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Texas State vs Georgia State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 81-76
41-31 40-45
Position#236
Record13-18
FormLLWLL
Points / game65.6
Allowed / game67.4
Texas State 🏆
USA
vs
Georgia State
USA
Position#320
Record10-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.4
Allowed / game69.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Texas State v Georgia State
15 Jan 2025
TEXA94
GEOR80
28 Feb 2023
TEXA81
GEOR76
22 Feb 2020
TEXA86
GEOR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Georgia State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#198
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H27/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A28/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A03/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A05/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H10/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H11/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A16/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A18/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H23/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-36
39-31
27-34
31-33
34-38
29-44
24-45
40-23
33-30
33-32
32-37
36-33
31-33
44-49
34-34
44-41
33-38
34-38
29-41
40-38
140.6Avg total
67.8Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)65.667.4133.0-1.842%
Season at home (15)66.968.0134.9-1.133%
Season away (16)64.466.9131.3-2.450%
Last 10 (10)67.872.8140.6-5.030%
Last 5 (5)71.476.4147.8-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)64.669.7134.3-5.121%
vs Similar ◀ (10)66.666.4133.0+0.260%
vs Weaker (3)60.057.0117.0+3.067%
This opponent (Georgia State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#203
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
65-103
65
103
-38
A29/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H03/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
71-79
71
79
-8
H04/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H10/02
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
77-88
77
88
-11
H11/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A17/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A18/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
52-78
52
78
-26
H23/02
NCAA
James Madison
#69
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-42
32-29
29-56
36-47
25-27
39-33
34-30
37-49
22-29
38-34
37-43
40-45
24-35
44-42
38-35
32-40
25-42
27-36
40-34
29-56
143.9Avg total
65.5Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)66.469.0135.4-2.633%
Season at home (19)69.165.4134.5+3.753%
Season away (11)61.775.1136.8-13.40%
Last 10 (10)65.578.4143.9-12.910%
Last 5 (5)67.281.6148.8-14.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)64.573.2137.7-8.624%
vs Similar ◀ (10)64.966.1131.0-1.230%
vs Weaker (3)82.054.7136.7+27.3100%
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -5.8-5.81st half: -7.2-7.22nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -5.7-5.7
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -5.8-5.81st half: -7.2-7.22nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -5.7-5.7
Texas StateGeorgia State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#198
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H27/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A28/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A03/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A05/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H10/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H11/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A16/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A18/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H23/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H25/02
NCAA
67.4Avg total
30.8Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.330.660.9-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.132.363.4-1.333%-
Last 30 away (15)29.528.858.3+0.753%-
Last 10 (10)30.836.667.4-5.810%-
Last 5 (5)31.836.668.4-4.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)29.632.161.8-2.529%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)30.630.561.1+0.150%-
vs Weaker (3)26.725.352.0+1.367%-
This opponent (Georgia State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#203
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A26/01
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
29-56
29
56
-27
A29/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H03/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H04/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
L
22-29
22
29
-7
H10/02
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H11/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A17/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A18/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H23/02
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A25/02
NCAA
67.4Avg total
30.1Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.632.362.9-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (19)32.529.662.1+2.947%-
Last 30 away (11)27.337.164.4-9.827%-
Last 10 (10)30.137.367.4-7.230%-
Last 5 (5)32.837.870.6-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)30.134.864.9-4.829%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)29.031.260.2-2.240%-
vs Weaker (3)39.022.061.0+17.0100%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Texas State wins
1
Georgia State wins
DateGameScore
22/02/20Texas State v Georgia State86-76
21/12/19Georgia State v Texas State81-69
Texas Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/23HSouthern Miss69-79
23/02/23HSouth Alabama67-76
18/02/23ACoastal Carolina78-75
16/02/23AAppalachian State75-82
11/02/23HOld Dominion68-70
10/02/23HArkansas State66-62
05/02/23ATroy64-68
03/02/23ALouisiana Lafayette63-82
28/01/23ASouthern Miss58-67
27/01/23HGeorgia Southern70-67
Georgia Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/23AJames Madison69-90
23/02/23HAppalachian State52-78
18/02/23AArkansas State70-75
17/02/23ACoastal Carolina68-77
11/02/23HMarshall77-88
10/02/23HOld Dominion60-63
04/02/23HSouthern Miss71-79
03/02/23HGeorgia Southern64-60
29/01/23AMarshall65-103
26/01/23AAppalachian State59-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL42%
HomeWWLLL33%
AwayLLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %42%33%50%
Points / game65.666.964.4
Allowed / game67.468.066.9
Point differential-1.8-1.1-2.4
Avg total133.0134.9131.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%20%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)40% (5)62% (8)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Georgia State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWLLLL53%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301911
Win %33%53%0%
Points / game66.469.161.7
Allowed / game69.065.475.1
Point differential-2.6+3.7-13.4
Avg total135.4134.5136.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%26%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)43% (7)0% (1)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss3125681%74.765.0+9.6
2 Marshall3124777%82.271.3+10.9
3 Louisiana Lafayette3023777%79.171.0+8.1
4 James Madison31211068%81.267.7+13.5
5 Old Dominion30191163%67.966.2+1.7
6 Troy31191261%73.566.8+6.7
7 Appalachian State31161552%70.564.5+6.1
8 South Alabama31161552%70.865.3+5.6
9 Georgia Southern31161552%69.167.0+2.1
10 Texas State31131842%65.667.4-1.8
11 Arkansas State32131941%65.967.8-1.8
12 Coastal Carolina31112035%73.374.0-0.7
13 Louisiana Monroe31112035%67.770.0-2.2
14 Georgia State30102033%66.469.0-2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State414081
Georgia State314576
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