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Ginasio vs Sampaense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 83-79
19-27 27-16 15-21 22-15
Position#14
Record9-15
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game86.1
Ginasio 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#11
Record10-14
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game84.4
PortugalProligaRound 11· Pavilhão Galamba Marques
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ginasio v Sampaense
01 Nov 2025
GINA76
SAMP69
05 Apr 2025
GINA83
SAMP79
12 Oct 2024
GINA78
SAMP72
04 Dec 2020
GINA80
SAMP90
11 Feb 2012
GINA54
SAMP90
18 Dec 2010
GINA72
SAMP83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ginasio winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sampaense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GinasioPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGinasio
Date
Competition
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
83-77
83
77
+6
77avg 68
H25/01
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
76-98
76
98
-22
60avg 68
A02/02
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
90-77
90
77
+13
86avg 68
H08/02
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
96-86
96
86
+10
88avg 68
A15/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
70-74
70
74
-4
64avg 68
H22/02
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
66-85
66
85
-19
51avg 68
H01/03
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
W
106-102
106
102
+4
102avg 68
A08/03
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
59-74
59
74
-15
46avg 68
A15/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
93-95
93
95
-2
no box
H22/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
78-83
78
83
-5
72avg 68
A29/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
17-19
21-20
23-16
18-24
19-28
26-21
13-25
26-13
18-20
25-18
21-26
36-24
14-28
24-22
22-12
22-21
16-22
18-12
14-19
22-27
14-13
14-21
16-24
29-30
25-32
20-17
32-23
10-18
17-20
16-23
16-13
23-25
26-25
23-23
21-22
22-19
21-20
16-20
19-24
166.8Avg total
81.7Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.586.1166.6-5.638%
Season at home (12)82.380.8163.2+1.550%
Season away (12)78.791.3170.0-12.725%
Last 10 (10)81.785.1166.8-3.440%
Last 5 (5)80.487.8168.2-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.890.6165.4-15.827%
vs Similar ◀ (10)81.181.7162.8-0.640%
vs Weaker (4)70.274.2144.5-4.050%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#13
W
86-73
86
73
+13
83avg 71
H25/01
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
79-73
79
73
+6
73avg 71
A01/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
84-74
84
74
+10
87avg 71
A08/02
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
86-96
86
96
-10
80avg 71
H15/02
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
80-100
80
100
-20
72avg 71
A22/02
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
71-93
71
93
-22
63avg 71
H01/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
77-82
77
82
-5
65avg 71
A08/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
87-89
87
89
-2
69avg 71
A15/03
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
96-72
96
72
+24
96avg 71
H22/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
85-71
85
71
+14
79avg 71
H29/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
23-25
18-16
18-14
18-18
18-21
16-13
27-21
22-21
19-19
24-16
19-18
24-36
28-14
22-24
12-22
24-27
20-24
15-20
21-29
19-31
15-17
16-19
21-26
13-16
26-21
17-20
21-25
17-25
21-30
24-18
25-16
20-13
29-23
17-16
30-20
20-17
25-25
20-13
20-16
165.4Avg total
83.1Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.384.4164.7-4.042%
Season at home (12)82.883.8166.6-1.158%
Season away (12)77.984.9162.8-7.025%
Last 10 (10)83.182.3165.4+0.850%
Last 5 (5)83.281.4164.6+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)69.883.2153.0-13.317%
vs Similar ◀ (15)85.581.1166.6+4.560%
vs Weaker (3)77.381.7159.0-4.367%
This opponent (Ginasio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
GinasioSampaense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GinasioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H25/01
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A02/02
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H08/02
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A15/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H22/02
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H01/03
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A08/03
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A15/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H22/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A29/03
Proliga
86.7Avg total
41.7Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.944.383.2-5.420%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.341.581.7-1.233%-
Last 30 away (15)37.547.284.7-9.77%-
Last 10 (10)41.745.086.7-3.320%-
Last 5 (5)41.845.887.6-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)39.348.287.5-8.913%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.040.982.9+1.140%-
vs Weaker (4)30.037.267.2-7.20%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#13
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H25/01
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A01/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A08/02
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H15/02
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A22/02
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H01/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A08/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A15/03
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H22/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H29/03
Proliga
86.9Avg total
42.8Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.641.079.6-2.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.939.382.2+3.780%-
Last 30 away (15)34.342.777.1-8.413%-
Last 10 (10)42.844.186.9-1.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.043.684.6-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)34.839.173.9-4.242%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.842.384.1-0.553%-
vs Weaker (3)38.042.380.3-4.333%-
This opponent (Ginasio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ginasiotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ginasio: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.0
52.6%
49.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.3
34.4%
30.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.915.2
76.4%
68.4%15.2
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.323.9
59.3%
49.9%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.46.8
35.1%
30.1%20.4
🏀 Free throws20.713.9
67.1%
68.4%13.9
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ginasio
LLLWLLWWLW
Sampaense
WWLLLLLWWW
#14
League position
#11
-7.3
Net rating
+0.8
104.3
Offensive rating
114.9
111.6
Defensive rating
114.1
52.2%
Effective FG%
57.1%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.4%
19.1%
Turnover %
17.6%
23.5%
Off. rebound %
33.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.4%
3-point %
35.1%
48.0%
Assist %
51.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.3 · 114.9Defence111.6 · 114.1Shooting52.2% · 57.1%3-point %34.4% · 35.1%Ball care19.1% · 17.6%Off. rebounds23.5% · 33.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Ginasio   ■ Sampaense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ginasio wins
5
Sampaense wins
DateGameScore
15/02/25Sampaense v Ginasio86-96
07/12/24Sampaense v Ginasio101-90
12/10/24Ginasio v Sampaense78-72
19/12/20Sampaense v Ginasio71-75
04/12/20Ginasio v Sampaense80-90
11/02/12Ginasio v Sampaense54-90
12/11/11Sampaense v Ginasio76-49
27/03/11Sampaense v Ginasio80-85
18/12/10Ginasio v Sampaense72-83
Ginasiolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25ABarreirense78-83
22/03/25HSanto Andre93-95
15/03/25AGalitos Aveiro59-74
08/03/25ALusitania106-102
01/03/25HMaia66-85
22/02/25HBenfica Lisboa B70-74
15/02/25ASampaense96-86
08/02/25HBarreirense90-77
02/02/25ASanto Andre76-98
25/01/25HGalitos Aveiro83-77
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25HBenfica Lisboa B85-71
22/03/25HMaia96-72
15/03/25ABarreirense87-89
08/03/25ASanto Andre77-82
01/03/25HGalitos Aveiro71-93
22/02/25ALusitania80-100
15/02/25HGinasio86-96
08/02/25ABenfica Lisboa B84-74
01/02/25AMaia79-73
25/01/25HBarreirense86-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ginasio
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL38%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayLWWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game80.582.378.7
Allowed / game86.180.891.3
Point differential-5.6+1.5-12.7
Avg total166.6163.2170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sampaense
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW42%
HomeWLLWW58%
AwayWWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %42%58%25%
Points / game80.382.877.9
Allowed / game84.483.884.9
Point differential-4.0-1.1-7.0
Avg total164.7166.6162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%42%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Braga2419579%82.969.8+13.1
2 Vasco Da Gama2418675%82.576.9+5.6
3 CB Queluz2516964%77.474.0+3.4
4 CAB Madeira2415962%74.869.2+5.6
5 Portimonense2415962%76.172.9+3.2
6 Illiabum24141058%74.868.5+6.4
7 Santo Andre23131057%72.769.9+2.9
8 Lusitania24121250%77.876.4+1.4
9 Maia23111248%76.080.7-4.7
10 Sampaense24101442%80.384.4-4.0
11 Imortal B24101442%67.173.2-6.1
12 Barreirense2491538%72.675.7-3.1
13 Ginasio2491538%80.586.1-5.6
14 Benfica Lisboa B2491538%67.974.8-6.9
15 Sangalhos2591636%76.877.8-1.0
16 Galitos Aveiro2432112%68.078.3-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ginasio1927152283
Sampaense2716211579
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