Melbourne United vs Cairns Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Dec 2011

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 67-65

19-19 24-17 15-17 9-12

Position#6

Record7-6

FormLLLLW

Points / game84.1

Allowed / game82.5

Melbourne United 🏆

Cairns

Position#4

Record6-6

FormWWLWL

Points / game74.2

Allowed / game77.2

NBL

Other2011-12

Meetings · Melbourne United v Cairns

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Cairns winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

82-74

A30/10

NBL

Sydney

94-76

+18

A04/11

NBL

Cairns

80-63

+17

H06/11

NBL

Townsville

88-95 OT

-7

H11/11

NBL

Perth

87-82

H18/11

NBL

Adelaide

89-95

-6

A19/11

NBL

Sydney

80-89

-9

H25/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

98-108 OT

108

-10

A02/12

NBL

Cairns

77-79 OT

-2

A10/12

NBL

Townsville

93-80

+13

H18/12

NBL

15-27

14-12

25-14

28-21

27-18

28-19

29-21

10-18

26-9

19-14

19-16

16-24

24-22

19-13

23-28

16-19

14-24

21-26

25-11

27-21

28-22

24-24

17-21

20-28

21-29

25-14

14-23

20-23

25-26

22-15

24-29

16-17

14-13

19-21

18-19

16-14

15-17

26-9

21-31

31-23

170.9Avg total

86.8Scored

84.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	84.1	82.5	166.6	+1.5	54%
Season at home (7)	82.4	78.4	160.9	+4.0	71%
Season away (6)	86.0	87.3	173.3	-1.3	33%
Last 10 (10)	86.8	84.1	170.9	+2.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	87.4	90.2	177.6	-2.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	79.9	84.4	164.3	-4.4	43%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	83.3	80.4	163.8	+2.9	56%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Cairns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Cairns

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gold Coast

91-82

A16/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

64-69

-5

H28/10

NBL

Melbourne United

63-80

-17

A06/11

NBL

Perth

64-70

-6

H13/11

NBL

Sydney

85-67

+18

A17/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

80-78

H20/11

NBL

Gold Coast

87-78

H02/12

NBL

Sydney

64-69

-5

A04/12

NBL

Melbourne United

79-77 OT

H10/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

65-85

-20

A16/12

NBL

18-17

26-30

23-19

24-16

18-21

18-17

11-17

17-14

9-26

14-19

16-19

24-16

15-17

14-13

16-19

19-21

26-17

17-15

23-14

19-22

21-18

16-24

24-14

21-23

21-17

18-18

27-20

17-22

12-17

18-13

17-17

13-14

21-19

19-18

14-16

16-21

17-26

11-9

21-29

149.7Avg total

74.2Scored

75.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	74.2	77.2	151.3	-3.0	50%
Season at home (6)	75.8	74.7	150.5	+1.2	67%
Season away (6)	72.5	79.7	152.2	-7.2	33%
Last 10 (10)	74.2	75.5	149.7	-1.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	75.0	77.4	152.4	-2.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	76.7	80.4	157.1	-3.7	57%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	74.5	75.6	150.1	-1.1	50%
vs Weaker (5)	72.2	72.0	144.2	+0.2	40%

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Melbourne UnitedCairns

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.1	41.6	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	19.7	40.4	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	20.6	42.7	+1.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.7	41.6	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.4	42.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	20.4	20.7	41.1	-0.3	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	22.3	19.6	41.9	+2.7	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	19.2	36.8	-1.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.1	16.2	35.3	+2.8	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	16.5	21.5	37.9	-5.0	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	20.4	36.9	-3.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	20.4	37.6	-3.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.6	18.9	36.4	-1.3	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	17.0	19.1	36.1	-2.1	28%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.2	38.5	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	17.7	37.1	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	20.7	39.8	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	16.7	38.4	+5.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	16.6	39.8	+6.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.5	20.3	39.8	-0.8	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.1	18.2	37.3	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.2	38.1	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.2	17.6	37.8	+2.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.9	20.4	38.3	-2.5	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.3	38.3	-0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.4	37.8	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.0	21.1	39.1	-3.1	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.4	18.7	38.1	+0.7	39%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.2	18.4	36.6	-0.2	40%	-

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

29-39

-10

A30/10

NBL

Sydney

55-37

+18

A04/11

NBL

Cairns

45-23

+22

H06/11

NBL

Townsville

43-35

H11/11

NBL

Perth

35-50

-15

H18/11

NBL

Adelaide

52-46

A19/11

NBL

Sydney

46-43

H25/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

47-41

A02/12

NBL

Cairns

33-34

-1

A10/12

NBL

Townsville

41-26

+15

H18/12

NBL

80.0Avg total

42.6Scored

37.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	39.3	80.0	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.2	37.3	77.5	+2.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.3	41.3	82.5	+0.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	37.4	80.0	+5.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	38.0	81.8	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	39.9	41.0	80.9	-1.1	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	41.4	37.8	79.2	+3.6	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Cairns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CairnsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gold Coast

44-47

-3

A16/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

36-38

-2

H28/10

NBL

Melbourne United

23-45

-22

A06/11

NBL

Perth

29-30

-1

H13/11

NBL

Sydney

45-38

A17/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

40-40

H20/11

NBL

Gold Coast

42-40

H02/12

NBL

Sydney

29-39

-10

A04/12

NBL

Melbourne United

34-33

H10/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

33-47

-14

A16/12

NBL

75.2Avg total

35.5Scored

39.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.5	38.4	74.9	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.2	33.8	73.1	+5.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	34.4	41.9	76.2	-7.5	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.5	39.7	75.2	-4.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	39.8	75.4	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	35.6	40.0	75.6	-4.4	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	36.4	37.7	74.1	-1.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (5)	38.0	38.6	76.6	-0.6	60%	-

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.7	39.2	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	18.3	37.9	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	21.1	40.4	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	21.3	42.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	24.6	43.4	-5.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	20.1	19.4	39.4	+0.7	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.9	20.0	38.9	-1.1	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	18.1	35.3	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.5	18.2	35.7	-0.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.0	17.9	34.9	-0.9	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	17.1	33.6	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	16.4	32.8	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.7	19.4	37.1	-1.7	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	17.6	17.9	35.4	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	15.2	16.8	32.0	-1.6	20%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.5	41.7	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	20.9	41.0	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	22.0	42.5	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	20.8	40.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.0	41.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.1	22.5	41.6	-3.4	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	21.2	20.6	41.8	+0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.0	37.2	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.4	18.2	35.5	-0.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.5	17.9	38.4	+2.5	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	17.7	38.7	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	21.6	19.6	41.1	+2.0	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.2	17.8	36.1	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.0	16.6	35.6	+2.4	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	41.2	80.9	-1.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	39.3	78.9	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.8	43.1	82.9	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	42.1	83.6	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	45.6	85.0	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	39.2	41.9	81.1	-2.6	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	40.2	40.6	80.8	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	36.1	72.4	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	34.8	36.4	71.2	-1.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	37.5	35.9	73.4	+1.6	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	34.8	72.3	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	35.6	72.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	39.3	39.0	78.3	+0.3	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	35.8	35.7	71.5	+0.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	34.2	33.4	67.6	+0.8	40%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melbourne United wins

Cairns wins

Date	Game	Score
10/12/11	Cairns v Melbourne United	79-77 OT
06/11/11	Melbourne United v Cairns	80-63
12/03/11	Cairns v Melbourne United	79-63
19/02/11	Melbourne United v Cairns	70-63
22/01/11	Melbourne United v Cairns	83-76
15/01/11	Cairns v Melbourne United	95-74
02/01/10	Melbourne United v Cairns	87-64
31/12/09	Cairns v Melbourne United	76-69
11/12/09	Cairns v Melbourne United	89-74
21/11/09	Melbourne United v Cairns	83-86

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/12/11	H	Townsville	93-80
10/12/11	A	Cairns	77-79 OT
02/12/11	A	New Zealand Breakers	98-108 OT
25/11/11	H	Sydney	80-89
19/11/11	A	Adelaide	89-95
18/11/11	H	Perth	87-82
11/11/11	H	Townsville	88-95 OT
06/11/11	H	Cairns	80-63
04/11/11	A	Sydney	94-76
30/10/11	A	Illawarra Hawks	82-74

Cairnslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/12/11	A	New Zealand Breakers	65-85
10/12/11	H	Melbourne United	79-77 OT
04/12/11	A	Sydney	64-69
02/12/11	H	Gold Coast	87-78
20/11/11	H	New Zealand Breakers	80-78
17/11/11	A	Sydney	85-67
13/11/11	H	Perth	64-70
06/11/11	A	Melbourne United	63-80
28/10/11	H	Illawarra Hawks	64-69
16/10/11	A	Gold Coast	91-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United

NBL 2011-12

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	54%
Home	WLWLW	71%
Away	WWLLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	54%	71%	33%
Points / game	84.1	82.4	86.0
Allowed / game	82.5	78.4	87.3
Point differential	+1.5	+4.0	-1.3
Avg total	166.6	160.9	173.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	29%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	23%	14%	33%

Cairns

NBL 2011-12

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	50%
Home	LLWWW	67%
Away	WLWLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	50%	67%	33%
Points / game	74.2	75.8	72.5
Allowed / game	77.2	74.7	79.7
Point differential	-3.0	+1.2	-7.2
Avg total	151.3	150.5	152.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	0%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	75% (4)	0% (1)
Overtime %	8%	17%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	New Zealand Breakers	13	10	3	77%	88.5	77.1	+11.5
2	Perth	13	8	5	62%	88.8	81.8	+7.0
3	Melbourne United	13	7	6	54%	84.1	82.5	+1.5
4	Gold Coast	10	5	5	50%	85.1	84.5	+0.6
5	Townsville	10	5	5	50%	82.0	81.7	+0.3
6	Cairns	12	6	6	50%	74.2	77.2	-3.0
7	Sydney	13	6	7	46%	82.1	86.8	-4.8
8	Adelaide	12	4	8	33%	88.2	93.4	-5.2
9	Illawarra Hawks	12	3	9	25%	75.4	84.5	-9.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melbourne United	19	24	15	9	67
Cairns	19	17	17	12	65

← all games of the day

Melbourne United vs Cairns Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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