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UMBC Retrievers vs Vermont Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 74-59
30-28 44-31
Position#43
Record23-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game67.3
UMBC Retrievers 🏆
USA
vs
Vermont
USA
Position#85
Record22-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game68.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UMBC Retrievers v Vermont
21 Jan 2027
UMBC v VERM
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
UMBC74
VERM59
19 Feb 2026
UMBC75
VERM62
01 Mar 2025
UMBC69
VERM79
10 Feb 2024
UMBC70
VERM72
01 Jan 2023
UMBC61
VERM74
15 Jan 2022
UMBC69
VERM86
19 Feb 2021
UMBC66
VERM55
18 Feb 2021
UMBC71
VERM80
11 Jan 2020
UMBC50
VERM74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMBC Retrievers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vermont winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Binghamton
#352
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H05/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
78-62
78
62
+16
A12/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
85-63
85
63
+22
A14/02
NCAA
Vermont
#85
W
75-62
75
62
+13
H19/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H21/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
W
70-58
70
58
+12
H26/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
84-60
84
60
+24
A28/02
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
91-52
91
52
+39
A03/03
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H07/03
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
91-69
91
69
+22
H10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
39-26
40-36
37-24
41-38
47-28
38-35
38-26
37-36
28-32
38-30
36-30
34-28
37-33
47-27
46-24
45-28
34-30
50-39
43-29
48-40
142.2Avg total
80.3Scored
61.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)76.667.3143.8+9.374%
Season at home (16)77.064.1141.1+12.988%
Season away (15)76.170.6146.7+5.560%
Last 10 (10)80.361.9142.2+18.4100%
Last 5 (5)84.061.6145.6+22.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)60.591.5152.0-31.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)77.866.0143.9+11.879%
This opponent (Vermont) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VermontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maine Black Bears
#355
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A05/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
80-57
80
57
+23
H07/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A12/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
W
90-63
90
63
+27
H14/02
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
L
62-75
62
75
-13
A19/02
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A22/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H27/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H04/03
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
W
77-57
77
57
+20
H07/03
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
24-38
46-38
42-29
38-28
35-32
38-33
39-27
51-36
26-38
36-37
30-30
40-34
34-30
32-34
31-26
38-30
38-27
39-30
26-18
37-36
135.1Avg total
72.0Scored
63.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)73.868.4142.2+5.567%
Season at home (18)74.465.7140.2+8.772%
Season away (15)73.171.5144.7+1.660%
Last 10 (10)72.063.1135.1+8.980%
Last 5 (5)69.059.0128.0+10.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)66.769.0135.7-2.333%
vs Similar (5)75.476.2151.6-0.840%
vs Weaker (22)72.066.1138.0+5.973%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.3+10.31st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +8.1+8.12nd half: +5.9+5.9
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.3+10.31st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +8.1+8.12nd half: +5.9+5.9
UMBC RetrieversVermont
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Binghamton
#352
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H05/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A12/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A14/02
NCAA
Vermont
#85
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H19/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H21/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H26/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A28/02
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
46-24
46
24
+22
A03/03
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H07/03
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H10/03
NCAA
66.7Avg total
38.5Scored
28.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.831.767.4+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.130.267.3+6.973%-
Last 30 away (15)34.533.167.6+1.347%-
Last 10 (10)38.528.266.7+10.390%-
Last 5 (5)39.229.268.4+10.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)23.046.069.0-23.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)36.730.667.3+6.064%-
This opponent (Vermont) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VermontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maine Black Bears
#355
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A05/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H07/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A12/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H14/02
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A19/02
NCAA
NJIT
#220
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A22/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H27/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H04/03
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H07/03
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
26-18
26
18
+8
H10/03
NCAA
62.0Avg total
32.5Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.631.263.8+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.929.962.8+3.162%-
Last 30 away (14)32.232.664.9-0.443%-
Last 10 (10)32.529.562.0+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)31.826.258.0+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)28.734.062.7-5.30%-
vs Similar (5)35.232.667.8+2.660%-
vs Weaker (22)32.530.563.0+2.159%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
UMBC Retrievers wins
8
Vermont wins
DateGameScore
19/02/26UMBC Retrievers v Vermont75-62
30/01/26Vermont v UMBC Retrievers64-55
01/03/25UMBC Retrievers v Vermont69-79
25/01/25Vermont v UMBC Retrievers63-80
10/02/24UMBC Retrievers v Vermont70-72
12/01/24Vermont v UMBC Retrievers77-72
28/01/23Vermont v UMBC Retrievers74-68
01/01/23UMBC Retrievers v Vermont61-74
12/03/22Vermont v UMBC Retrievers82-43
19/02/22Vermont v UMBC Retrievers86-59
UMBC Retrieverslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/26HUMass Lowell91-69
07/03/26HNew Hampshire Wildcats84-69
03/03/26ANJIT91-52
28/02/26AUMass Lowell84-60
26/02/26HBryant University70-58
21/02/26HAlbany Great Danes66-62
19/02/26HVermont75-62
14/02/26ANew Hampshire Wildcats85-63
12/02/26AMaine Black Bears78-62
05/02/26HBinghamton79-62
Vermontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/26HNJIT63-54
07/03/26HBryant University77-57
04/03/26HAlbany Great Danes69-56
27/02/26HUMass Lowell66-64
22/02/26ANJIT70-64
19/02/26AUMBC Retrievers62-75
14/02/26HBryant University90-63
12/02/26ABinghamton73-65
07/02/26HNew Hampshire Wildcats80-57
05/02/26AMaine Black Bears70-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW74%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %74%88%60%
Points / game76.677.076.1
Allowed / game67.364.170.6
Point differential+9.3+12.9+5.5
Avg total143.8141.1146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%62%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %10%6%13%
Vermont
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeWWWWW72%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331815
Win %67%72%60%
Points / game73.874.473.1
Allowed / game68.465.771.5
Point differential+5.5+8.7+1.6
Avg total142.2140.2144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %6%0%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMBC Retrievers3123874%76.667.3+9.3
2 Vermont33221167%73.868.4+5.5
3 NJIT33161748%67.073.2-6.2
4 UMass Lowell33151845%74.976.3-1.4
5 Bryant University3192229%64.872.5-7.6
6 Binghamton3182326%67.974.9-7.0
7 Maine Black Bears3282425%62.568.4-5.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMBC Retrievers304474
Vermont283159
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