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Goes vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 77-62
18-20 22-11 17-14 20-17
Position#12
Record5-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game86.5
Goes 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#2
Record18-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game69.8
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Goes
Other2023-24
Meetings · Goes v Penarol
11 Nov 2025
GOES88
PENA81
15 Feb 2024
GOES77
PENA62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Goes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoesUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGoes
Date
Competition
Cordon
#10
L
71-80
71
80
-9
62avg 63
A20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
80-64
80
64
+16
78avg 63
H04/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
80-84
80
84
-4
69avg 63
A09/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
61-111
61
111
-50
43avg 63
A13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
76-92
76
92
-16
24avg 63
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
65-90
65
90
-25
36avg 63
A25/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
74-75
74
75
-1
41avg 63
H28/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
69-85
69
85
-16
44avg 63
A31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
L
74-80
74
80
-6
61avg 63
H06/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
no box
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
15-21
18-22
16-10
23-21
12-17
23-13
22-13
24-26
20-26
14-23
22-9
13-32
25-31
14-25
9-23
19-22
13-24
24-27
20-19
14-25
16-30
16-17
19-18
18-17
23-22
15-21
18-15
9-30
24-28
27-16
9-11
15-17
15-21
17-22
27-20
14-16
24-17
17-22
24-24
159.6Avg total
74.1Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.786.5165.2-7.824%
Season at home (10)79.682.0161.6-2.430%
Season away (11)77.990.5168.5-12.618%
Last 10 (10)74.185.5159.6-11.410%
Last 5 (5)74.684.8159.4-10.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)79.190.9170.0-11.89%
vs Similar (14)76.179.8155.9-3.736%
vs Weaker (5)79.675.2154.8+4.460%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Bigua
#7
W
87-81
87
81
+6
77avg 73
A04/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
73-52
73
52
+21
68avg 73
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
82-58
82
58
+24
84avg 73
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
88-87
88
87
+1
85avg 73
H16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
81-64
81
64
+17
72avg 73
H20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
90-65
90
65
+25
83avg 73
H25/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
91-83
91
83
+8
84avg 73
A28/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
65-75
65
75
-10
51avg 73
H31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
57-52
57
52
+5
45avg 73
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
79-68
79
68
+11
70avg 73
H07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-14
23-33
15-19
21-15
18-16
17-13
18-7
20-16
30-17
24-22
13-13
15-6
31-20
23-22
19-25
15-20
18-10
25-16
18-14
20-24
25-14
30-16
17-16
18-19
26-18
26-27
12-18
27-20
22-24
17-21
11-12
15-18
13-14
14-16
20-13
10-9
24-14
14-16
22-17
19-21
147.8Avg total
79.3Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.969.8152.7+13.086%
Season at home (11)83.467.0150.4+16.491%
Season away (10)82.372.9155.2+9.480%
Last 10 (10)79.368.5147.8+10.890%
Last 5 (5)76.468.6145.0+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)85.077.2162.2+7.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)82.468.1150.4+14.388%
This opponent (Goes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q1: +7.4+7.4Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.2+1.2
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q1: +7.4+7.4Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.2+1.2
GoesPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cordon
#10
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H04/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A09/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
38-63
38
63
-25
A13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
30-55
30
55
-25
A25/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H28/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H06/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
82.8Avg total
35.8Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.644.083.6-4.431%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.440.880.2-1.433%-
Last 30 away (14)39.947.487.3-7.629%-
Last 10 (10)35.847.082.8-11.220%-
Last 5 (5)34.444.679.0-10.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.547.687.1-8.227%-
vs Similar (13)40.943.284.1-2.238%-
vs Weaker (5)36.638.274.8-1.620%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bigua
#7
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A04/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H25/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A28/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H07/02
Liga Uruguaya
81.1Avg total
44.8Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)43.935.879.7+8.162%-
Last 30 at home (11)46.233.079.2+13.282%-
Last 30 away (10)41.438.880.2+2.640%-
Last 10 (10)44.836.381.1+8.580%-
Last 5 (5)42.236.078.2+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)43.839.283.0+4.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.934.978.9+9.065%-
This opponent (Goes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Goes: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.417.4
47.8%
51.0%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.0
31.1%
33.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws15.610.9
69.9%
71.7%10.9
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.217.7
53.3%
51.0%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.8
32.9%
33.3%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.213.9
68.8%
71.7%13.9
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Goes
LLLLLLLLWL
Penarol
WWLWWWWWWW
#12
League position
#2
-15.9
Net rating
+15.4
95.8
Offensive rating
106.3
111.8
Defensive rating
90.9
47.3%
Effective FG%
51.4%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
42.7%
20.4%
Turnover %
14.5%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
23.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.1%
3-point %
32.9%
50.8%
Assist %
53.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence95.8 · 106.3Defence111.8 · 90.9Shooting47.3% · 51.4%3-point %31.1% · 32.9%Ball care20.4% · 14.5%Off. rebounds29.2% · 23.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)10% · 90%
■ Goes   ■ Penarol
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Goes wins
1
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
25/01/24Penarol v Goes90-65
Goeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/24ABigua91-94 OT
06/02/24HUrupan74-80
31/01/24AHebraica y Macabi69-85
28/01/24HAguada74-75
25/01/24APenarol65-90
16/01/24AMalvin76-92
13/01/24ANacional61-111
09/01/24ADefensor80-84
04/01/24HLarre Borges80-64
20/12/23ACordon71-80
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/24HNacional79-68
03/02/24ALarre Borges57-52
31/01/24HCordon65-75
28/01/24ATrouville91-83
25/01/24HGoes90-65
20/01/24HDefensor81-64
16/01/24HAguada88-87
13/01/24HMalvin82-58
10/01/24HHebraica y Macabi73-52
04/01/24ABigua87-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Goes
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL24%
HomeWLWLL30%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %24%30%18%
Points / game78.779.677.9
Allowed / game86.582.090.5
Point differential-7.8-2.4-12.6
Avg total165.2161.6168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWWLW91%
AwayWWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %86%91%80%
Points / game82.983.482.3
Allowed / game69.867.072.9
Point differential+13.0+16.4+9.4
Avg total152.7150.4155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%73%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol2118386%82.969.8+13.0
2 Nacional1916384%90.980.8+10.1
3 Aguada2217577%89.480.6+8.8
4 Defensor2114767%81.678.8+2.9
5 Hebraica y Macabi2012860%83.580.0+3.4
6 Bigua22101245%84.584.5+0.0
7 Cordon22101245%72.574.7-2.2
8 Malvin2291341%81.480.9+0.5
9 Trouville2271532%80.086.2-6.2
10 Urupan2061430%76.584.5-7.9
11 Goes2151624%78.786.5-7.8
12 Larre Borges2231914%76.589.9-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Goes1822172077
Penarol2011141762
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