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Maia vs Ginasio Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 25 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 88-74
21-17 10-18 28-18 29-21
Position#8
Record14-12
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game79.6
Maia 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#14
Record10-16
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game85.6
PortugalProligaRound 13· Pavilhão Mun. Nortecoope
Other2024-25
Meetings · Maia v Ginasio
28 Mar 2026
MAIA87
GINA80
03 Jan 2026
MAIA96
GINA66
25 Apr 2025
MAIA88
GINA74
19 Oct 2024
MAIA86
GINA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ginasio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
68-56
68
56
+12
56avg 65
H08/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
69-74
69
74
-5
58avg 65
A15/02
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
85-66
85
66
+19
80avg 65
A01/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
68-65
68
65
+3
56avg 65
H08/03
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
W
93-86
93
86
+7
88avg 65
H16/03
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
72-96
72
96
-24
54avg 65
A22/03
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
77-71
77
71
+6
70avg 65
A29/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
71avg 65
H05/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
64-60
64
60
+4
53avg 65
H16/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
78-73
78
73
+5
73avg 65
A19/04
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-18
16-15
18-10
24-13
18-20
11-16
18-21
22-17
27-22
13-14
21-14
24-16
19-17
17-17
16-16
16-15
19-28
30-14
18-17
26-27
13-20
23-29
16-17
20-30
22-14
18-13
24-26
13-18
18-16
23-16
10-19
20-20
19-18
9-13
19-21
17-8
25-16
14-28
21-17
18-12
148.6Avg total
75.8Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)75.979.6155.5-3.754%
Season at home (13)76.775.5152.2+1.277%
Season away (13)75.183.7158.8-8.631%
Last 10 (10)75.872.8148.6+3.080%
Last 5 (5)75.076.2151.2-1.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)72.283.6155.8-11.531%
vs Similar ◀ (13)78.981.8160.7-2.854%
vs Weaker (4)75.068.0143.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Ginasio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GinasioPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGinasio
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#13
W
90-77
90
77
+13
86avg 68
H08/02
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
96-86
96
86
+10
88avg 68
A15/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
70-74
70
74
-4
64avg 68
H22/02
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
66-85
66
85
-19
51avg 68
H01/03
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
W
106-102
106
102
+4
102avg 68
A08/03
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
59-74
59
74
-15
46avg 68
A15/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
93-95
93
95
-2
no box
H22/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
78-83
78
83
-5
72avg 68
A29/03
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
83-79
83
79
+4
78avg 68
H05/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
78-80
78
80
-2
64avg 68
A18/04
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-13
18-20
25-18
21-26
36-24
14-28
24-22
22-12
22-21
16-22
18-12
14-19
22-27
14-13
14-21
16-24
29-30
25-32
20-17
32-23
10-18
17-20
16-23
16-13
23-25
26-25
23-23
21-22
22-19
21-20
16-20
19-24
19-27
27-16
15-21
22-15
23-22
19-14
17-24
19-20
165.4Avg total
81.9Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.585.6166.1-5.138%
Season at home (13)82.480.7163.1+1.754%
Season away (13)78.690.5169.1-11.823%
Last 10 (10)81.983.5165.4-1.640%
Last 5 (5)78.282.2160.4-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)76.790.4167.1-13.629%
vs Similar ◀ (11)82.680.8163.5+1.845%
vs Weaker (4)70.274.2144.5-4.050%
This opponent (Maia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
MaiaGinasio
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H08/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A15/02
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A01/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H08/03
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H16/03
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A22/03
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A29/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H05/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H16/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A19/04
Proliga
72.8Avg total
36.4Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.241.077.2-4.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.738.776.5-1.053%-
Last 30 away (15)34.743.277.9-8.520%-
Last 10 (10)36.436.472.8+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)36.836.673.4+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)34.743.478.1-8.715%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.240.778.8-2.554%-
vs Weaker (4)34.834.068.8+0.850%-
This opponent (Ginasio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GinasioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#13
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H08/02
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A15/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H22/02
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H01/03
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A08/03
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A15/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H22/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A29/03
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H05/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A18/04
Proliga
86.5Avg total
42.9Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.843.883.6-4.027%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.340.882.1+0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)38.346.885.1-8.513%-
Last 10 (10)42.943.686.5-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)41.441.282.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.047.987.9-7.914%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.440.583.9+2.855%-
vs Weaker (4)30.037.267.2-7.20%-
This opponent (Maia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.916.0
45.8%
49.9%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.9
33.2%
30.1%26.7
🏀 Free throws21.916.5
75.3%
68.4%16.5
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ginasiotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ginasio: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.0
52.5%
49.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.8
32.1%
30.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws18.813.6
72.3%
68.4%13.6
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maia
WWWWLWWWLW
Ginasio
LWLLLWLLWW
#8
League position
#14
+4.5
Net rating
-5.7
105.0
Offensive rating
103.1
100.5
Defensive rating
108.8
47.6%
Effective FG%
50.9%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
19.0%
Turnover %
17.7%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
24.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.2%
3-point %
32.1%
53.0%
Assist %
51.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 103.1Defence100.5 · 108.8Shooting47.6% · 50.9%3-point %33.2% · 32.1%Ball care19.0% · 17.7%Off. rebounds34.6% · 24.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Maia   ■ Ginasio
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Maia wins
1
Ginasio wins
DateGameScore
01/03/25Ginasio v Maia66-85
14/12/24Ginasio v Maia101-66
19/10/24Maia v Ginasio86-79
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/25ASanto Andre78-73
16/04/25HSanto Andre64-60
05/04/25HBenfica Lisboa B84-81 OT
29/03/25AGalitos Aveiro77-71
22/03/25ASampaense72-96
16/03/25HLusitania93-86
08/03/25HBarreirense68-65
01/03/25AGinasio85-66
15/02/25ABenfica Lisboa B69-74
08/02/25HGalitos Aveiro68-56
Ginasiolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/25ABenfica Lisboa B78-80
05/04/25HSampaense83-79
29/03/25ABarreirense78-83
22/03/25HSanto Andre93-95
15/03/25AGalitos Aveiro59-74
08/03/25ALusitania106-102
01/03/25HMaia66-85
22/02/25HBenfica Lisboa B70-74
15/02/25ASampaense96-86
08/02/25HBarreirense90-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maia
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW54%
HomeWWWWW77%
AwayLWLWW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %54%77%31%
Points / game75.976.775.1
Allowed / game79.675.583.7
Point differential-3.7+1.2-8.6
Avg total155.5152.2158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)100% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Ginasio
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL38%
HomeWLLLW54%
AwayWWLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %38%54%23%
Points / game80.582.478.6
Allowed / game85.680.790.5
Point differential-5.1+1.7-11.8
Avg total166.1163.1169.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%15%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)60% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Braga2620677%83.570.3+13.2
2 Vasco Da Gama2619773%83.278.2+5.0
3 CAB Madeira2617965%75.969.5+6.3
4 Illiabum26161062%75.369.0+6.4
5 Portimonense26161062%76.473.2+3.3
6 CB Queluz26161062%77.374.3+3.0
7 Lusitania26141254%79.476.9+2.5
8 Maia26141254%75.979.6-3.7
9 Santo Andre26131350%72.570.5+2.0
10 Sampaense26101638%80.485.0-4.6
11 Ginasio26101638%80.585.6-5.1
12 Benfica Lisboa B26101638%68.975.3-6.4
13 Imortal B26101638%66.974.5-7.6
14 Barreirense2591636%73.076.4-3.4
15 Sangalhos2691735%76.377.9-1.7
16 Galitos Aveiro2542116%68.678.4-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Maia2110282988
Ginasio1718182174
← all games of the day
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