Braves178947%85.994.0-8.1
14 Eltham157847%85.587.5-1.9
15 Keilor Thunder156940%81.788.7-7.0
16 Geelong1661038%83.389.1-5.8
17 NW Tasmania1551033%87.188.3-1.1
18 Diamond Valley1641225%84.494.9-10.4
19 Dandenong1531220%88.996.1-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong2622172590
Nunawading2021172381
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