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Ginasio vs Academica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 85-67
27-11 27-15 8-17 23-24
Position#8
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Ginasio 🏆
Portugal
vs
Academica
Portugal
Position#16
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
PortugalProligaRound 1· Pavilhão Galamba Marques
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ginasio v Academica
04 Oct 2025
GINA85
ACAD67
18 Dec 2011
GINA65
ACAD80
24 Apr 2011
GINA61
ACAD76
22 Apr 2011
GINA78
ACAD75
29 Jan 2011
GINA69
ACAD81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ginasio winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Academica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GinasioPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGinasio
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
70-74
70
74
-4
64avg 69
H22/02
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
66-85
66
85
-19
51avg 69
H01/03
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
W
106-102
106
102
+4
102avg 69
A08/03
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
59-74
59
74
-15
46avg 69
A15/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
93-95
93
95
-2
no box
H22/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
78-83
78
83
-5
72avg 69
A29/03
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
83-79
83
79
+4
78avg 69
H05/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
78-80
78
80
-2
64avg 69
A18/04
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
74-88
74
88
-14
66avg 69
A25/04
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
92-95
92
95
-3
84avg 69
H04/05
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
16-22
18-12
14-19
22-27
14-13
14-21
16-24
29-30
25-32
20-17
32-23
10-18
17-20
16-23
16-13
23-25
26-25
23-23
21-22
22-19
21-20
16-20
19-24
19-27
27-16
15-21
22-15
23-22
19-14
17-24
19-20
17-21
18-10
18-28
21-29
30-30
25-21
17-28
20-16
165.4Avg total
79.9Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.985.5165.4-5.620%
Last 5 (5)81.085.0166.0-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)81.992.4174.3-10.531%
vs Similar (12)81.981.4163.3+0.542%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)70.274.2144.5-4.050%
This opponent (Academica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AcademicaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAcademica
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#9
W
69-67
69
67
+2
no box
A27/01
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
49-85
49
85
-36
no box
H04/02
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
W
81-78
81
78
+3
no box
H18/02
Proliga
Barreirense
#7
L
66-68
66
68
-2
no box
A24/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#13
L
58-66
58
66
-8
no box
H02/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#12
L
46-82
46
82
-36
no box
A10/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
W
76-74
76
74
+2
no box
A16/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#7
L
59-64
59
64
-5
no box
H23/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#13
W
64-53
64
53
+11
no box
A30/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#12
L
54-58
54
58
-4
no box
H14/04
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
21-19
16-13
13-12
19-21
14-17
6-27
10-20
20-13
19-16
21-23
21-26
22-15
17-25
10-18
17-10
16-9
12-26
13-17
17-14
10-25
13-17
13-15
10-25
15-18
29-30
14-16
18-10
15-17
16-15
17-17
11-15
21-17
15-11
17-7
11-18
11-13
13-19
15-10
15-16
131.7Avg total
62.2Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)62.269.5131.7-7.340%
Last 5 (5)59.866.2126.0-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)61.573.2134.7-11.720%
vs Similar (2)80.585.5166.0-5.050%
vs Weaker (8)80.176.4156.5+3.875%
This opponent (Ginasio) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.3-2.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.3-2.3
GinasioAcademica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GinasioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H22/02
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H01/03
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A08/03
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A15/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H22/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A29/03
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H05/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A18/04
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A25/04
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H04/05
Proliga
85.8Avg total
42.5Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.043.984.9-2.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.442.084.4+0.440%-
Last 30 away (15)39.545.885.3-6.320%-
Last 10 (10)42.543.385.8-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)44.240.084.2+4.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)43.149.492.5-6.315%-
vs Similar (12)42.739.882.4+2.958%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)30.037.267.2-7.20%-
This opponent (Academica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AcademicaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#9
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A27/01
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H04/02
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H18/02
Proliga
Barreirense
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A24/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#13
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H02/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#12
L
23-42
23
42
-19
A10/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A16/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#7
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H23/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#13
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A30/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#12
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H14/04
Proliga
70.3Avg total
33.7Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.637.973.5-2.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.234.666.8-2.427%-
Last 30 away (15)39.141.180.2-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)33.736.670.3-2.920%-
Last 5 (5)31.636.468.0-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)32.537.269.8-4.815%-
vs Similar (2)42.543.586.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker (8)41.838.079.8+3.875%-
This opponent (Ginasio) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ginasiotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ginasio: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.221.6
55.1%
50.0%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.5
29.6%
30.3%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.013.3
70.0%
67.4%13.3
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Academicatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Academica: 61.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.316.1
48.3%
50.0%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.87.1
32.6%
30.3%21.3
🏀 Free throws13.97.7
55.4%
67.4%7.7
They take 55.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ginasio
LLLWLLLWLL
Academica
LWLWLLLWLW
#8
League position
#16
-6.5
Net rating
-10.9
102.1
Offensive rating
88.7
108.6
Defensive rating
99.6
50.9%
Effective FG%
48.5%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
18.3%
Turnover %
25.0%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
29.6%
3-point %
32.6%
50.9%
Assist %
50.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.1 · 88.7Defence108.6 · 99.6Shooting50.9% · 48.5%3-point %29.6% · 32.6%Ball care18.3% · 25.0%Off. rebounds25.2% · 27.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Ginasio   ■ Academica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ginasio wins
6
Academica wins
DateGameScore
07/04/12Academica v Ginasio82-58
18/12/11Ginasio v Academica65-80
24/04/11Ginasio v Academica61-76
22/04/11Ginasio v Academica78-75
17/04/11Academica v Ginasio77-61
15/04/11Academica v Ginasio75-71
29/01/11Ginasio v Academica69-81
23/10/10Academica v Ginasio80-81
Ginasiolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/25HLusitania92-95
25/04/25AMaia74-88
18/04/25ABenfica Lisboa B78-80
05/04/25HSampaense83-79
29/03/25ABarreirense78-83
22/03/25HSanto Andre93-95
15/03/25AGalitos Aveiro59-74
08/03/25ALusitania106-102
01/03/25HMaia66-85
22/02/25HBenfica Lisboa B70-74
Academicalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24HImortal B54-58
30/03/24ABenfica Lisboa B64-53
23/03/24HBarreirense59-64
16/03/24AGinasio Olhanense76-74
10/03/24AImortal B46-82
02/03/24HBenfica Lisboa B58-66
24/02/24ABarreirense66-68
18/02/24HGinasio Olhanense81-78
04/02/24HSangalhos49-85
27/01/24AIlliabum69-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ginasio
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Academica
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa110100%80.056.0+24.0
2 Ginasio Olhanense110100%93.086.0+7.0
3 Sampaense110100%80.074.0+6.0
4 Lusitania1010%74.080.0-6.0
5 Galomar1010%86.093.0-7.0
6 Sangalhos1010%56.080.0-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ginasio272782385
Academica1115172467
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