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Germany vs Serbia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 81-91
15-18 17-20 23-32 26-21
Position#3
Record1-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game71.0
Germany
vs
Serbia 🏆
Position#1
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game113.0
Allowed / game84.0
EuropeDBB SupercupDBB Supercup - Final· SAP Garden
Other2024
Meetings · Germany v Serbia
16 Aug 2025
GERM81
SERB91
10 Sep 2023
GERM83
SERB77
23 Feb 2018
GERM79
SERB74
20 Aug 2017
GERM56
SERB87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Germany winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Serbia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGermany
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#24
W
100-71
100
71
+29
no box
H03/09
World Cup
Latvia
#3
W
81-79
81
79
+2
no box
H06/09
World Cup
Serbia
#13
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H10/09
World Cup
Montenegro
#19
W
85-61
85
61
+24
no box
H22/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
62-67
62
67
-5
no box
A25/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
L
72-73
72
73
-1
57avg 79
A22/11
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
80-61
80
61
+19
78avg 79
H25/11
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
95-76
95
76
+19
99avg 79
A20/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
94-85
94
85
+9
88avg 79
H23/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
W
73-71
73
71
+2
60avg 79
H15/08
DBB Supercup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-25
27-9
30-18
32-19
13-16
23-18
26-25
19-20
23-26
24-21
22-10
14-20
28-10
19-20
11-20
27-11
19-7
8-21
18-11
17-28
18-26
19-11
19-18
16-18
23-19
18-12
19-17
20-13
26-17
24-21
25-13
20-25
28-21
34-14
13-22
19-28
17-25
11-10
21-16
24-20
154.6Avg total
82.5Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)73.071.0144.0+2.0100%
Season at home (1)73.071.0144.0+2.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.572.1154.6+10.480%
Last 5 (5)82.873.2156.0+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)83.083.0166.0+0.067%
vs Similar (7)89.784.6174.3+5.186%
vs Weaker (20)89.073.7162.8+15.380%
This opponent (Serbia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSerbia
Date
Competition
Lithuania
#9
W
87-68
87
68
+19
no box
A05/09
World Cup
Canada
#4
W
95-86
95
86
+9
no box
H08/09
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A10/09
World Cup
Finland
#34
W
77-61
77
61
+16
no box
H23/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
76-63
76
63
+13
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
72-52
72
52
+20
72avg 94
A21/11
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
98-51
98
51
+47
104avg 94
H24/11
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
W
105-95
105
95
+10
107avg 94
A21/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
63-54
63
54
+9
49avg 94
H24/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#4
W
113-84
113
84
+29
116avg 94
H15/08
DBB Supercup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
25-13
24-17
14-13
23-15
29-24
23-24
20-23
26-23
21-24
10-22
20-14
17-20
19-14
22-17
19-10
21-12
17-19
22-21
16-11
29-6
14-13
19-16
10-17
25-17
25-11
20-11
28-12
24-26
27-31
28-14
26-24
13-17
14-14
17-10
19-13
29-21
32-27
31-20
21-16
156.0Avg total
86.3Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)113.084.0197.0+29.0100%
Season at home (1)113.084.0197.0+29.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.369.7156.0+16.690%
Last 5 (5)90.267.2157.4+23.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)95.086.0181.0+9.0100%
vs Similar (4)97.878.2176.0+19.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)88.073.6161.6+14.484%
This opponent (Germany) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +4.0+4.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +4.0+4.0
GermanySerbia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GermanyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#24
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H03/09
World Cup
Latvia
#3
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H06/09
World Cup
Serbia
#13
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H10/09
World Cup
Montenegro
#19
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H22/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A25/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A22/11
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H25/11
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A20/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
62-35
62
35
+27
H23/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H15/08
DBB Supercup
76.2Avg total
41.3Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.637.080.6+6.673%-
Last 30 at home (20)43.936.180.0+7.875%-
Last 30 away (10)43.038.781.7+4.370%-
Last 10 (10)41.334.976.2+6.460%-
Last 5 (5)43.635.278.8+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)42.741.784.3+1.067%-
vs Similar (7)43.143.686.7-0.443%-
vs Weaker (20)43.934.077.9+9.985%-
This opponent (Serbia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SerbiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lithuania
#9
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A05/09
World Cup
Canada
#4
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H08/09
World Cup
Germany
#2
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A10/09
World Cup
Finland
#34
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H23/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A26/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
43-19
43
19
+24
A21/11
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H24/11
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A21/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H24/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#4
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H15/08
DBB Supercup
82.6Avg total
45.4Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.936.483.3+10.583%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.837.083.8+9.888%-
Last 30 away (14)47.035.882.8+11.279%-
Last 10 (10)45.437.282.6+8.270%-
Last 5 (5)46.436.683.0+9.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)52.039.091.0+13.0100%-
vs Similar (4)52.039.891.8+12.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)45.935.881.7+10.184%-
This opponent (Germany) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Germanytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Germany: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 20% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.317.3
53.6%
-34.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.011.3
32.4%
-34.0
🏀 Free throws22.717.6
77.5%
-17.6
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Serbiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Serbia: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.3 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.022.2
59.9%
-44.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.38.7
38.8%
-26.0
🏀 Free throws23.817.0
71.3%
-17.0
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/6 games with a box score before 16 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Germany
WWWWLLWWWW
Serbia
WWWWWWWLWW
#3
League position
#1
+17.6
Net rating
+31.1
115.1
Offensive rating
120.5
97.4
Defensive rating
89.5
51.0%
Effective FG%
59.3%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
45.2%
17.7%
Turnover %
15.4%
45.5%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.40
32.4%
3-point %
38.8%
64.0%
Assist %
62.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)80% · 90%
■ Germany   ■ Serbia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Germany wins
2
Serbia wins
DateGameScore
10/09/23Germany v Serbia83-77
20/08/22Serbia v Germany83-56
02/07/18Serbia v Germany81-88
23/02/18Germany v Serbia79-74
20/08/17Germany v Serbia56-87
29/08/10Serbia v Germany81-82 OT
Germanylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/08/25HTurkey73-71
23/02/25HBulgaria94-85
20/02/25AMontenegro95-76
25/11/24HSweden80-61
22/11/24ASweden72-73
25/02/24ABulgaria62-67
22/02/24HMontenegro85-61
10/09/23HSerbia83-77
06/09/23HLatvia81-79
03/09/23HSlovenia100-71
Serbialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/08/25HCzech Republic113-84
24/02/25HGeorgia63-54
21/02/25AFinland105-95
24/11/24HDenmark98-51
21/11/24ADenmark72-52
26/02/24AGeorgia76-63
23/02/24HFinland77-61
10/09/23AGermany77-83
08/09/23HCanada95-86
05/09/23ALithuania87-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Germany
DBB Supercup 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game73.073.0-
Allowed / game71.071.0-
Point differential+2.0+2.0-
Avg total144.0144.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Serbia
DBB Supercup 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game113.0113.0-
Allowed / game84.084.0-
Point differential+29.0+29.0-
Avg total197.0197.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia110100%113.084.0+29.0
2 Germany110100%73.071.0+2.0
3 Turkey21150%75.069.0+6.0
4 Czech Republic2020%74.596.0-21.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Germany1517232681
Serbia1820322191
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