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Georgia State vs UALR Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 88-77
40-40 48-37
Position#252
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game76.3
vs
Position#90
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game83.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Georgia State v UALR
19 Nov 2023
GEOR88
UALR77
03 Mar 2020
GEOR89
UALR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Georgia State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UALR winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Georgia StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#111
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H10/02
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
77-88
77
88
-11
H11/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A17/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A18/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
52-78
52
78
-26
H23/02
NCAA
James Madison
#69
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A25/02
NCAA
Texas State
#236
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A01/03
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
87-89
87
89
-2
A07/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
77-70
77
70
+7
A11/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
64-70
64
70
-6
H17/11
NCAA
1H
2H
22-29
38-34
37-43
40-45
24-35
44-42
38-35
32-40
25-42
27-36
40-34
29-56
31-41
45-40
45-47
42-42
40-29
37-41
34-35
30-35
148.1Avg total
70.0Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.076.3152.3-0.333%
Season at home (1)64.070.0134.0-6.00%
Season away (2)82.079.5161.5+2.550%
Last 10 (10)70.078.1148.1-8.110%
Last 5 (5)74.680.0154.6-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)63.473.3136.7-9.920%
vs Similar ◀ (11)68.670.2138.8-1.527%
vs Weaker (4)77.861.2139.0+16.575%
This opponent (UALR) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UALRUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#141
L
81-84
81
84
-3
H04/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#82
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H10/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
L
61-84
61
84
-23
A11/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#206
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H17/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
81-77 OT
81
77
+4
H18/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
W
79-74
79
74
+5
A24/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#304
L
96-97 OT
96
97
-1
A25/02
NCAA
Texas State
#214
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A11/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
93-98
93
98
-5
H18/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-46
44-38
29-30
43-38
22-46
39-38
43-40
38-42
28-27
41-42
40-32
39-42
41-39
42-44
38-34
33-32
25-38
46-48
40-58
53-40
160.2Avg total
78.6Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.383.3161.7-5.033%
Season at home (2)82.082.0164.0+0.050%
Season away (1)71.086.0157.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)78.681.6160.2-3.040%
Last 5 (5)82.084.2166.2-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)75.881.7157.5-5.828%
vs Similar ◀ (7)76.178.7154.9-2.629%
vs Weaker (4)77.579.0156.5-1.550%
This opponent (Georgia State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -3.4-3.41st half: -4.7-4.72nd half2nd half: -4.7-4.72nd half: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -3.4-3.41st half: -4.7-4.72nd half2nd half: -4.7-4.72nd half: +1.4+1.4
Georgia StateUALR
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Georgia StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#111
L
22-29
22
29
-7
H10/02
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H11/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A17/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A18/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H23/02
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A25/02
NCAA
Texas State
#236
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A01/03
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A07/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A11/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H17/11
NCAA
70.6Avg total
33.6Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.833.564.4-2.730%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.830.161.9+1.831%-
Last 30 away (14)29.737.567.2-7.829%-
Last 10 (10)33.637.070.6-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.037.275.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)28.334.963.3-6.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)30.934.165.0-3.227%-
vs Weaker (4)40.026.866.8+13.275%-
This opponent (UALR) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UALRLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#141
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H04/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#82
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H10/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
L
22-46
22
46
-24
A11/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#206
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H17/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H18/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A24/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#304
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A25/02
NCAA
Texas State
#214
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H07/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A11/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H18/11
NCAA
73.3Avg total
34.3Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.237.071.2-2.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.734.471.1+2.457%-
Last 30 away (16)32.039.271.2-7.231%-
Last 10 (10)34.339.073.3-4.750%-
Last 5 (5)36.840.277.0-3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)34.239.273.4-4.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)33.432.465.9+1.057%-
vs Weaker (4)33.839.273.0-5.550%-
This opponent (Georgia State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Georgia State wins
0
UALR wins
DateGameScore
04/03/20Georgia State v UALR89-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/23HNorthern Illinois64-70
11/11/23AWestern Michigan77-70
07/11/23ABelmont87-89
01/03/23ATexas State76-81
25/02/23AJames Madison69-90
23/02/23HAppalachian State52-78
18/02/23AArkansas State70-75
17/02/23ACoastal Carolina68-77
11/02/23HMarshall77-88
10/02/23HOld Dominion60-63
UALRlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23HNorthern Illinois93-98
11/11/23AIllinois (Chi.)71-86
07/11/23HTexas State71-66
25/02/23ALindenwood96-97 OT
24/02/23ASiu Edwardsville79-74
18/02/23HEastern Illinois81-77 OT
17/02/23HSouthern Indiana81-82
11/02/23AUT Martin61-84
10/02/23HMorehead State72-68
04/02/23HSiu Edwardsville81-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Georgia State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game76.064.082.0
Allowed / game76.370.079.5
Point differential-0.3-6.0+2.5
Avg total152.3134.0161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UALR
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game78.382.071.0
Allowed / game83.382.086.0
Point differential-5.0+0.0-15.0
Avg total161.7164.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison440100%93.885.8+8.0
2 Louisiana Lafayette32167%85.768.3+17.3
3 Troy42250%88.265.5+22.8
4 Southern Miss42250%64.856.5+8.2
5 Marshall21150%75.569.5+6.0
6 Texas State42250%66.872.8-6.0
7 South Alabama63350%75.882.0-6.2
8 Appalachian State31233%78.773.7+5.0
9 Old Dominion31233%72.072.0+0.0
10 Georgia State31233%76.076.3-0.3
11 Louisiana Monroe31233%56.073.7-17.7
12 Coastal Carolina41325%79.285.2-6.0
13 Arkansas State41325%81.290.0-8.8
14 Georgia Southern3030%63.379.7-16.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee State43175%75.269.0+6.2
2 UT Martin53260%80.677.4+3.2
3 Western Illinois42250%75.876.8-1.0
4 Siu Edwardsville63350%66.768.2-1.5
5 Lindenwood63350%63.874.0-10.2
6 Morehead State52340%70.274.4-4.2
7 Eastern Illinois62433%63.567.5-4.0
8 UALR31233%78.383.3-5.0
9 Tennessee Tech41325%65.281.0-15.8
10 Southern Indiana51420%65.474.2-8.8
11 Southeast Missouri State3030%60.085.0-25.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Georgia State404888
UALR403777
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