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Gimnasia vs Boca Juniors Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 08 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record9-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.1/10
Below normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#6
Record5-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game83.2
ArgentinaLiga A· Estadio Socios Fundadores
Other2026-27
Meetings · Gimnasia v Boca Juniors
08 Dec 2026
GIMN v BOCA
upcoming
04 Nov 2025
GIMN70
BOCA82
13 Nov 2024
GIMN67
BOCA83
16 May 2024
GIMN90
BOCA85
26 Mar 2023
GIMN77
BOCA87
06 Mar 2022
GIMN89
BOCA86
22 Apr 2021
GIMN70
BOCA78
16 Jan 2021
GIMN87
BOCA74
16 Nov 2019
GIMN99
BOCA87
20 Oct 2019
GIMN83
BOCA75
13 Feb 2019
GIMN83
BOCA68
01 Mar 2018
GIMN61
BOCA59
04 Nov 2017
GIMN77
BOCA70
10 May 2017
GIMN95
BOCA79
21 Oct 2016
GIMN75
BOCA72
01 Apr 2016
GIMN88
BOCA61
15 Nov 2015
GIMN96
BOCA79
31 May 2015
GIMN98
BOCA82
23 May 2015
GIMN62
BOCA64
21 May 2015
GIMN70
BOCA62
03 Jan 2015
GIMN79
BOCA66
03 Dec 2014
GIMN101
BOCA76
01 May 2014
GIMN72
BOCA60
29 Apr 2014
GIMN82
BOCA61
05 Apr 2014
GIMN88
BOCA93
11 Oct 2013
GIMN70
BOCA67
01 Nov 2012
GIMN85
BOCA80
05 Oct 2012
GIMN82
BOCA78
06 Jan 2012
GIMN81
BOCA84
19 Oct 2011
GIMN89
BOCA65
11 Feb 2011
GIMN76
BOCA72
05 Nov 2010
GIMN73
BOCA72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gimnasia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Boca Juniors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GimnasiaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGimnasia
Date
Competition
La Union
#14
W
92-86
92
86
+6
78avg 72
H04/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
L
73-89
73
89
-16
58avg 72
A09/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
W
78-72
78
72
+6
69avg 72
A11/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
W
87-82
87
82
+5
78avg 72
A12/10
Liga A
Ferro
#16
W
73-61
73
61
+12
62avg 72
H29/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
W
58-57
58
57
+1
no box
A01/11
Liga A
Atenas
#5
W
79-76
79
76
+3
no box
A04/11
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#7
W
77-76 OT
77
76
+1
no box
A06/11
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
no box
H09/11
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
68-58
68
58
+10
no box
H15/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
30-19
17-28
24-23
22-20
18-18
14-29
19-22
20-18
17-19
16-16
25-19
19-21
18-24
29-23
21-14
23-14
22-19
11-15
17-13
16-17
10-12
14-15
18-13
21-15
17-19
16-19
25-23
19-21
15-22
14-6
14-13
16-24
17-18
24-18
23-20
17-17
18-19
12-12
21-10
152.9Avg total
77.7Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.274.0151.2+3.275%
Season at home (4)81.275.0156.2+6.275%
Season away (8)75.173.5148.6+1.675%
Last 10 (10)77.775.2152.9+2.580%
Last 5 (5)74.872.4147.2+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.069.0136.0-2.050%
vs Similar ◀ (20)75.872.2147.9+3.565%
vs Weaker (8)81.577.1158.6+4.475%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuniors
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
W
99-92
99
92
+7
92avg 77
H30/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
83-94
83
94
-11
76avg 77
H31/05
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
W
96-73
96
73
+23
91avg 77
H08/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
96-105
96
105
-9
95avg 77
A11/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
L
80-93
80
93
-13
73avg 77
A13/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
82-84
82
84
-2
71avg 77
A22/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
W
80-72
80
72
+8
75avg 77
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
95-83
95
83
+12
90avg 77
H28/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
90-63
90
63
+27
no box
H07/11
Liga A
La Union
#14
W
97-93
97
93
+4
no box
H09/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-17
21-21
22-29
26-25
22-25
20-27
22-20
19-22
26-21
30-11
21-21
19-20
33-23
21-26
21-31
21-25
17-35
17-20
29-19
17-19
24-25
19-21
17-12
22-26
21-15
23-28
21-12
15-17
32-14
23-20
21-25
19-24
14-13
28-17
21-14
27-19
27-24
23-17
30-26
17-26
175.0Avg total
89.8Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.583.2172.8+6.262%
Season at home (4)94.578.0172.5+16.5100%
Season away (4)84.588.5173.0-4.025%
Last 10 (10)89.885.2175.0+4.660%
Last 5 (5)88.879.0167.8+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)85.183.2168.3+1.960%
vs Weaker (15)86.378.4164.7+7.987%
This opponent (Gimnasia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -2.1-2.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -2.1-2.1
GimnasiaBoca Juniors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GimnasiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Union
#14
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H04/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A09/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A11/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A12/10
Liga A
Ferro
#16
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H29/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A01/11
Liga A
Atenas
#5
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A04/11
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#7
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A06/11
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H09/11
Liga A
Platense
#11
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H15/11
Liga A
74.8Avg total
37.6Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.336.976.2+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.936.178.0+5.773%-
Last 30 away (15)36.837.774.5-0.933%-
Last 10 (10)37.637.274.8+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)33.236.870.0-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.536.568.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)39.436.575.8+2.960%-
vs Weaker (8)41.238.179.4+3.150%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H30/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H31/05
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H08/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A11/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A13/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A22/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H28/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H07/11
Liga A
La Union
#14
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H09/11
Liga A
89.1Avg total
47.1Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.040.584.5+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.238.984.1+6.471%-
Last 30 away (13)42.442.685.0-0.254%-
Last 10 (10)47.142.089.1+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)46.838.885.6+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.641.184.7+2.560%-
vs Weaker (15)44.439.984.3+4.567%-
This opponent (Gimnasia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gimnasiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gimnasia: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.5
51.5%
54.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.0
30.9%
32.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.011.4
71.2%
72.7%11.4
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.9
56.8%
54.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.1
34.5%
32.6%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.115.4
76.6%
72.7%15.4
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gimnasia
WLWWWWWWLW
Boca Juniors
WWWWLLLWLW
#3
League position
#6
+1.0
Net rating
-1.3
106.8
Offensive rating
115.8
105.9
Defensive rating
117.2
49.2%
Effective FG%
54.3%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.9%
3-point %
34.5%
49.1%
Assist %
53.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 115.8Defence105.9 · 117.2Shooting49.2% · 54.3%3-point %30.9% · 34.5%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Gimnasia   ■ Boca Juniors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Gimnasia wins
5
Boca Juniors wins
Gimnasialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HPlatense68-58
09/11/26HObera TC92-95 OT
06/11/26AIndependiente de Oliva77-76 OT
04/11/26AAtenas79-76
01/11/26AInstituto de Cordoba58-57
29/10/26HFerro73-61
12/10/26AArgentino87-82
11/10/26ARacing de Chivilcoy78-72
09/10/26ASan Lorenzo73-89
04/10/26HLa Union92-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26HLa Union97-93
07/11/26HSan Martin90-63
28/10/26HRegatas95-83
24/10/26ARacing de Chivilcoy80-72
22/10/26AArgentino82-84
13/10/26AOlimpico80-93
11/10/26AQuimsa96-105
08/10/26HObera TC96-73
31/05/26HQuimsa83-94
30/05/26HQuimsa99-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gimnasia
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game77.281.275.1
Allowed / game74.075.073.5
Point differential+3.2+6.2+1.6
Avg total151.2156.2148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)0% (1)80% (5)
Overtime %17%25%12%
Boca Juniors
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%100%25%
Points / game89.594.584.5
Allowed / game83.278.088.5
Point differential+6.2+16.5-4.0
Avg total172.8172.5173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa87188%85.275.8+9.5
2 Penarol87188%82.174.8+7.4
3 Gimnasia129375%77.274.0+3.2
4 Instituto de Cordoba86275%77.976.5+1.4
5 Atenas75271%84.479.0+5.4
6 Boca Juniors85362%89.583.2+6.2
7 Independiente de Oliva42250%99.589.0+10.5
8 Olimpico84450%86.885.4+1.4
9 Argentino84450%77.979.5-1.6
10 Obera TC73443%80.083.1-3.1
11 Platense83538%76.978.6-1.8
12 Lanus114736%78.579.3-0.7
13 Racing de Chivilcoy93633%79.482.8-3.3
14 La Union62433%78.283.2-5.0
15 Regatas72529%73.375.7-2.4
16 Ferro82625%81.585.6-4.1
17 San Lorenzo82625%70.183.2-13.1
18 San Martin92722%81.687.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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