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Gipuzkoa vs Breogan Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 15 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 17:00
Postponed
Position#1
Record18-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game69.1
vs
Position#5
Record15-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game75.5
SpainPrimera FEBRound 25
Other2019-20
Meetings · Gipuzkoa v Breogan
15 Mar 2020
GIP v BRE
upcoming
16 Mar 2019
GIP100
BRE65
18 Nov 2016
GIP80
BRE65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gipuzkoa win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GipuzkoaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alicante
#3
W
83-58
83
58
+25
H29/12
Primera FEB
Valladolid
#2
L
77-81
77
81
-4
A05/01
Primera FEB
Caceres
#9
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H10/01
Primera FEB
Granada
#13
W
70-66
70
66
+4
H19/01
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#4
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A26/01
Primera FEB
Huesca
#14
W
89-69
89
69
+20
A31/01
Primera FEB
Peixegalego
#18
W
94-66
94
66
+28
H09/02
Primera FEB
Real Canoe
#17
W
82-81
82
81
+1
A14/02
Primera FEB
Melilla
#6
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H01/03
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#8
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A08/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-13
19-14
35-10
16-21
20-19
17-18
21-28
19-16
16-17
16-16
19-15
21-16
17-22
10-21
19-9
24-14
16-26
21-14
22-21
16-27
23-22
23-16
20-8
23-23
26-12
20-26
18-15
30-13
20-28
16-22
18-18
28-13
22-11
17-11
20-21
11-19
17-20
14-14
15-19
16-18
148.0Avg total
77.4Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)75.969.1145.0+6.875%
Season at home (12)75.765.3141.0+10.392%
Season away (12)76.172.9149.0+3.258%
Last 10 (10)77.470.6148.0+6.870%
Last 5 (5)79.469.8149.2+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.087.0166.0-8.033%
vs Similar ◀ (12)74.667.8142.4+6.867%
vs Weaker (15)76.969.9146.8+7.180%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ourense
#11
W
85-52
85
52
+33
H28/12
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#15
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A03/01
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
L
85-86
85
86
-1
H10/01
Primera FEB
Castello
#10
W
87-69
87
69
+18
H18/01
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#16
L
66-72 OT
66
72
-6
A25/01
Primera FEB
Palencia
#7
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H01/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#3
L
66-83
66
83
-17
A07/02
Primera FEB
Valladolid
#2
W
95-71
95
71
+24
H15/02
Primera FEB
Caceres
#9
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A28/02
Primera FEB
Granada
#13
W
86-63
86
63
+23
H07/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
23-19
20-9
24-12
18-15
10-14
23-22
13-10
25-14
14-22
26-29
20-21
20-15
22-16
28-21
17-17
17-23
17-14
8-16
19-8
20-20
21-26
16-16
18-12
13-22
17-22
14-20
22-19
29-16
17-19
29-15
20-21
30-19
15-25
15-19
16-14
26-12
20-21
20-21
20-9
149.3Avg total
78.5Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.275.5156.8+5.762%
Season at home (13)83.772.1155.8+11.677%
Season away (11)78.479.6158.0-1.345%
Last 10 (10)78.570.8149.3+7.760%
Last 5 (5)79.673.6153.2+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)83.286.7169.8-3.517%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.786.2166.9-5.536%
vs Weaker (13)81.766.5148.2+15.285%
This opponent (Gipuzkoa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +4.6+4.6
GipuzkoaBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GipuzkoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alicante
#3
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H29/12
Primera FEB
Valladolid
#2
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A05/01
Primera FEB
Caceres
#9
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H10/01
Primera FEB
Granada
#13
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H19/01
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#4
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A26/01
Primera FEB
Huesca
#14
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A31/01
Primera FEB
Peixegalego
#18
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H09/02
Primera FEB
Real Canoe
#17
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A14/02
Primera FEB
Melilla
#6
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H01/03
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#8
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A08/03
Primera FEB
72.5Avg total
36.3Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.337.274.5+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.336.473.7+0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)37.337.975.3-0.647%-
Last 10 (10)36.336.272.5+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.636.476.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.342.380.7-4.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.733.169.8+3.667%-
vs Weaker (15)37.739.477.1-1.740%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ourense
#11
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H28/12
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#15
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A03/01
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H10/01
Primera FEB
Castello
#10
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H18/01
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#16
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A25/01
Primera FEB
Palencia
#7
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H01/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#3
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A07/02
Primera FEB
Valladolid
#2
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H15/02
Primera FEB
Caceres
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A28/02
Primera FEB
Granada
#13
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H07/03
Primera FEB
75.8Avg total
39.2Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.638.980.5+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.537.979.4+3.656%-
Last 30 away (14)41.840.081.8+1.857%-
Last 10 (10)39.236.675.8+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.482.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.342.884.2-1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.544.585.9-3.036%-
vs Weaker (13)41.932.374.2+9.677%-
This opponent (Gipuzkoa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gipuzkoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gipuzkoa: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.418.1
48.4%
51.8%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.2
34.3%
33.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.212.3
75.9%
73.6%12.3
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.323.0
50.8%
51.8%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.1
31.6%
33.7%21.3
🏀 Free throws19.013.3
70.0%
73.6%13.3
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gipuzkoa
LWWWWLWWLW
Breogan
WLWLWLWLWW
#1
League position
#5
-1.8
Net rating
-9.4
105.2
Offensive rating
107.9
107.0
Defensive rating
117.3
49.7%
Effective FG%
49.6%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
57.3%
16.1%
Turnover %
13.6%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.3%
3-point %
31.6%
59.0%
Assist %
46.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 107.9Defence107.0 · 117.3Shooting49.7% · 49.6%3-point %34.3% · 31.6%Ball care16.1% · 13.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Gipuzkoa   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Gipuzkoa wins
1
Breogan wins
DateGameScore
10/11/19Breogan v Gipuzkoa74-97
16/03/19Gipuzkoa v Breogan100-65
06/01/19Breogan v Gipuzkoa83-71
11/03/17Breogan v Gipuzkoa86-92
18/11/16Gipuzkoa v Breogan80-65
Gipuzkoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/20AFibwi Palma62-71
01/03/20HMelilla70-62
14/02/20AReal Canoe82-81
09/02/20HPeixegalego94-66
31/01/20AHuesca89-69
26/01/20ALeyma Coruna75-88
19/01/20HGranada70-66
10/01/20HCaceres72-64
05/01/20AValladolid77-81
29/12/19HAlicante83-58
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20HGranada86-63
28/02/20ACaceres76-77
15/02/20HValladolid95-71
07/02/20AAlicante66-83
01/02/20HPalencia75-74
25/01/20AOviedo66-72 OT
18/01/20HCastello87-69
10/01/20HAlmansa85-86
03/01/20AForca Lleida64-61
28/12/19HOurense85-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gipuzkoa
Primera FEB 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLLWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %75%92%58%
Points / game75.975.776.1
Allowed / game69.165.372.9
Point differential+6.8+10.3+3.2
Avg total145.0141.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Breogan
Primera FEB 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW62%
HomeLWWWW77%
AwayLWLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %62%77%45%
Points / game81.283.778.4
Allowed / game75.572.179.6
Point differential+5.7+11.6-1.3
Avg total156.8155.8158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%54%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gipuzkoa2418675%75.969.1+6.8
2 Valladolid2418675%79.975.1+4.8
3 Alicante2416867%80.574.4+6.0
4 Leyma Coruna2416867%74.274.3-0.0
5 Breogan2415962%81.275.5+5.7
6 Melilla2415962%76.171.2+4.9
7 Palencia2415962%82.577.9+4.6
8 Fibwi Palma2415962%76.672.2+4.5
9 Caceres24141058%76.572.9+3.7
10 Castello24101442%79.281.7-2.5
11 Ourense24101442%71.274.8-3.5
12 Almansa24101442%76.681.3-4.7
13 Granada2491538%72.273.0-0.8
14 Huesca2491538%73.377.2-3.9
15 Forca Lleida2491538%72.977.3-4.5
16 Oviedo2481633%70.175.8-5.7
17 Real Canoe2451921%76.880.9-4.1
18 Peixegalego2442017%67.178.3-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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