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Goes vs Urupan Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 73-79
24-23 17-18 17-19 15-19
Position#12
Record10-18
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Urupan 🏆
Uruguay
Position#9
Record8-20
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game85.1
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Goes
Other2023-24
Meetings · Goes v Urupan
28 Mar 2024
GOES73
URUP79
05 Feb 2024
GOES74
URUP80
05 Dec 2022
GOES91
URUP74
12 Mar 2022
GOES95
URUP89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Goes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Urupan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoesUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGoes
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
69-85
69
85
-16
44avg 66
A31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
L
74-80
74
80
-6
61avg 66
H06/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
no box
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
77-62
77
62
+15
51avg 66
H16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
102-81
102
81
+21
106avg 66
A05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
92-78
92
78
+14
89avg 66
A12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
77-87
77
87
-10
69avg 66
H15/03
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
80-67
80
67
+13
74avg 66
A19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
87-92
87
92
-5
70avg 66
H23/03
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H26/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-30
24-28
27-16
9-11
15-17
15-21
17-22
27-20
14-16
24-17
17-22
24-24
18-20
22-11
17-14
20-17
19-20
38-19
17-23
28-19
23-15
26-20
22-22
21-21
17-29
23-13
29-26
8-19
22-21
23-10
21-16
14-20
20-26
24-23
25-27
18-16
–
–
–
–
149.5Avg total
76.9Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.181.5159.7-3.436%
Season at home (14)75.575.8151.3-0.336%
Season away (14)80.887.3168.1-6.536%
Last 10 (10)76.972.6149.5+4.350%
Last 5 (5)71.264.8136.0+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)79.488.6168.0-9.314%
vs Similar ◀ (10)79.281.7160.9-2.540%
vs Weaker (6)75.063.8138.8+11.283%
This opponent (Urupan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UrupanUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUrupan
Date
Competition
Goes
#12
W
80-74
80
74
+6
68avg 69
A06/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
74-111
74
111
-37
62avg 69
H09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
90-93
90
93
-3
84avg 69
A17/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
89-74
89
74
+15
86avg 69
H02/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
84-92
84
92
-8
74avg 69
A05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
L
78-92
78
92
-14
68avg 69
H12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
84-72
84
72
+12
73avg 69
A16/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
73-83
73
83
-10
58avg 69
A18/03
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
L
87-95
87
95
-8
83avg 69
H23/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
78-93
78
93
-15
71avg 69
H26/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
21-15
22-17
20-27
16-33
20-30
18-25
20-23
22-28
22-26
21-20
25-19
16-16
27-28
26-14
20-16
27-22
23-24
16-24
18-22
15-23
20-26
22-22
21-21
21-24
17-14
18-23
28-11
19-21
22-26
10-18
22-18
25-24
19-27
20-18
23-26
15-24
25-17
13-34
25-18
169.6Avg total
81.7Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.485.1163.5-6.829%
Season at home (14)80.688.2168.9-7.629%
Season away (14)76.182.0158.1-5.929%
Last 10 (10)81.787.9169.6-6.230%
Last 5 (5)80.087.0167.0-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.887.2160.9-13.417%
vs Similar ◀ (15)80.783.9164.7-3.233%
vs Weaker (3)89.784.7174.3+5.067%
This opponent (Goes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +6.3+6.3Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.1+2.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +6.3+6.3Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.1+2.1
GoesUrupan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H06/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
57-39
57
39
+18
A05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H15/03
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H23/03
Liga Uruguaya
81.3Avg total
41.8Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.543.483.9-2.934%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.541.480.9-1.927%-
Last 30 away (14)41.645.687.1-4.043%-
Last 10 (9)41.839.681.3+2.256%-
Last 5 (5)47.039.286.2+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.946.186.0-6.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.741.882.5-1.140%-
vs Weaker (5)41.839.080.8+2.840%-
This opponent (Urupan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UrupanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Goes
#12
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A06/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
36-63
36
63
-27
H09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A17/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H02/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A16/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A18/03
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H23/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H26/03
Liga Uruguaya
87.2Avg total
40.9Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.644.983.5-6.327%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.645.183.7-6.527%-
Last 30 away (15)38.644.783.3-6.127%-
Last 10 (10)40.946.387.2-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)39.645.284.8-5.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.347.083.3-10.717%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.843.382.1-4.533%-
vs Weaker (3)46.744.791.3+2.033%-
This opponent (Goes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Goes: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.9
51.1%
51.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.4
35.1%
33.3%31.2
🏀 Free throws15.110.8
71.5%
71.7%10.8
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Urupantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urupan: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.323.1
49.9%
51.0%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.96.7
30.6%
33.3%20.1
🏀 Free throws21.615.0
69.4%
71.7%15.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Goes
WLWLWWWLLL
Urupan
LLLWLLWLLW
#12
League position
#9
+0.8
Net rating
-7.6
107.5
Offensive rating
105.4
106.7
Defensive rating
113.0
51.8%
Effective FG%
48.6%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.6%
18.6%
Turnover %
16.2%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.1%
3-point %
30.6%
55.6%
Assist %
63.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 105.4Defence106.7 · 113.0Shooting51.8% · 48.6%3-point %35.1% · 30.6%Ball care18.6% · 16.2%Off. rebounds33.4% · 30.4%Free throws0.23 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Goes   ■ Urupan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Goes wins
2
Urupan wins
DateGameScore
12/03/24Urupan v Goes78-92
06/02/24Goes v Urupan74-80
28/11/23Urupan v Goes85-87
09/02/23Urupan v Goes20-1
05/12/22Goes v Urupan91-74
12/03/22Goes v Urupan95-89 OT
14/12/21Urupan v Goes79-89
Goeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/24HLarre Borges20-0
23/03/24HMalvin87-92
19/03/24ATrouville80-67
15/03/24HBigua77-87
12/03/24AUrupan92-78
05/03/24ALarre Borges102-81
16/02/24HPenarol77-62
09/02/24ABigua91-94 OT
06/02/24HUrupan74-80
31/01/24AHebraica y Macabi69-85
Urupanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/24HMalvin78-93
23/03/24HTrouville87-95
18/03/24ABigua73-83
16/03/24ALarre Borges84-72
12/03/24HGoes78-92
05/03/24AMalvin84-92
02/03/24HNacional89-74
17/02/24AHebraica y Macabi90-93
09/02/24HAguada74-111
06/02/24AGoes80-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Goes
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW36%
HomeLWLLW36%
AwayLLWWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %36%36%36%
Points / game78.175.580.8
Allowed / game81.575.887.3
Point differential-3.4-0.3-6.5
Avg total159.7151.3168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%21%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Urupan
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeLWLLL29%
AwayWLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %29%29%29%
Points / game78.480.676.1
Allowed / game85.188.282.0
Point differential-6.8-7.6-5.9
Avg total163.5168.9158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%21%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Aguada2721678%89.280.9+8.3
2 Penarol2620677%82.170.7+11.4
3 Nacional2617965%87.081.8+5.2
4 Defensor27171063%80.378.8+1.5
5 Hebraica y Macabi26161062%84.581.7+2.8
6 Malvin29161355%83.480.4+3.0
7 Cordon26121446%73.075.2-2.2
8 Bigua29131645%84.684.9-0.3
9 Trouville29121741%78.181.1-3.0
10 Goes28101836%78.181.5-3.4
11 Urupan2882029%78.485.1-6.8
12 Larre Borges2932610%71.585.9-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Goes2417171573
Urupan2318191979
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