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Geelong vs Sandringham Sabres Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 May 2024
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 74-85
19-24 18-21 16-23 21-17
Position#11
Record2-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Position#3
Record4-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game82.6
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2024
Meetings · Geelong v Sandringham Sabres
11 May 2024
GEEL74
SAND85
21 Apr 2023
GEEL87
SAND92
26 Jun 2021
GEEL101
SAND76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sandringham Sabres winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat
#11
L
104-107
104
107
-3
H08/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
W
116-85
116
85
+31
H15/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
W
93-72
93
72
+21
A16/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A07/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H12/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
97-103
97
103
-6
A14/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H20/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A27/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
81-93
81
93
-12
H04/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
69-83
69
83
-14
A05/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-32
16-26
30-25
30-24
28-27
40-17
25-19
23-22
26-25
18-15
23-18
26-14
18-18
18-25
23-19
22-17
24-23
11-28
24-21
22-16
25-28
25-16
19-33
28-26
12-18
21-22
13-15
21-9
11-16
19-21
23-20
21-21
10-18
28-19
23-36
20-20
14-28
17-17
23-20
15-18
171.5Avg total
86.3Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.684.0162.6-5.429%
Season at home (3)76.381.7158.0-5.333%
Season away (4)80.285.8166.0-5.525%
Last 10 (10)86.385.2171.5+1.140%
Last 5 (5)77.684.2161.8-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)80.684.8165.3-4.256%
vs Similar (8)91.688.9180.5+2.850%
vs Weaker (13)86.886.8173.6+0.131%
This opponent (Sandringham Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sandringham SabresAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#7
W
107-86
107
86
+21
H05/08
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
86-90
86
90
-4
A12/08
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
93-109
93
109
-16
H03/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
79-97
79
97
-18
H06/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H10/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
W
112-73
112
73
+39
A13/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
104-80
104
80
+24
A20/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
111-61
111
61
+50
A27/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
L
77-83
77
83
-6
H28/04
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
85-71
85
71
+14
H04/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
40-22
22-19
29-23
16-22
28-21
14-24
27-20
17-25
27-24
20-38
24-23
22-24
25-28
11-27
22-20
21-22
26-20
12-21
19-22
24-24
32-19
24-22
24-19
32-13
25-19
24-30
32-13
23-18
24-14
27-14
38-14
22-19
28-25
20-15
12-27
17-16
20-22
15-19
25-15
25-15
177.2Avg total
93.5Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)92.882.6175.4+10.150%
Season at home (5)83.089.4172.4-6.420%
Season away (3)109.071.3180.3+37.7100%
Last 10 (10)93.583.7177.2+9.850%
Last 5 (5)97.873.6171.4+24.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)86.389.0175.3-2.733%
vs Similar (6)89.093.3182.3-4.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)96.378.1174.4+18.286%
This opponent (Geelong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +2.1+2.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +2.1+2.1
GeelongSandringham Sabres
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat
#11
L
44-58
44
58
-14
H08/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
W
68-44
68
44
+24
H15/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A16/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A07/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H12/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A14/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H20/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A27/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H04/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A05/05
NBL1 South
84.8Avg total
40.9Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.444.187.5-0.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.646.291.8-0.657%-
Last 30 away (16)41.642.283.8-0.756%-
Last 10 (10)40.943.984.8-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.440.677.0-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.443.381.8-4.944%-
vs Similar (8)46.245.892.0+0.562%-
vs Weaker (13)45.243.688.8+1.562%-
This opponent (Sandringham Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sandringham SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#7
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H05/08
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A12/08
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
47-62
47
62
-15
H03/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
36-55
36
55
-19
H06/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H10/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A13/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A20/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
51-28
51
28
+23
A27/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H28/04
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H04/05
NBL1 South
90.7Avg total
46.4Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.642.390.9+6.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.543.191.7+5.460%-
Last 30 away (15)48.641.590.1+7.167%-
Last 10 (10)46.444.390.7+2.140%-
Last 5 (5)47.839.887.6+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.043.786.7-0.733%-
vs Similar (6)47.348.796.0-1.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)49.740.390.0+9.471%-
This opponent (Geelong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Geelong wins
2
Sandringham Sabres wins
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/24AKilsyth69-83
04/05/24HMt Gambier81-93
27/04/24ADandenong74-78
20/04/24HFrankston67-64
14/04/24AKeilor Thunder97-103
12/04/24HBendigo Braves81-88
07/04/24ABallarat81-79
16/07/23AWaverley93-72
15/07/23HKeilor Thunder116-85
08/07/23HBallarat104-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/24HMelbourne Tigers85-71
28/04/24HNunawading77-83
27/04/24ABendigo Braves111-61
20/04/24ADiamond Valley104-80
13/04/24AKilsyth112-73
10/04/24HCasey Cavaliers81-87
06/04/24HMt Gambier79-97
03/04/24HKnox93-109
12/08/23AKnox86-90
05/08/23HDiamond Valley107-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game78.676.380.2
Allowed / game84.081.785.8
Point differential-5.4-5.3-5.5
Avg total162.6158.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sandringham Sabres
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW50%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %50%20%100%
Points / game92.883.0109.0
Allowed / game82.689.471.3
Point differential+10.1-6.4+37.7
Avg total175.4172.4180.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%20%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier97278%89.383.1+6.2
2 Knox75271%98.081.1+16.9
3 Ballarat75271%98.486.0+12.4
4 Hobart Chargers96367%81.378.6+2.8
5 Frankston85362%92.283.1+9.1
6 Dandenong106460%84.881.1+3.7
7 Ringwood106460%87.287.6-0.4
8 Eltham74357%91.180.1+11.0
9 Waverley95456%90.684.4+6.1
10 Nunawading95456%84.783.9+0.8
11 Keilor Thunder95456%94.7100.7-6.0
12 Sandringham Sabres84450%92.882.6+10.1
13 NW Tasmania83538%83.991.8-7.9
14 Melbourne Tigers93633%76.884.8-8.0
15 Bendigo Braves93633%79.090.1-11.1
16 Geelong72529%78.684.0-5.4
17 Casey Cavaliers82625%81.887.2-5.5
18 Kilsyth82625%79.494.8-15.4
19 Diamond Valley71614%82.199.0-16.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong1918162174
Sandringham Sabres2421231785
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