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Georgia State vs Georgia Southern Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 21 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#252
Record2-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game72.4
vs
Position#312
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game82.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Georgia State v Georgia Southern
20 Jan 2027
GEOR v GEOR
upcoming
19 Feb 2026
GEOR66
GEOR64
06 Mar 2025
GEOR80
GEOR71
08 Jan 2025
GEOR82
GEOR78
13 Jan 2024
GEOR90
GEOR62
02 Feb 2023
GEOR64
GEOR60
17 Feb 2022
GEOR79
GEOR63
11 Feb 2021
GEOR79
GEOR75
11 Mar 2020
GEOR62
GEOR81
28 Feb 2020
GEOR70
GEOR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Georgia State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Georgia Southern win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Georgia StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#142
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H20/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H21/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H25/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H28/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A03/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#70
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H02/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#227
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A06/11
NCAA
Andrew Fighting Tigers
#488
W
111-61
111
61
+50
H07/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#141
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
A11/11
NCAA
Norfolk State
#271
W
78-53
78
53
+25
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-27
29-37
26-40
39-40
28-30
43-46
42-36
31-45
38-36
37-48
34-34
39-42
33-35
34-42
48-32
63-29
38-39
40-39
–
–
151.8Avg total
77.1Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.272.4156.6+11.840%
Season at home (3)87.363.3150.7+24.067%
Season away (2)79.586.0165.5-6.50%
Last 10 (10)77.174.7151.8+2.430%
Last 5 (5)84.272.4156.6+11.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)70.674.4145.0-3.939%
vs Similar (6)70.379.3149.7-9.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)84.870.8155.6+14.060%
This opponent (Georgia Southern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia SouthernUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#300
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H05/03
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A06/03
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
94-85
94
85
+9
A07/03
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
96-72
96
72
+24
A08/03
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A09/03
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
61-77
61
77
-16
A09/03
NCAA
Ball State
#311
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H03/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#65
L
83-95
83
95
-12
A07/11
NCAA
Mercer
#263
L
91-97 OT
91
97
-6
H11/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#73
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-37
49-47
42-34
38-43
40-43
54-42
45-42
51-30
42-35
40-43
25-38
36-39
37-22
30-33
45-51
38-44
46-39
32-39
27-36
43-48
161.6Avg total
81.2Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.882.8160.5-5.025%
Season at home (2)79.076.0155.0+3.050%
Season away (2)76.589.5166.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)81.280.4161.6+0.860%
Last 5 (5)74.481.6156.0-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)72.483.9156.2-11.512%
vs Similar (16)84.981.8166.7+3.269%
vs Weaker (6)80.770.2150.8+10.567%
This opponent (Georgia State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +0.3+0.3
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +0.3+0.3
Georgia StateGeorgia Southern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Georgia StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#142
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H20/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H21/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H25/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H28/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A03/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#70
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H02/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#227
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A06/11
NCAA
Andrew Fighting Tigers
#488
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H07/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#141
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A11/11
NCAA
70.3Avg total
36.0Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.735.670.3-1.038%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.032.968.9+3.157%-
Last 30 away (15)33.438.271.6-4.820%-
Last 10 (9)36.034.370.3+1.744%-
Last 5 (5)38.235.273.4+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)32.634.867.4-2.233%-
vs Similar (6)34.237.271.3-3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)41.237.879.0+3.525%-
This opponent (Georgia Southern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia SouthernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#300
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H05/03
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A06/03
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A07/03
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A08/03
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A09/03
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A09/03
NCAA
Ball State
#311
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H03/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#65
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A07/11
NCAA
Mercer
#263
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H11/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#73
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A14/11
NCAA
76.5Avg total
38.8Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.437.375.8+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.136.576.6+3.562%-
Last 30 away (17)37.237.975.1-0.841%-
Last 10 (10)38.837.776.5+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)36.037.273.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)34.039.573.5-5.512%-
vs Similar (16)40.637.277.8+3.462%-
vs Weaker (6)38.534.873.3+3.767%-
This opponent (Georgia State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HNorfolk State78-53
11/11/26AFresno State92-95 OT
07/11/26HAndrew Fighting Tigers111-61
06/11/26ACharlotte67-77
02/11/26HBowling Green73-76
03/03/26ALouisiana Lafayette75-84
28/02/26HOld Dominion73-81
25/02/26HCoastal Carolina71-76
21/02/26HJames Madison65-80
20/02/26HGeorgia Southern66-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AUCF Knights70-84
11/11/26HMercer91-97 OT
07/11/26AGeorgia Tech83-95
03/11/26HBall State67-55
09/03/26ATroy61-77
09/03/26AMarshall82-78
08/03/26ACoastal Carolina96-72
07/03/26ASouth Alabama94-85
06/03/26AArkansas State80-77
05/03/26HOld Dominion88-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Georgia State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game84.287.379.5
Allowed / game72.463.386.0
Point differential+11.8+24.0-6.5
Avg total156.6150.7165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %20%0%50%
Georgia Southern
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game77.879.076.5
Allowed / game82.876.089.5
Point differential-5.0+3.0-13.0
Avg total160.5155.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State440100%89.862.8+27.0
2 Old Dominion550100%77.058.4+18.6
3 Appalachian State42250%69.060.2+8.8
4 Southern Miss42250%72.070.8+1.2
5 Arkansas State42250%80.279.5+0.8
6 Coastal Carolina42250%72.573.5-1.0
7 Georgia State52340%84.272.4+11.8
8 South Alabama52340%74.676.0-1.4
9 Louisiana Lafayette31233%59.060.3-1.3
10 James Madison31233%76.078.7-2.7
11 Marshall41325%78.276.0+2.2
12 Georgia Southern41325%77.882.8-5.0
13 Troy41325%66.078.0-12.0
14 Louisiana Monroe61517%75.087.7-12.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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