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Georgia State vs South Alabama Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 51-77
30-33 21-44
Position#274
Record4-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game79.1
vs
Position#83
Record9-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game62.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Georgia State v South Alabama
02 Jan 2025
GEOR51
SOUT77
31 Dec 2022
GEOR68
SOUT58
05 Feb 2022
GEOR69
SOUT62
09 Feb 2021
GEOR67
SOUT70
29 Jan 2021
GEOR v SOUT
upcoming
30 Jan 2020
GEOR76
SOUT73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Georgia State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Georgia StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toccoa Falls
#565
W
106-66
106
66
+40
H19/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#262
W
93-79
93
79
+14
H23/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
L
50-62
50
62
-12
H26/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#291
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H27/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
76-105
76
105
-29
A30/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H07/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#323
L
63-77
63
77
-14
H14/12
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
59-100
59
100
-41
A18/12
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
57-77
57
77
-20
A21/12
NCAA
Mercer
#264
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H28/12
NCAA
1H
2H
48-32
58-34
43-38
50-41
26-32
24-30
35-34
39-37
33-48
43-57
39-36
38-45
25-32
38-45
31-43
28-57
25-39
32-38
37-40
31-31
151.2Avg total
72.3Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)71.379.1150.4-7.831%
Season at home (8)75.271.6146.9+3.650%
Season away (5)65.091.0156.0-26.00%
Last 10 (10)72.378.9151.2-6.630%
Last 5 (5)64.881.2146.0-16.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)70.883.3154.1-12.515%
vs Similar (7)66.467.3133.7-0.943%
vs Weaker (10)79.074.7153.7+4.360%
This opponent (South Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercer
#264
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H16/11
NCAA
Spring Hill
#503
W
95-61
95
61
+34
H19/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
84-63
84
63
+21
H26/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#296
L
63-64
63
64
-1
H27/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#321
W
74-65 OT
74
65
+9
H29/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H08/12
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A15/12
NCAA
TCU
#210
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A17/12
NCAA
James Madison
#110
W
77-49
77
49
+28
H21/12
NCAA
Mobile
#679
W
106-41
106
41
+65
H31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
42-32
33-34
52-25
43-36
39-30
45-33
25-41
38-23
29-32
32-29
39-30
37-44
38-32
43-40
28-30
21-28
34-26
43-23
51-21
55-20
139.3Avg total
78.0Scored
61.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)74.962.7137.6+12.269%
Season at home (9)80.061.9141.9+18.178%
Season away (4)63.564.5128.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)78.061.3139.3+16.780%
Last 5 (5)77.858.8136.6+19.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.482.2151.6-12.820%
vs Similar (13)73.672.0145.6+1.662%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)72.265.2137.4+7.060%
This opponent (Georgia State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -3.2-3.21st half: +7.8+7.82nd half2nd half: -3.4-3.42nd half: +8.0+8.0
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -3.2-3.21st half: +7.8+7.82nd half2nd half: -3.4-3.42nd half: +8.0+8.0
Georgia StateSouth Alabama
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Georgia StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toccoa Falls
#565
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H19/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#262
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H23/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H26/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#291
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H27/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A30/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H07/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#323
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H14/12
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A18/12
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A21/12
NCAA
Mercer
#264
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H28/12
NCAA
71.6Avg total
34.2Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.036.670.7-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.834.970.7+0.844%-
Last 30 away (12)31.439.270.6-7.733%-
Last 10 (10)34.237.471.6-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)31.438.069.4-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)32.739.372.0-6.623%-
vs Similar (7)31.133.364.4-2.129%-
vs Weaker (10)37.835.573.3+2.370%-
This opponent (South Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercer
#264
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H16/11
NCAA
Spring Hill
#503
W
52-25
52
25
+27
H19/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H26/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#296
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H27/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#321
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H29/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H08/12
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A15/12
NCAA
TCU
#210
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A17/12
NCAA
James Madison
#110
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H21/12
NCAA
Mobile
#679
W
51-21
51
21
+30
H31/12
NCAA
67.6Avg total
37.7Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.533.367.8+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.831.367.2+4.556%-
Last 30 away (12)32.636.268.8-3.633%-
Last 10 (10)37.729.967.6+7.870%-
Last 5 (5)38.027.865.8+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.036.667.6-5.620%-
vs Similar (13)34.233.767.9+0.546%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)33.333.166.4+0.250%-
This opponent (Georgia State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Georgia State wins
2
South Alabama wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/24HMercer68-71
21/12/24ATroy57-77
18/12/24AAuburn59-100
14/12/24HCharlotte63-77
07/12/24HKennesaw State77-81
30/11/24AKentucky76-105
27/11/24HTulsa74-71
26/11/24HAustin Peay50-62
23/11/24HN. Carolina Central93-79
19/11/24HToccoa Falls106-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/24HMobile106-41
21/12/24HJames Madison77-49
17/12/24ATCU49-58
15/12/24ATX A&M Commerce81-72
08/12/24HJacksonville State76-74
29/11/24HAlcorn State74-65 OT
27/11/24HWestern Illinois63-64
26/11/24HIncarnate Word84-63
19/11/24HSpring Hill95-61
16/11/24HMercer75-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Georgia State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL31%
HomeLWLLL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %31%50%0%
Points / game71.375.265.0
Allowed / game79.171.691.0
Point differential-7.8+3.6-26.0
Avg total150.4146.9156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
South Alabama
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW69%
HomeLWWWW78%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %69%78%50%
Points / game74.980.063.5
Allowed / game62.761.964.5
Point differential+12.2+18.1-1.0
Avg total137.6141.9128.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %8%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State1310377%80.771.5+9.2
2 South Alabama139469%74.962.7+12.2
3 Troy139469%74.966.0+8.9
4 Texas State138562%77.068.1+8.9
5 James Madison137654%74.669.5+5.2
6 Coastal Carolina137654%69.268.1+1.2
7 Georgia Southern137654%74.478.9-4.5
8 Marshall147750%76.072.3+3.7
9 Appalachian State136746%69.365.3+4.0
10 Southern Miss136746%72.276.2-4.0
11 Old Dominion135838%69.975.0-5.1
12 Georgia State134931%71.379.1-7.8
13 Louisiana Monroe1441029%72.872.4+0.4
14 Louisiana Lafayette1331023%65.675.8-10.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Georgia State302151
South Alabama334477
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