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Golden State Warriors vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 17 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 02:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record7-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game115.2
Allowed / game110.8
vs
Position#16
Record4-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game117.2
Allowed / game118.2
USANBA· Chase Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Cleveland Cavaliers
16 Mar 2027
GSW v CLE
upcoming
02 Apr 2026
GSW111
CLE118
19 Jul 2025
GSW82
CLE71
30 Dec 2024
GSW95
CLE113
11 Nov 2023
GSW110
CLE118
11 Nov 2022
GSW106
CLE101
09 Jan 2022
GSW96
CLE82
15 Feb 2021
GSW129
CLE98
08 Apr 2020
GSW v CLE
upcoming
05 Apr 2019
GSW120
CLE114
03 Jun 2018
GSW122
CLE103
31 May 2018
GSW124
CLE114
25 Dec 2017
GSW99
CLE92
12 Jun 2017
GSW129
CLE120
04 Jun 2017
GSW132
CLE113
01 Jun 2017
GSW113
CLE91
16 Jan 2017
GSW126
CLE91
19 Jun 2016
GSW89
CLE93
13 Jun 2016
GSW97
CLE112
05 Jun 2016
GSW110
CLE77
02 Jun 2016
GSW104
CLE89
25 Dec 2015
GSW89
CLE83
14 Jun 2015
GSW104
CLE91
07 Jun 2015
GSW93
CLE95
04 Jun 2015
GSW108
CLE100
09 Jan 2015
GSW112
CLE94
14 Mar 2014
GSW94
CLE103
07 Nov 2012
GSW106
CLE96
07 Jan 2011
GSW116
CLE98
11 Jan 2010
GSW114
CLE117
23 Jan 2009
GSW105
CLE106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cleveland Cavaliers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
L
118-123
118
123
-5
A08/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
111-106
111
106
+5
H11/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
101-89
101
89
+12
A14/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
W
128-118
128
118
+10
H17/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
105-127
105
127
-22
A22/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#2
L
108-111
108
111
-3
H24/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
122-131
122
131
-9
A25/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
W
134-114
134
114
+20
A27/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#9
W
119-114
119
114
+5
A29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
112-95
112
95
+17
H31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-36
19-21
36-29
32-37
24-25
37-31
28-25
22-25
29-29
21-34
22-13
29-13
35-26
32-32
38-33
23-27
33-34
19-32
16-36
37-25
34-33
22-27
34-24
18-27
25-22
29-35
38-45
30-29
28-32
32-24
40-28
34-30
30-23
34-25
29-33
26-33
15-38
38-15
32-27
27-15
228.6Avg total
115.8Scored
112.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)115.2110.8226.1+4.458%
Season at home (5)116.6105.6222.2+11.080%
Season away (7)114.3114.6228.9-0.343%
Last 10 (10)115.8112.8228.6+3.060%
Last 5 (5)119.0113.0232.0+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)105.3116.6221.9-11.30%
vs Similar (13)112.5113.4225.9-0.846%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)119.8116.4236.2+3.470%
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#4
L
108-121
108
121
-13
H24/05
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
93-130
93
130
-37
H26/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
113-124
113
124
-11
H08/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
W
119-105
119
105
+14
H11/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
L
116-132
116
132
-16
A13/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
106-114
106
114
-8
A22/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
125-121
125
121
+4
H24/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#9
W
127-125 OT
127
125
+2
H26/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
121-111
121
111
+10
H28/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#6
L
111-114
111
114
-3
A30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-37
27-23
28-31
26-30
26-38
23-30
22-30
22-32
29-32
33-39
34-28
17-25
32-28
29-22
29-25
29-30
28-35
24-37
31-36
33-24
35-18
34-27
21-37
16-32
35-30
33-24
28-26
29-41
24-31
26-29
36-26
27-27
34-42
25-27
33-23
29-19
28-16
16-30
38-43
29-25
233.6Avg total
113.9Scored
119.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)117.2118.2235.5-1.050%
Season at home (5)121.0117.2238.2+3.880%
Season away (3)111.0120.0231.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)113.9119.7233.6-5.840%
Last 5 (5)118.0117.0235.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)107.9113.6221.5-5.636%
vs Similar (14)113.9113.9227.7+0.057%
vs Weaker (2)136.0121.5257.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -2.8-2.8
Golden State WarriorsCleveland Cavaliers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A08/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H11/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A14/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H17/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
52-66
52
66
-14
A22/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#2
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H24/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A25/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A27/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#9
W
64-48
64
48
+16
A29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H31/10
NBA
114.1Avg total
56.7Scored
57.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.657.2112.8-1.533%-
Last 30 at home (12)58.756.9115.6+1.842%-
Last 30 away (18)53.657.3110.9-3.728%-
Last 10 (10)56.757.4114.1-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)57.454.8112.2+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)52.156.6108.7-4.429%-
vs Similar (13)55.456.2111.6-0.823%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)58.458.8117.2-0.450%-
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#4
L
54-60
54
60
-6
H24/05
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
49-68
49
68
-19
H26/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
62-71
62
71
-9
H08/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H11/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
L
52-72
52
72
-20
A13/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
69-45
69
45
+24
A22/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
68-54
68
54
+14
H24/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#9
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H26/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H28/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#6
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A30/10
NBA
116.3Avg total
56.8Scored
59.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.056.6111.6-1.633%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.958.6116.4-0.738%-
Last 30 away (14)51.754.3106.0-2.629%-
Last 10 (10)56.859.5116.3-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)58.054.8112.8+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)52.055.9107.9-3.921%-
vs Similar (14)56.456.9113.2-0.536%-
vs Weaker (2)66.559.5126.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 112.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.823.2
51.8%
54.0%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.814.8
38.1%
34.9%44.4
🏀 Free throws28.322.1
78.1%
76.2%22.1
They take 83.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cleveland Cavalierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cleveland Cavaliers: 110.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.226.3
54.6%
54.0%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.412.7
33.1%
34.9%38.1
🏀 Free throws25.919.5
75.3%
76.2%19.5
They take 86.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
WWWLLLWWWL
Cleveland Cavaliers
LWWWLLWLLL
#10
League position
#16
+2.9
Net rating
-8.6
102.7
Offensive rating
101.0
99.8
Defensive rating
109.6
54.3%
Effective FG%
52.4%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
16.5%
Turnover %
15.0%
7.4%
Off. rebound %
11.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.1%
3-point %
33.1%
68.4%
Assist %
60.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.7 · 101.0Defence99.8 · 109.6Shooting54.3% · 52.4%3-point %38.1% · 33.1%Ball care16.5% · 15.0%Off. rebounds7.4% · 11.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Cleveland Cavaliers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HLos Angeles Lakers112-95
29/10/26AMinnesota Timberwolves119-114
27/10/26ADenver Nuggets134-114
25/10/26APhoenix Suns122-131
24/10/26HMemphis Grizzlies108-111
22/10/26ALos Angeles Lakers105-127
17/10/26HPortland Trail Blazers128-118
14/10/26ALos Angeles Lakers101-89
11/10/26HSacramento Kings111-106
08/10/26APortland Trail Blazers118-123
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26AAtlanta Hawks111-114
28/10/26HWashington Wizards121-111
26/10/26HMinnesota Timberwolves127-125 OT
24/10/26HBrooklyn Nets125-121
22/10/26APhiladelphia 76ers106-114
13/10/26AOrlando Magic116-132
11/10/26HOrlando Magic119-105
08/10/26HBoston Celtics113-124
26/05/26HNew York Knicks93-130
24/05/26HNew York Knicks108-121

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW58%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %58%80%43%
Points / game115.2116.6114.3
Allowed / game110.8105.6114.6
Point differential+4.4+11.0-0.3
Avg total226.1222.2228.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%60%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %50%80%0%
Points / game117.2121.0111.0
Allowed / game118.2117.2120.0
Point differential-1.0+3.8-9.0
Avg total235.5238.2231.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %12%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics98189%123.4110.0+13.4
2 Memphis Grizzlies98189%117.9108.2+9.7
3 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
4 Houston Rockets97278%121.3110.9+10.4
5 Portland Trail Blazers75271%120.3114.3+6.0
6 Atlanta Hawks117464%120.7115.7+5.0
7 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
8 Philadelphia 76ers106460%110.6111.0-0.4
9 Minnesota Timberwolves127558%118.8112.4+6.4
10 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
11 Orlando Magic95456%116.0117.8-1.8
12 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
13 Toronto Raptors105550%119.6111.5+8.1
14 San Antonio Spurs105550%115.5109.4+6.1
15 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
16 Cleveland Cavaliers84450%117.2118.2-1.0
17 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
18 Oklahoma City Thunder105550%109.0110.8-1.8
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 New Orleans Pelicans94544%115.4116.6-1.1
21 Utah Jazz94544%112.8115.6-2.8
22 Charlotte Hornets104640%97.0108.0-11.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
24 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
25 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
26 Indiana Pacers103730%117.9119.2-1.3
27 Milwaukee Bucks103730%111.4122.0-10.6
28 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings100100%106.5122.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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