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Urupan vs Aguada Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 74-111
16-33 20-30 18-25 20-23
Position#9
Record6-13
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game83.1
vs
Aguada 🏆
Uruguay
Position#1
Record15-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game80.8
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Urupan
Other2023-24
Meetings · Urupan v Aguada
16 Nov 2024
URUP73
AGUA96
08 Feb 2024
URUP74
AGUA111
24 Nov 2022
URUP79
AGUA66
16 Dec 2021
URUP98
AGUA94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Urupan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aguada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UrupanUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUrupan
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
80-98
80
98
-18
73avg 68
H06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
79-61
79
61
+18
66avg 68
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
90-99
90
99
-9
90avg 68
H12/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
64-89
64
89
-25
50avg 68
H16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
64-90
64
90
-26
45avg 68
A22/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
77-88
77
88
-11
75avg 68
H05/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
85-53
85
53
+32
86avg 68
A12/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
57-64
57
64
-7
47avg 68
A17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
L
88-100
88
100
-12
83avg 68
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
80-74
80
74
+6
68avg 68
A06/02
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
22-30
17-25
24-27
15-15
23-19
18-16
23-11
26-26
31-25
20-18
13-30
11-23
10-20
21-30
22-16
18-31
14-23
16-26
16-10
17-20
21-25
17-28
22-15
14-7
16-13
32-19
23-14
13-18
11-25
19-13
14-8
35-23
16-32
24-23
13-22
17-15
21-15
22-17
20-27
158.0Avg total
76.4Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.783.1159.7-6.432%
Season at home (9)80.385.6165.9-5.233%
Season away (10)73.480.8154.2-7.430%
Last 10 (10)76.481.6158.0-5.230%
Last 5 (5)77.475.8153.2+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)70.084.5154.5-14.512%
vs Similar (15)80.582.8163.3-2.340%
vs Weaker (7)77.070.6147.6+6.457%
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AguadaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAguada
Date
Competition
Bigua
#7
W
94-81
94
81
+13
88avg 81
A05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
92-77
92
77
+15
90avg 81
H15/12
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
90-82
90
82
+8
88avg 81
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
78-75
78
75
+3
74avg 81
H05/01
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
104-83
104
83
+21
105avg 81
A13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
87-88
87
88
-1
82avg 81
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
105-111 OT
105
111
-6
no box
H19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
75-74
75
74
+1
64avg 81
A28/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
87-77
87
77
+10
78avg 81
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
96-86
96
86
+10
95avg 81
H02/02
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-22
19-22
22-19
21-18
28-20
25-20
21-20
18-17
26-22
22-16
21-14
21-30
20-19
28-16
15-23
15-17
29-14
25-27
22-18
28-24
20-31
22-23
25-19
20-15
26-18
30-25
21-36
21-19
17-18
22-23
21-15
15-18
25-25
29-19
11-15
22-18
27-16
20-23
35-20
14-27
174.2Avg total
90.8Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)87.580.8168.2+6.775%
Season at home (10)90.681.4172.0+9.290%
Season away (10)84.380.1164.4+4.260%
Last 10 (10)90.883.4174.2+7.480%
Last 5 (5)90.087.2177.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)79.181.9161.0-2.838%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)87.578.1165.6+9.488%
This opponent (Urupan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.8-0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.8-0.8
UrupanAguada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UrupanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H12/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
21-43
21
43
-22
H16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A22/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H05/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
30-20
30
20
+10
A12/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A06/02
Liga Uruguaya
78.9Avg total
36.8Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.043.382.2-4.341%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.042.582.5-2.554%-
Last 30 away (16)38.143.982.1-5.831%-
Last 10 (10)36.842.178.9-5.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.238.674.8-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)33.446.279.6-12.912%-
vs Similar (15)39.242.081.2-2.847%-
vs Weaker (6)45.842.588.3+3.367%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bigua
#7
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H15/12
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H05/01
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A28/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H02/02
Liga Uruguaya
91.1Avg total
49.2Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.041.185.1+2.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.339.885.1+5.580%-
Last 30 away (15)42.642.585.1+0.160%-
Last 10 (10)49.241.991.1+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)47.644.291.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)41.240.982.2+0.369%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.141.387.4+4.871%-
This opponent (Urupan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Urupantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urupan: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.919.5
47.7%
51.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.4
34.4%
33.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.211.3
65.7%
71.7%11.3
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aguadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.718.9
56.1%
51.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.811.9
34.2%
33.3%35.7
🏀 Free throws17.113.4
78.4%
71.7%13.4
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Urupan
WLLWLLLLWL
Aguada
WWWLLWWWWW
#9
League position
#1
-7.0
Net rating
+11.2
99.8
Offensive rating
111.9
106.8
Defensive rating
100.7
49.2%
Effective FG%
53.6%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
15.7%
Turnover %
14.6%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.4%
3-point %
34.2%
65.9%
Assist %
64.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence99.8 · 111.9Defence106.8 · 100.7Shooting49.2% · 53.6%3-point %34.4% · 34.2%Ball care15.7% · 14.6%Off. rebounds23.4% · 25.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Urupan   ■ Aguada
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Urupan wins
3
Aguada wins
DateGameScore
01/12/23Aguada v Urupan91-58
27/01/23Aguada v Urupan92-84
24/11/22Urupan v Aguada79-66
16/03/22Aguada v Urupan76-71
17/12/21Urupan v Aguada98-94
Urupanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/24AGoes80-74
27/01/24ALarre Borges88-100
17/01/24ACordon57-64
12/01/24ATrouville85-53
05/01/24HDefensor77-88
22/12/23APenarol64-90
16/12/23HPenarol64-89
12/12/23HBigua90-99
09/12/23HMalvin79-61
06/12/23HHebraica y Macabi80-98
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/24HHebraica y Macabi96-86
30/01/24AMalvin87-77
28/01/24AGoes75-74
19/01/24HNacional105-111 OT
16/01/24APenarol87-88
13/01/24ALarre Borges104-83
05/01/24HCordon78-75
19/12/23ATrouville90-82
15/12/23HDefensor92-77
05/12/23ABigua94-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Urupan
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW32%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayLWLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %32%33%30%
Points / game76.780.373.4
Allowed / game83.185.680.8
Point differential-6.4-5.2-7.4
Avg total159.7165.9154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%22%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aguada
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW75%
HomeWWWLW90%
AwayWWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %75%90%60%
Points / game87.590.684.3
Allowed / game80.881.480.1
Point differential+6.7+9.2+4.2
Avg total168.2172.0164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol2118386%82.969.8+13.0
2 Nacional1916384%90.980.8+10.1
3 Aguada2015575%87.580.8+6.7
4 Defensor2013765%81.178.8+2.2
5 Hebraica y Macabi2012860%83.580.0+3.4
6 Bigua2091145%84.083.0+0.9
7 Malvin2191243%82.081.1+0.8
8 Cordon2081240%72.475.8-3.5
9 Urupan1961332%76.783.1-6.4
10 Trouville2061430%80.787.0-6.3
11 Goes2051525%78.186.1-8.0
12 Larre Borges2031715%76.289.8-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Urupan1620182074
Aguada33302523111
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