PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Geneva Lions vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 93-90
28-33 22-22 19-14 24-21
Position#17
Record1-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Position#6
Record3-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game85.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 4· Pavilion des Sports
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geneva Lions winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geneva LionsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLions
Date
Competition
Benfica
#25
L
78-87
78
87
-9
64avg 82
A15/09
Champions League
Sdent BBC Nyon
#4
W
86-69
86
69
+17
84avg 82
H26/09
SB League
Zurich
#10
W
109-46
109
46
+63
104avg 82
A29/09
SB League
Fribourg Olympic
#2
W
71-64
71
64
+7
53avg 82
H03/10
SB League
Absheron Lions
#45
W
105-83
105
83
+22
104avg 82
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lausanne Basket
#5
W
94-65
94
65
+29
86avg 82
A10/10
SB League
Bakken Bears
#21
L
73-78
73
78
-5
61avg 82
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Neuchatel
#6
W
91-41
91
41
+50
79avg 82
A17/10
SB League
Denizli Basket
#31
L
76-80
76
80
-4
64avg 82
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lugano Tigers
#8
W
92-74
92
74
+18
83avg 82
H24/10
SB League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
21-20
17-17
23-25
24-13
17-20
20-14
25-22
18-12
34-12
23-15
34-7
10-25
24-15
14-13
23-11
25-16
24-20
30-23
26-24
19-15
24-16
21-18
30-16
20-27
22-10
12-26
19-15
19-11
27-10
22-6
23-14
24-19
15-23
17-15
20-23
24-23
24-21
22-8
22-22
156.2Avg total
87.5Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.780.3165.0+4.333%
Season at home (2)74.579.0153.5-4.50%
Season away (1)105.083.0188.0+22.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.568.7156.2+18.870%
Last 5 (5)85.267.6152.8+17.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)77.485.6163.0-8.220%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (24)91.371.4162.7+19.979%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
71-75
71
75
-4
60avg 88
A14/06
LPB
Geneva Lions
#44
W
87-78
87
78
+9
84avg 88
H15/09
Champions League
Vechta
#20
L
88-98
88
98
-10
78avg 88
H17/09
Champions League
Sporting CP
#8
W
84-71
84
71
+13
74avg 88
H03/10
LPB
Bakken Bears
#21
W
91-81
91
81
+10
76avg 88
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
FC Porto
#3
L
86-93
86
93
-7
72avg 88
A11/10
LPB
Denizli Basket
#31
W
96-91
96
91
+5
87avg 88
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Oliveirense
#6
W
92-67
92
67
+25
90avg 88
H17/10
LPB
BC Prievidza
#23
W
98-83
98
83
+15
93avg 88
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CA Queluz
#7
W
89-72
89
72
+17
87avg 88
A24/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
18-19
22-18
14-20
25-17
20-21
17-17
25-23
21-28
30-21
22-19
15-30
19-19
19-22
19-13
27-17
19-16
19-20
27-14
26-31
26-16
19-24
27-32
14-21
28-23
22-22
27-17
19-29
21-13
24-19
26-18
21-17
28-20
19-26
22-14
29-23
22-20
22-29
18-10
27-13
169.1Avg total
88.2Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)95.085.0180.0+10.0100%
Season at home (2)97.087.0184.0+10.0100%
Season away (1)91.081.0172.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.280.9169.1+7.370%
Last 5 (5)92.281.2173.4+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)93.090.5183.5+2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)92.779.1171.8+13.678%
This opponent (Geneva Lions) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +6.5+6.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +6.6+6.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +6.5+6.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +6.6+6.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
Geneva LionsBenfica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Geneva LionsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#25
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A15/09
Champions League
Sdent BBC Nyon
#4
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H26/09
SB League
Zurich
#10
W
52-24
52
24
+28
A29/09
SB League
Fribourg Olympic
#2
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H03/10
SB League
Absheron Lions
#45
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lausanne Basket
#5
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A10/10
SB League
Bakken Bears
#21
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Neuchatel
#6
W
46-21
46
21
+25
A17/10
SB League
Denizli Basket
#31
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lugano Tigers
#8
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H24/10
SB League
78.5Avg total
43.2Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.538.083.6+7.573%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.738.182.9+6.667%-
Last 30 away (15)46.337.984.3+8.480%-
Last 10 (10)43.235.378.5+7.970%-
Last 5 (5)43.635.078.6+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)43.643.286.8+0.460%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (24)46.236.782.9+9.679%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A14/06
LPB
Geneva Lions
#44
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H15/09
Champions League
Vechta
#20
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H17/09
Champions League
Sporting CP
#8
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H03/10
LPB
Bakken Bears
#21
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
FC Porto
#3
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A11/10
LPB
Denizli Basket
#31
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Oliveirense
#6
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H17/10
LPB
BC Prievidza
#23
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CA Queluz
#7
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A24/10
LPB
85.1Avg total
43.8Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.640.386.9+6.370%-
Last 30 at home (18)48.739.187.8+9.683%-
Last 30 away (12)43.442.085.4+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)43.841.385.1+2.570%-
Last 5 (5)46.242.488.6+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)49.047.596.5+1.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)46.539.886.3+6.767%-
This opponent (Geneva Lions) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Geneva Lionstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Geneva Lions: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.7
50.9%
53.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.4
35.4%
32.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws28.121.6
76.9%
72.8%21.6
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.623.6
52.9%
53.4%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.3
32.0%
32.5%21.9
🏀 Free throws24.919.1
76.7%
72.8%19.1
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Geneva Lions
WLWLWWWWWL
Benfica
WWWWLWWLWL
#17
League position
#6
+21.5
Net rating
+8.2
100.0
Offensive rating
96.2
78.5
Defensive rating
88.0
51.8%
Effective FG%
51.3%
46.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.1%
13.6%
Turnover %
13.9%
0.45
Free-throw rate
0.37
35.4%
3-point %
32.0%
54.8%
Assist %
53.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 96.2Defence78.5 · 88.0Shooting51.8% · 51.3%3-point %35.4% · 32.0%Ball care13.6% · 13.9%Free throws0.45 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Geneva Lions   ■ Benfica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Geneva Lions wins
1
Benfica wins
DateGameScore
15/09/26Benfica v Geneva Lions87-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HLugano Tigers92-74
21/10/26HDenizli Basket76-80
17/10/26ANeuchatel91-41
14/10/26HBakken Bears73-78
10/10/26ALausanne Basket94-65
07/10/26AAbsheron Lions105-83
03/10/26HFribourg Olympic71-64
29/09/26AZurich109-46
26/09/26HSdent BBC Nyon86-69
15/09/26ABenfica78-87
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26ACA Queluz89-72
21/10/26HBC Prievidza98-83
17/10/26HOliveirense92-67
14/10/26HDenizli Basket96-91
11/10/26AFC Porto86-93
07/10/26ABakken Bears91-81
03/10/26HSporting CP84-71
17/09/26HVechta88-98
15/09/26HGeneva Lions87-78
14/06/26AFC Porto71-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geneva Lions
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%0%100%
Points / game84.774.5105.0
Allowed / game80.379.083.0
Point differential+4.3-4.5+22.0
Avg total165.0153.5188.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Benfica
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game95.097.091.0
Allowed / game85.087.081.0
Point differential+10.0+10.0+10.0
Avg total180.0184.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Esenler Erokspor440100%93.872.5+21.2
2 Trier440100%95.575.5+20.0
3 Benfica330100%95.085.0+10.0
4 Mykonos440100%83.873.8+10.0
5 Sporting CP330100%82.373.7+8.7
6 Basquet Girona43175%91.575.0+16.5
7 Nancy43175%84.069.0+15.0
8 Chalon/Saone43175%86.872.2+14.5
9 Korfez Basket43175%87.876.2+11.5
10 CSM Oradea43175%88.278.2+10.0
11 Trepca43175%83.877.5+6.2
12 Szczecin43175%87.282.2+5.0
13 Keravnos43175%81.577.2+4.2
14 AEK Larnaca43175%84.280.2+4.0
15 Dziki Warszawa43175%86.283.0+3.2
16 Bakken Bears43175%83.282.5+0.8
17 Dinamo Bucharest63350%87.577.7+9.8
18 BC Prievidza63350%89.882.7+7.2
19 VEF Riga42250%97.090.0+7.0
20 Kolossos Rhodes42250%73.867.2+6.5
21 Iraklis42250%84.879.8+5.0
22 Promitheas42250%86.882.0+4.8
23 Wurzburg42250%79.074.5+4.5
24 Denizli Basket42250%85.083.8+1.2
25 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%82.883.2-0.5
26 Lok. Plovdiv42250%85.286.0-0.8
27 Oostende42250%78.280.0-1.8
28 Levice42250%75.077.0-2.0
29 Split42250%77.882.0-4.2
30 Szolnoki Olaj42250%80.585.2-4.8
31 Tartu Ulikool42250%91.298.5-7.2
32 Zielona Gora42250%77.285.0-7.8
33 Geneva Lions31233%84.780.3+4.3
34 Parnu62433%72.877.3-4.5
35 Bashkimi31233%76.386.3-10.0
36 Manchester Basketball31233%77.392.0-14.7
37 Opava41325%82.582.0+0.5
38 Vienna Basket41325%78.282.5-4.2
39 Valmiera Glass Via41325%80.287.2-7.0
40 SCM Craiova41325%85.294.5-9.2
41 Absheron Lions41325%87.297.5-10.2
42 Fribourg Olympic41325%73.285.2-12.0
43 Nitra Blue Wings41325%75.288.8-13.5
44 Neftchi IK61517%74.884.2-9.3
45 MZT Skopje4040%73.282.8-9.5
46 Rilski Sportist3030%74.392.0-17.7
47 Gence2020%62.586.0-23.5
48 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
49 Batumi4040%66.894.0-27.2
50 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geneva Lions2822192493
Benfica3322142190
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.