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Ginasio vs Maia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 66-85
22-27 14-13 14-21 16-24
Position#14
Record8-11
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game85.6
vs
Maia 🏆
Portugal
Position#8
Record7-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game81.7
PortugalProligaRound 6· Pavilhão Galamba Marques
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ginasio v Maia
29 Mar 2026
GINA81
MAIA109
08 Nov 2025
GINA84
MAIA75
01 Mar 2025
GINA66
MAIA85
14 Dec 2024
GINA101
MAIA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ginasio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GinasioPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGinasio
Date
Competition
Braga
#1
L
76-109
76
109
-33
65avg 68
A21/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
84-92
84
92
-8
59avg 68
H28/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
83-92
83
92
-9
69avg 68
H04/01
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
55-101
55
101
-46
34avg 68
A11/01
Proliga
Galomar
#8
L
69-84
69
84
-15
52avg 68
H18/01
Taca de Portugal
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
83-77
83
77
+6
77avg 68
H25/01
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
76-98
76
98
-22
60avg 68
A02/02
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
90-77
90
77
+13
86avg 68
H08/02
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
96-86
96
86
+10
88avg 68
A15/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
70-74
70
74
-4
64avg 68
H22/02
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
15-22
25-35
13-25
30-22
16-26
21-21
17-23
25-19
25-21
18-31
15-21
18-24
18-30
12-29
7-18
18-28
19-21
23-19
9-16
22-22
17-19
21-20
23-16
18-24
19-28
26-21
13-25
26-13
18-20
25-18
21-26
36-24
14-28
24-22
22-12
22-21
16-22
18-12
14-19
167.2Avg total
78.2Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)80.585.6166.2-5.142%
Season at home (10)82.979.0161.9+3.960%
Season away (9)77.993.0170.9-15.122%
Last 10 (10)78.289.0167.2-10.830%
Last 5 (5)83.082.4165.4+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)70.290.0160.2-19.824%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.679.2161.8+3.356%
vs Weaker (3)74.074.3148.3-0.367%
This opponent (Maia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
Braga
#1
L
76-95
76
95
-19
68avg 63
H07/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
66-101
66
101
-35
45avg 63
A14/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
78-76
78
76
+2
69avg 63
H21/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
86-88
86
88
-2
78avg 63
A28/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
73-68
73
68
+5
65avg 63
H04/01
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
84-97
84
97
-13
65avg 63
A11/01
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
69-82
69
82
-13
47avg 63
A25/01
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
73-79
73
79
-6
65avg 63
H01/02
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
68-56
68
56
+12
56avg 63
H08/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
69-74
69
74
-5
58avg 63
A15/02
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
18-25
24-27
17-22
19-22
13-34
18-28
16-17
13-18
26-19
19-25
20-14
31-17
15-20
10-22
30-29
20-21
19-17
19-14
15-16
10-20
24-33
24-23
26-21
10-21
18-18
19-20
22-23
18-18
21-18
13-16
21-27
10-18
16-15
18-10
24-13
18-20
11-16
18-21
22-17
155.8Avg total
74.2Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.181.7156.8-6.639%
Season at home (9)76.476.6153.0-0.167%
Season away (9)73.886.9160.7-13.111%
Last 10 (10)74.281.6155.8-7.430%
Last 5 (5)72.677.6150.2-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)70.783.9154.6-13.320%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.482.5161.8-3.145%
vs Weaker (4)78.567.2145.8+11.2100%
This opponent (Ginasio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +1.4+1.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +1.4+1.4
GinasioMaia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GinasioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Braga
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A21/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H28/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H04/01
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A11/01
Proliga
Galomar
#8
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H18/01
Taca de Portugal
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H25/01
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A02/02
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H08/02
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A15/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H22/02
Proliga
87.6Avg total
41.5Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.143.882.8-4.727%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.640.180.7+0.644%-
Last 30 away (14)37.348.085.3-10.77%-
Last 10 (10)41.546.187.6-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)41.644.285.8-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)38.346.785.0-8.424%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.439.983.3+3.644%-
vs Weaker (3)31.037.068.0-6.00%-
This opponent (Maia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Braga
#1
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H07/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
32-56
32
56
-24
A14/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H21/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A28/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H04/01
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A11/01
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A25/01
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H01/02
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H08/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A15/02
Proliga
75.8Avg total
34.7Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.941.277.1-5.330%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.939.177.1-1.253%-
Last 30 away (15)33.943.377.2-9.57%-
Last 10 (10)34.741.175.8-6.440%-
Last 5 (5)31.239.470.6-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)34.242.176.3-7.920%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.641.679.3-4.036%-
vs Weaker (4)37.536.874.2+0.850%-
This opponent (Ginasio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ginasiotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ginasio: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.316.2
51.8%
49.9%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.0
33.5%
30.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws23.217.8
76.7%
68.4%17.8
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 68.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.317.3
47.7%
49.9%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.5
29.8%
30.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws16.611.6
69.9%
68.4%11.6
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ginasio
LWWLWLLLLL
Maia
LWLLLWLWLL
#14
League position
#8
-14.5
Net rating
-6.6
102.1
Offensive rating
99.2
116.6
Defensive rating
105.9
51.0%
Effective FG%
46.4%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
19.3%
Turnover %
19.1%
22.1%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.5%
3-point %
29.8%
48.8%
Assist %
51.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.1 · 99.2Defence116.6 · 105.9Shooting51.0% · 46.4%3-point %33.5% · 29.8%Ball care19.3% · 19.1%Off. rebounds22.1% · 33.9%Free throws0.40 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Ginasio   ■ Maia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ginasio wins
1
Maia wins
DateGameScore
14/12/24Ginasio v Maia101-66
19/10/24Maia v Ginasio86-79
Ginasiolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25HBenfica Lisboa B70-74
15/02/25ASampaense96-86
08/02/25HBarreirense90-77
02/02/25ASanto Andre76-98
25/01/25HGalitos Aveiro83-77
18/01/25HGalomar69-84
11/01/25ASangalhos55-101
04/01/25HVasco Da Gama83-92
28/12/24HIlliabum84-92
21/12/24ABraga76-109
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25ABenfica Lisboa B69-74
08/02/25HGalitos Aveiro68-56
01/02/25HSampaense73-79
25/01/25ALusitania69-82
11/01/25ASampaense84-97
04/01/25HGalitos Aveiro73-68
28/12/24ASangalhos86-88
21/12/24HVasco Da Gama78-76
14/12/24AGinasio66-101
07/12/24HBraga76-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ginasio
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL42%
HomeLLWWL60%
AwayLLLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %42%60%22%
Points / game80.582.977.9
Allowed / game85.679.093.0
Point differential-5.1+3.9-15.1
Avg total166.2161.9170.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%20%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Maia
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL39%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %39%67%11%
Points / game75.176.473.8
Allowed / game81.776.686.9
Point differential-6.6-0.1-13.1
Avg total156.8153.0160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Braga1916384%84.768.9+15.8
2 Vasco Da Gama1915479%82.776.3+6.5
3 CB Queluz1914574%77.673.1+4.5
4 CAB Madeira1912763%75.268.7+6.5
5 Portimonense1912763%76.672.5+4.1
6 Illiabum1911858%74.568.3+6.2
7 Santo Andre1810856%71.968.9+2.9
8 Lusitania1991047%75.174.3+0.7
9 Imortal B1981142%66.271.1-4.9
10 Ginasio1981142%80.585.6-5.1
11 Sampaense1981142%79.685.2-5.6
12 Maia1871139%75.181.7-6.6
13 Sangalhos1971237%77.878.2-0.4
14 Benfica Lisboa B1971237%67.274.5-7.3
15 Barreirense1961332%71.375.4-4.1
16 Galitos Aveiro191185%66.179.5-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ginasio2214141666
Maia2713212485
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