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Urupan vs Nacional Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 89-74
16-16 27-28 26-14 20-16
Position#9
Record6-15
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game84.9
Urupan 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#3
Record16-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game80.3
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Urupan
Other2023-24
Meetings · Urupan v Nacional
03 Feb 2025
URUP65
NACI121
01 Mar 2024
URUP89
NACI74
17 Jan 2023
URUP84
NACI74
11 Jan 2022
URUP104
NACI82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Urupan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nacional winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UrupanUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUrupan
Date
Competition
Bigua
#7
L
90-99
90
99
-9
90avg 68
H12/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
64-89
64
89
-25
50avg 68
H16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
64-90
64
90
-26
45avg 68
A22/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
77-88
77
88
-11
75avg 68
H05/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
85-53
85
53
+32
86avg 68
A12/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
57-64
57
64
-7
47avg 68
A17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
L
88-100
88
100
-12
83avg 68
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
80-74
80
74
+6
68avg 68
A06/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
74-111
74
111
-37
62avg 68
H09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
90-93
90
93
-3
84avg 68
A17/02
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
31-25
20-18
13-30
11-23
10-20
21-30
22-16
18-31
14-23
16-26
16-10
17-20
21-25
17-28
22-15
14-7
16-13
32-19
23-14
13-18
11-25
19-13
14-8
35-23
16-32
24-23
13-22
17-15
21-15
22-17
20-27
16-33
20-30
18-25
20-23
22-28
22-26
21-20
25-19
163.0Avg total
76.9Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.284.9162.0-7.729%
Season at home (10)79.788.1167.8-8.430%
Season away (11)74.981.9156.8-7.027%
Last 10 (10)76.986.1163.0-9.220%
Last 5 (5)77.888.4166.2-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)70.487.4157.9-17.011%
vs Similar (15)82.483.4165.8-1.040%
vs Weaker (6)86.582.3168.8+4.250%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Trouville
#8
W
99-79
99
79
+20
96avg 82
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
111-105 OT
111
105
+6
no box
A19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
86-61
86
61
+25
83avg 82
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Quimsa
#3
L
78-86
78
86
-8
63avg 82
H27/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Paulo
#6
W
86-82
86
82
+4
80avg 82
H29/01
Champions League Americas
Bigua
#7
W
71-67 OT
71
67
+4
no box
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
68-79
68
79
-11
65avg 82
A07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Sao Paulo
#6
L
76-93
76
93
-17
68avg 82
A11/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
W
78-72
78
72
+6
76avg 82
H12/02
Champions League Americas
Defensor
#4
L
65-72
65
72
-7
57avg 82
H22/02
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
30-13
32-21
21-21
18-26
25-30
36-21
19-21
20-22
21-14
26-8
19-17
19-23
18-18
20-25
21-20
22-24
24-22
20-17
20-19
21-14
9-13
17-19
12-13
14-24
16-14
17-22
21-19
9-15
22-32
21-24
24-22
20-23
18-20
18-13
22-16
17-19
16-20
11-18
21-15
161.4Avg total
81.8Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)89.680.3169.9+9.280%
Season at home (10)84.073.1157.1+10.980%
Season away (10)95.287.6182.8+7.680%
Last 10 (10)81.879.6161.4+2.260%
Last 5 (5)71.676.6148.2-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.780.1155.9-4.429%
vs Similar (11)83.384.8168.1-1.564%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)93.977.8171.7+16.292%
This opponent (Urupan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.7+1.7
UrupanNacional
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UrupanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bigua
#7
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H12/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
21-43
21
43
-22
H16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A22/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H05/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
30-20
30
20
+10
A12/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A06/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
36-63
36
63
-27
H09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A17/02
Liga Uruguaya
82.9Avg total
37.1Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.344.183.4-4.840%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.743.983.6-4.250%-
Last 30 away (16)38.944.283.2-5.331%-
Last 10 (10)37.145.882.9-8.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.649.087.6-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.748.181.8-14.411%-
vs Similar (15)40.142.382.4-2.347%-
vs Weaker (6)45.842.588.3+3.367%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trouville
#8
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Quimsa
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H27/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Paulo
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H29/01
Champions League Americas
Bigua
#7
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Sao Paulo
#6
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A11/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H12/02
Champions League Americas
Defensor
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H22/02
Liga Uruguaya
78.5Avg total
37.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.440.784.1+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.040.383.3+2.753%-
Last 30 away (15)43.841.285.0+2.660%-
Last 10 (10)37.541.078.5-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)32.438.871.2-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.638.777.3-0.143%-
vs Similar (11)41.544.886.4-3.327%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)47.938.286.1+9.892%-
This opponent (Urupan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Urupantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urupan: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.319.7
47.7%
51.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.0
33.6%
33.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.012.4
65.3%
71.7%12.4
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.0
52.8%
51.0%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.69.3
39.4%
33.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws16.511.5
69.7%
71.7%11.5
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Urupan
LLWLLWLLLL
Nacional
LWLLWWLWWW
#9
League position
#3
-12.6
Net rating
+11.0
98.3
Offensive rating
111.0
110.9
Defensive rating
100.0
48.7%
Effective FG%
55.3%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
17.1%
Turnover %
17.0%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.6%
3-point %
39.4%
67.9%
Assist %
64.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.3 · 111.0Defence110.9 · 100.0Shooting48.7% · 55.3%3-point %33.6% · 39.4%Ball care17.1% · 17.0%Off. rebounds23.9% · 27.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Urupan   ■ Nacional
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Urupan wins
3
Nacional wins
DateGameScore
24/11/23Nacional v Urupan91-78
17/01/23Urupan v Nacional84-74
03/11/22Nacional v Urupan77-63
29/03/22Nacional v Urupan86-73
12/01/22Urupan v Nacional104-82
Urupanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24AHebraica y Macabi90-93
09/02/24HAguada74-111
06/02/24AGoes80-74
27/01/24ALarre Borges88-100
17/01/24ACordon57-64
12/01/24ATrouville85-53
05/01/24HDefensor77-88
22/12/23APenarol64-90
16/12/23HPenarol64-89
12/12/23HBigua90-99
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/24HDefensor65-72
12/02/24HQuimsa78-72
11/02/24ASao Paulo76-93
07/02/24APenarol68-79
03/02/24HBigua71-67 OT
29/01/24HSao Paulo86-82
27/01/24HQuimsa78-86
23/01/24HCordon86-61
19/01/24AAguada111-105 OT
16/01/24ATrouville99-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Urupan
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL29%
HomeWLLLL30%
AwayWLLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %29%30%27%
Points / game77.279.774.9
Allowed / game84.988.181.9
Point differential-7.7-8.4-7.0
Avg total162.0167.8156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL80%
HomeLWWWL80%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %80%80%80%
Points / game89.684.095.2
Allowed / game80.373.187.6
Point differential+9.2+10.9+7.6
Avg total169.9157.1182.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%40%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %10%10%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol2218482%81.970.1+11.8
2 Nacional2016480%89.680.3+9.2
3 Aguada2217577%89.480.6+8.8
4 Defensor2215768%81.278.1+3.0
5 Hebraica y Macabi2113862%83.980.5+3.4
6 Bigua22101245%84.584.5+0.0
7 Cordon22101245%72.574.7-2.2
8 Malvin2291341%81.480.9+0.5
9 Trouville2271532%80.086.2-6.2
10 Urupan2161529%77.284.9-7.7
11 Goes2261627%78.685.4-6.7
12 Larre Borges2231914%76.589.9-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Urupan1627262089
Nacional1628141674
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