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Lusitania vs Ginasio Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 102-106
30-29 32-25 17-20 23-32
Position#6
Record10-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game74.7
vs
Ginasio 🏆
Portugal
Position#14
Record8-12
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game85.6
PortugalProligaRound 7· Pavilhão Municipal de Angra do Heroísmo
Other2024-25
Meetings · Lusitania v Ginasio
11 Oct 2025
LUSI74
GINA81
08 Mar 2025
LUSI102
GINA106
08 Jan 2012
LUSI85
GINA56
27 Nov 2010
LUSI63
GINA62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ginasio winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
CB Queluz
#4
L
65-79
65
79
-14
50avg 67
H28/12
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
74-65
74
65
+9
66avg 67
A05/01
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
L
81-89 OT
81
89
-8
67avg 67
A09/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
L
66-70
66
70
-4
56avg 67
H11/01
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
82-69
82
69
+13
85avg 67
H25/01
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
86-69
86
69
+17
86avg 67
A02/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
66-82
66
82
-16
62avg 67
H08/02
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
90-80
90
80
+10
83avg 67
A16/02
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
100-80
100
80
+20
100avg 67
H22/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
94-82
94
82
+12
89avg 67
A02/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-15
19-18
20-22
17-24
25-17
16-15
23-12
10-21
18-21
20-16
20-22
16-15
13-22
14-9
17-19
22-20
21-10
18-18
20-19
23-22
22-16
22-16
19-15
23-22
10-22
17-19
15-26
24-15
20-10
20-25
18-24
32-21
27-24
24-20
20-15
29-21
19-33
27-18
28-9
20-22
156.9Avg total
80.4Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.074.7150.7+1.350%
Season at home (10)74.374.9149.2-0.650%
Season away (10)77.774.5152.2+3.250%
Last 10 (10)80.476.5156.9+3.960%
Last 5 (5)87.278.6165.8+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.599.7173.2-26.20%
vs Similar (9)68.178.0146.1-9.911%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)82.572.0154.5+10.582%
This opponent (Ginasio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GinasioPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGinasio
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#5
L
84-92
84
92
-8
59avg 67
H28/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
83-92
83
92
-9
69avg 67
H04/01
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
55-101
55
101
-46
34avg 67
A11/01
Proliga
Galomar
#8
L
69-84
69
84
-15
52avg 67
H18/01
Taca de Portugal
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
83-77
83
77
+6
77avg 67
H25/01
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
76-98
76
98
-22
60avg 67
A02/02
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
90-77
90
77
+13
86avg 67
H08/02
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
96-86
96
86
+10
88avg 67
A15/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
70-74
70
74
-4
64avg 67
H22/02
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
66-85
66
85
-19
51avg 67
H01/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-22
16-26
21-21
17-23
25-19
25-21
18-31
15-21
18-24
18-30
12-29
7-18
18-28
19-21
23-19
9-16
22-22
17-19
21-20
23-16
18-24
19-28
26-21
13-25
26-13
18-20
25-18
21-26
36-24
14-28
24-22
22-12
22-21
16-22
18-12
14-19
22-27
14-13
14-21
16-24
163.8Avg total
77.2Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.885.6165.4-5.840%
Season at home (11)81.479.5160.9+1.855%
Season away (9)77.993.0170.9-15.122%
Last 10 (10)77.286.6163.8-9.430%
Last 5 (5)79.684.0163.6-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)70.290.0160.2-19.824%
vs Similar (9)81.481.6163.0-0.144%
vs Weaker (3)74.074.3148.3-0.367%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -4.3-4.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -4.3-4.3
LusitaniaGinasio
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CB Queluz
#4
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H28/12
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A05/01
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A09/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H11/01
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H25/01
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A02/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H08/02
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A16/02
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H22/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A02/03
Proliga
74.5Avg total
38.1Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.840.478.2-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.442.580.9-4.124%-
Last 30 away (13)37.037.774.7-0.746%-
Last 10 (10)38.136.474.5+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.682.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.050.589.5-11.50%-
vs Similar (9)31.235.766.9-4.422%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.135.177.2+7.073%-
This opponent (Ginasio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GinasioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#5
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H28/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H04/01
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A11/01
Proliga
Galomar
#8
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H18/01
Taca de Portugal
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H25/01
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A02/02
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H08/02
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A15/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H22/02
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H01/03
Proliga
86.5Avg total
41.3Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.644.182.7-5.523%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.840.880.5-1.038%-
Last 30 away (14)37.348.085.3-10.77%-
Last 10 (10)41.345.286.5-3.920%-
Last 5 (5)41.044.085.0-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)38.346.785.0-8.424%-
vs Similar (9)41.941.183.0+0.833%-
vs Weaker (3)31.037.068.0-6.00%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.6
53.3%
49.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.6
30.7%
30.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.014.6
76.8%
68.4%14.6
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ginasiotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ginasio: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.416.6
52.9%
49.9%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.1
33.6%
30.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.715.9
76.8%
68.4%15.9
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lusitania
WWWLWWLLWL
Ginasio
LLWWLWLLLL
#6
League position
#14
+5.3
Net rating
-12.8
102.1
Offensive rating
103.9
96.9
Defensive rating
116.7
50.2%
Effective FG%
51.7%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
57.3%
22.0%
Turnover %
18.8%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
23.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.35
30.7%
3-point %
33.6%
59.2%
Assist %
45.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.1 · 103.9Defence96.9 · 116.7Shooting50.2% · 51.7%3-point %30.7% · 33.6%Ball care22.0% · 18.8%Off. rebounds33.6% · 23.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Lusitania   ■ Ginasio
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Lusitania wins
0
Ginasio wins
DateGameScore
08/01/12Lusitania v Ginasio85-56
22/10/11Ginasio v Lusitania50-58
26/02/11Ginasio v Lusitania78-80
27/11/10Lusitania v Ginasio63-62
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25ABenfica Lisboa B94-82
22/02/25HSampaense100-80
16/02/25ABarreirense90-80
08/02/25HSanto Andre66-82
02/02/25AGalitos Aveiro86-69
25/01/25HMaia82-69
11/01/25HCAB Madeira66-70
09/01/25AImortal B81-89 OT
05/01/25ABarreirense74-65
28/12/24HCB Queluz65-79
Ginasiolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HMaia66-85
22/02/25HBenfica Lisboa B70-74
15/02/25ASampaense96-86
08/02/25HBarreirense90-77
02/02/25ASanto Andre76-98
25/01/25HGalitos Aveiro83-77
18/01/25HGalomar69-84
11/01/25ASangalhos55-101
04/01/25HVasco Da Gama83-92
28/12/24HIlliabum84-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW50%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayWLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game76.074.377.7
Allowed / game74.774.974.5
Point differential+1.3-0.6+3.2
Avg total150.7149.2152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%40%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Ginasio
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeLWWLL55%
AwayLLLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %40%55%22%
Points / game79.881.477.9
Allowed / game85.679.593.0
Point differential-5.8+1.8-15.1
Avg total165.4160.9170.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%18%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Braga2117481%83.669.5+14.0
2 Vasco Da Gama2117481%82.976.5+6.4
3 CB Queluz2114767%77.773.9+3.8
4 CAB Madeira2113862%74.768.8+5.9
5 Portimonense2113862%76.272.5+3.8
6 Santo Andre2012860%72.969.2+3.7
7 Illiabum2112957%73.768.0+5.7
8 Lusitania20101050%76.074.7+1.3
9 Imortal B2091145%66.871.3-4.5
10 Maia2091145%75.280.1-4.8
11 Ginasio2081240%79.885.6-5.8
12 Sampaense2181338%79.085.4-6.3
13 Sangalhos2071335%77.277.9-0.8
14 Benfica Lisboa B2071335%67.975.5-7.5
15 Barreirense2161529%70.875.4-4.6
16 Galitos Aveiro2021810%67.579.1-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lusitania30321723102
Ginasio29252032106
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