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Dayton vs George Mason Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 59-67
27-41 32-26
Position#62
Record11-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game68.8
vs
Position#31
Record12-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game62.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Dayton v George Mason
15 Jan 2025
DAYT59
GEOR67
25 Feb 2023
DAYT69
GEOR74
05 Feb 2021
DAYT74
GEOR65
02 Jan 2021
DAYT74
GEOR65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dayton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
George Mason winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa State
#50
L
84-89
84
89
-5
H27/11
NCAA
Uconn
#63
W
85-67
85
67
+18
H28/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H04/12
NCAA
Lehigh
#311
W
86-62
86
62
+24
H07/12
NCAA
Marquette
#67
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H15/12
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H18/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
L
59-66
59
66
-7
H21/12
NCAA
La Salle
#272
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H31/12
NCAA
George Washington
#96
L
62-82
62
82
-20
A04/01
NCAA
UMass
#303
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-37
43-52
41-34
44-33
32-35
45-34
41-25
45-37
26-36
45-27
27-28
39-37
17-25
42-41
36-21
48-49
27-43
35-39
39-36
33-40
145.5Avg total
74.6Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)76.368.8145.1+7.569%
Season at home (13)76.765.5142.2+11.285%
Season away (3)74.783.3158.0-8.70%
Last 10 (10)74.670.9145.5+3.760%
Last 5 (5)68.671.8140.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.083.5159.5-7.50%
vs Similar ◀ (17)72.469.1141.5+3.359%
vs Weaker (10)81.367.9149.2+13.490%
This opponent (George Mason) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
George MasonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#110
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A29/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#86
W
74-52
74
52
+22
H04/12
NCAA
Tulane
#139
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H07/12
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
47-68
47
68
-21
A18/12
NCAA
Penn
#331
W
85-53
85
53
+32
H22/12
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H28/12
NCAA
Davidson
#195
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H31/12
NCAA
Rhode Island
#137
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A04/01
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
W
64-58
64
58
+6
H09/01
NCAA
UMass
#303
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
26-24
40-37
34-26
40-26
45-27
31-37
16-25
31-43
35-25
50-28
28-30
36-26
35-30
34-27
34-25
25-37
28-32
36-26
36-32
41-38
128.2Avg total
68.1Scored
60.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)73.662.1135.7+11.671%
Season at home (12)78.358.7137.0+19.792%
Season away (5)62.470.2132.6-7.820%
Last 10 (10)68.160.1128.2+8.080%
Last 5 (5)66.660.6127.2+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.068.0115.0-21.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)65.866.2132.0-0.542%
vs Weaker (16)75.262.3137.5+12.975%
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: +3.9+3.9
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: +3.9+3.9
DaytonGeorge Mason
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa State
#50
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H27/11
NCAA
Uconn
#63
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H28/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H04/12
NCAA
Lehigh
#311
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H07/12
NCAA
Marquette
#67
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H15/12
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H18/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
L
17-25
17
25
-8
H21/12
NCAA
La Salle
#272
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H31/12
NCAA
George Washington
#96
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A04/01
NCAA
UMass
#303
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A09/01
NCAA
64.7Avg total
32.7Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.331.265.5+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (21)33.629.963.5+3.757%-
Last 30 away (9)35.934.370.2+1.656%-
Last 10 (10)32.732.064.7+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)29.230.659.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.038.575.5-1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)31.132.063.1-0.941%-
vs Weaker (10)38.628.867.4+9.880%-
This opponent (George Mason) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
George MasonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#110
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A29/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#86
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H04/12
NCAA
Tulane
#139
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H07/12
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
16-25
16
25
-9
A18/12
NCAA
Penn
#331
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H22/12
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H28/12
NCAA
Davidson
#195
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H31/12
NCAA
Rhode Island
#137
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A04/01
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H09/01
NCAA
UMass
#303
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H11/01
NCAA
59.3Avg total
31.7Scored
27.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.228.862.0+4.467%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.129.065.1+7.168%-
Last 30 away (11)28.228.456.5-0.264%-
Last 10 (10)31.727.659.3+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)32.229.862.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)16.025.041.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)31.630.261.8+1.467%-
vs Weaker (16)34.828.162.9+6.869%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Dayton wins
3
George Mason wins
DateGameScore
22/02/24George Mason v Dayton71-67
25/02/23Dayton v George Mason69-74
23/01/22George Mason v Dayton50-49
06/02/21Dayton v George Mason74-65
02/01/21Dayton v George Mason74-65
26/02/20George Mason v Dayton55-62
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/25AUMass72-76
04/01/25AGeorge Washington62-82
31/12/24HLa Salle84-70
21/12/24HCincinnati59-66
18/12/24HUNLV66-65
15/12/24HMarquette71-63
07/12/24HLehigh86-62
04/12/24HWestern Michigan77-69
28/11/24HUconn85-67
27/11/24HIowa State84-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25HUMass77-70
09/01/25HRichmond Spiders64-58
04/01/25ARhode Island59-62
31/12/24HDavidson69-57
28/12/24HMount St. Mary's64-56
22/12/24HPenn85-53
18/12/24ADuke47-68
07/12/24HTulane76-64
04/12/24HUNC Asheville74-52
29/11/24AJames Madison66-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dayton
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL69%
HomeWWWLW85%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16133
Win %69%85%0%
Points / game76.376.774.7
Allowed / game68.865.583.3
Point differential+7.5+11.2-8.7
Avg total145.1142.2158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%46%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
George Mason
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17125
Win %71%92%20%
Points / game73.678.362.4
Allowed / game62.158.770.2
Point differential+11.6+19.7-7.8
Avg total135.7137.0132.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Bonaventure1714382%73.563.1+10.5
2 George Washington1613381%78.567.0+11.5
3 Rhode Island1613381%79.970.2+9.7
4 VCU Rams1713476%77.662.5+15.1
5 George Mason1712571%73.662.1+11.6
6 Davidson1712571%76.169.8+6.4
7 Dayton1611569%76.368.8+7.5
8 Saint Josephs Hawks1711665%76.868.6+8.2
9 Loyola Chicago1610662%75.369.4+5.9
10 St. Louis Billikens1710759%76.570.7+5.8
11 La Salle1710759%77.875.0+2.8
12 Fordham178947%73.875.8-2.1
13 Duquesne167944%69.065.8+3.2
14 Richmond Spiders1771041%70.172.1-2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Dayton273259
George Mason412667
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