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UMBC Retrievers vs Vermont Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 75-62
38-26 37-36
Position#43
Record16-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game68.9
vs
Position#85
Record17-10
FormLLWWW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game69.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UMBC Retrievers v Vermont
21 Jan 2027
UMBC v VERM
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
UMBC74
VERM59
19 Feb 2026
UMBC75
VERM62
01 Mar 2025
UMBC69
VERM79
10 Feb 2024
UMBC70
VERM72
01 Jan 2023
UMBC61
VERM74
15 Jan 2022
UMBC69
VERM86
19 Feb 2021
UMBC66
VERM55
18 Feb 2021
UMBC71
VERM80
11 Jan 2020
UMBC50
VERM74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMBC Retrievers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vermont winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H10/01
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
L
74-79 OT
74
79
-5
A15/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
78-60
78
60
+18
A19/01
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H22/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
79-56
79
56
+23
H24/01
NCAA
Vermont
#85
L
55-64
55
64
-9
A30/01
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
77-65 OT
77
65
+12
A01/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H05/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
78-62
78
62
+16
A12/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
85-63
85
63
+22
A14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-39
45-35
26-33
41-34
38-26
40-34
47-28
40-46
46-35
33-21
29-29
26-35
27-28
41-37
39-26
40-36
37-24
41-38
47-28
38-35
142.6Avg total
76.7Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)75.568.9144.4+6.767%
Season at home (11)76.964.2141.1+12.782%
Season away (13)74.472.8147.2+1.554%
Last 10 (10)76.765.9142.6+10.880%
Last 5 (5)74.863.2138.0+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.388.0165.3-10.70%
vs Similar (4)66.085.0151.0-19.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)77.968.5146.4+9.373%
This opponent (Vermont) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VermontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H16/01
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A19/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A22/01
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A24/01
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
W
64-55
64
55
+9
H30/01
NCAA
NJIT
#220
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H31/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A05/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
80-57
80
57
+23
H07/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A12/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
W
90-63
90
63
+27
H14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-30
35-32
29-37
39-38
40-29
37-39
30-17
32-35
29-29
35-26
21-32
56-47
24-38
46-38
42-29
38-28
35-32
38-33
39-27
51-36
138.0Avg total
72.8Scored
65.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)75.269.9145.0+5.363%
Season at home (14)76.168.0144.1+8.164%
Season away (13)74.271.8146.1+2.462%
Last 10 (10)72.865.2138.0+7.670%
Last 5 (5)78.068.0146.0+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)69.066.0135.0+3.050%
vs Similar (7)71.172.7143.9-1.643%
vs Weaker (19)73.268.4141.6+4.868%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.0+7.01st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: +5.5+5.5
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.0+7.01st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: +5.5+5.5
UMBC RetrieversVermont
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H10/01
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A15/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A19/01
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H22/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H24/01
NCAA
Vermont
#85
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A30/01
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A01/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H05/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A12/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A14/02
NCAA
66.2Avg total
36.6Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.234.470.6+1.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.432.671.0+5.764%-
Last 30 away (16)34.235.970.2-1.731%-
Last 10 (10)36.629.666.2+7.060%-
Last 5 (5)35.827.062.8+8.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.045.083.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (4)30.244.074.2-13.80%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)36.931.668.5+5.259%-
This opponent (Vermont) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VermontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H16/01
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A19/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A22/01
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
W
30-17
30
17
+13
A24/01
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H30/01
NCAA
NJIT
#220
L
21-32
21
32
-11
H31/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A05/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H07/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A12/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H14/02
NCAA
62.1Avg total
32.1Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.431.564.0+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.630.963.5+1.753%-
Last 30 away (13)32.232.464.6-0.246%-
Last 10 (10)32.130.062.1+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)32.231.663.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)30.032.062.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (7)32.131.363.4+0.957%-
vs Weaker (19)31.931.863.8+0.147%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UMBC Retrievers wins
9
Vermont wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26ANew Hampshire Wildcats85-63
12/02/26AMaine Black Bears78-62
05/02/26HBinghamton79-62
01/02/26AAlbany Great Danes77-65 OT
30/01/26AVermont55-64
24/01/26HUMass Lowell79-56
22/01/26HNJIT87-74
19/01/26ABinghamton78-60
15/01/26ABryant University74-79 OT
10/01/26HNew Hampshire Wildcats75-74
Vermontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HBryant University90-63
12/02/26ABinghamton73-65
07/02/26HNew Hampshire Wildcats80-57
05/02/26AMaine Black Bears70-76
31/01/26HNJIT77-79
30/01/26HUMBC Retrievers64-55
24/01/26ABryant University62-52
22/01/26AUMass Lowell77-68
19/01/26AAlbany Great Danes68-75
16/01/26HMaine Black Bears67-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayWLWWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %67%82%54%
Points / game75.576.974.4
Allowed / game68.964.272.8
Point differential+6.7+12.7+1.5
Avg total144.4141.1147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%55%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %12%9%15%
Vermont
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW63%
HomeWWLWW64%
AwayLWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %63%64%62%
Points / game75.276.174.2
Allowed / game69.968.071.8
Point differential+5.3+8.1+2.4
Avg total145.0144.1146.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%29%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %7%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMBC Retrievers2416867%75.568.9+6.7
2 Vermont27171063%75.269.9+5.3
3 NJIT27151256%69.173.5-4.4
4 UMass Lowell26111542%75.477.3-1.9
5 Bryant University2681831%64.572.3-7.8
6 Maine Black Bears2762122%62.669.3-6.8
7 Binghamton2752219%67.075.3-8.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMBC Retrievers383775
Vermont263662
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