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Georgia Southern vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 71-77
31-30 40-47
Position#142
Record14-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Position#125
Record13-11
FormWLLWW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game71.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Georgia Southern v Texas State
04 Feb 2026
GEOR71
TEXA77
22 Feb 2024
GEOR84
TEXA76
19 Dec 2019
GEOR67
TEXA64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Georgia Southern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Georgia SouthernUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#169
W
96-92 OT
96
92
+4
H20/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
82-81 OT
82
81
+1
A01/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
93-86
93
86
+7
A03/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
71-87
71
87
-16
A10/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
87-84
87
84
+3
H16/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
75-79 OT
75
79
-4
H17/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
68-85
68
85
-17
H23/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H24/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A30/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-39
43-41
41-33
31-39
47-30
46-56
32-44
39-43
39-48
48-36
40-33
30-37
35-39
33-46
38-47
40-36
37-33
42-43
29-29
31-40
161.1Avg total
78.9Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.479.7161.0+1.758%
Season at home (12)83.877.1160.9+6.867%
Season away (12)78.982.2161.2-3.350%
Last 10 (10)78.982.2161.1-3.350%
Last 5 (5)72.078.4150.4-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.876.8147.6-6.020%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.581.9162.4-1.464%
vs Weaker (10)80.773.8154.5+6.960%
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#84
L
80-100
80
100
-20
A31/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A03/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
70-80 OT
70
80
-10
A09/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
82-83
82
83
-1
A10/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H15/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H17/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A23/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
57-82
57
82
-25
A24/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H29/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-45
47-55
46-40
38-39
28-29
37-36
37-43
45-40
29-22
30-32
27-28
47-39
27-32
43-40
28-47
29-35
39-29
33-39
42-33
39-31
147.8Avg total
72.9Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)73.471.1144.5+2.354%
Season at home (14)76.864.6141.4+12.186%
Season away (10)68.680.1148.7-11.510%
Last 10 (10)72.974.9147.8-2.050%
Last 5 (5)70.870.6141.4+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.879.8148.5-11.025%
vs Similar ◀ (14)73.478.8152.2-5.436%
vs Weaker (12)77.361.7139.0+15.783%
This opponent (Georgia Southern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.0+0.01st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: -3.4-3.42nd half: +0.2+0.2
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.0+0.01st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: -3.4-3.42nd half: +0.2+0.2
Georgia SouthernTexas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Georgia SouthernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#169
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H20/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A01/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A03/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A10/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H16/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H17/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H23/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H24/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A30/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A31/01
NCAA
75.0Avg total
37.5Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.136.273.3+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.035.072.0+2.060%-
Last 30 away (15)37.137.474.5-0.340%-
Last 10 (10)37.537.575.0+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)35.836.272.0-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.438.073.4-2.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.536.071.5-0.536%-
vs Weaker (10)39.635.174.7+4.580%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#84
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A31/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A03/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A09/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A10/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H15/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H17/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A23/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A24/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H29/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H31/01
NCAA
68.4Avg total
33.6Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.933.168.0+1.847%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.330.867.1+5.563%-
Last 30 away (11)32.537.069.5-4.518%-
Last 10 (10)33.634.868.4-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)32.633.866.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.836.068.8-3.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)31.637.168.6-5.57%-
vs Weaker (12)39.527.466.9+12.1100%-
This opponent (Georgia Southern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Georgia Southern wins
3
Texas State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26ALouisiana Lafayette60-69
30/01/26ALouisiana Monroe79-76
24/01/26HTroy78-83
23/01/26HArkansas State68-85
17/01/26HCoastal Carolina75-79 OT
16/01/26HOld Dominion87-84
10/01/26ASouth Alabama71-87
03/01/26AOld Dominion93-86
01/01/26ACoastal Carolina82-81 OT
20/12/25HJames Madison96-92 OT
Texas Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26HOld Dominion81-64
29/01/26HMarshall72-68
24/01/26AJames Madison57-82
23/01/26ACoastal Carolina70-72
17/01/26HSouthern Miss74-67
15/01/26HLouisiana Lafayette59-54
10/01/26AArkansas State82-83
09/01/26ASouthern Miss70-80 OT
03/01/26ALouisiana Monroe84-79
31/12/25ATroy80-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Georgia Southern
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL58%
HomeWWLLL67%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game81.483.878.9
Allowed / game79.777.182.2
Point differential+1.7+6.8-3.3
Avg total161.0160.9161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)60% (5)67% (6)
Overtime %12%17%8%
Texas State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW54%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241410
Win %54%86%10%
Points / game73.476.868.6
Allowed / game71.164.680.1
Point differential+2.3+12.1-11.5
Avg total144.5141.4148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)80% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %8%7%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Troy2315865%83.775.7+8.0
2 Appalachian State2516964%71.664.2+7.3
3 Marshall2214864%80.174.0+6.1
4 South Alabama2314961%72.368.1+4.1
5 Georgia Southern24141058%81.479.7+1.7
6 Coastal Carolina24141058%73.271.7+1.5
7 Arkansas State23131057%81.578.7+2.8
8 Texas State24131154%73.471.1+2.3
9 Southern Miss24121250%73.573.2+0.3
10 James Madison23111248%74.475.7-1.3
11 Georgia State2391439%71.073.8-2.9
12 Old Dominion2371630%73.777.4-3.7
13 Louisiana Lafayette2371630%61.468.9-7.5
14 Louisiana Monroe2332013%71.482.6-11.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Georgia Southern314071
Texas State304777
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