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Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 31 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record7-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game115.2
Allowed / game110.8
vs
Position#4
Record7-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game121.3
Allowed / game110.9
USANBA· Chase Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Houston Rockets
07 Mar 2027
GSW v HOU
upcoming
30 Dec 2026
GSW v HOU
upcoming
05 Apr 2026
GSW116
HOU117
26 Nov 2025
GSW100
HOU104
02 May 2025
GSW107
HOU115
28 Apr 2025
GSW109
HOU106
26 Apr 2025
GSW104
HOU93
06 Apr 2025
GSW96
HOU106
05 Dec 2024
GSW99
HOU93
20 Nov 2023
GSW121
HOU116
13 Jul 2023
GSW101
HOU118
24 Feb 2023
GSW116
HOU101
03 Dec 2022
GSW120
HOU101
21 Jan 2022
GSW105
HOU103
07 Nov 2021
GSW120
HOU107
10 Apr 2021
GSW125
HOU109
20 Feb 2020
GSW105
HOU135
25 Dec 2019
GSW116
HOU104
08 May 2019
GSW104
HOU99
30 Apr 2019
GSW115
HOU109
28 Apr 2019
GSW104
HOU100
23 Feb 2019
GSW112
HOU118
03 Jan 2019
GSW134
HOU135
26 May 2018
GSW115
HOU86
22 May 2018
GSW92
HOU95
20 May 2018
GSW126
HOU85
17 Oct 2017
GSW121
HOU122
31 Mar 2017
GSW107
HOU98
01 Dec 2016
GSW127
HOU132
13 Jul 2016
GSW80
HOU76
27 Apr 2016
GSW114
HOU81
18 Apr 2016
GSW115
HOU106
16 Apr 2016
GSW104
HOU78
09 Feb 2016
GSW123
HOU110
15 Oct 2015
GSW123
HOU101
27 May 2015
GSW104
HOU90
21 May 2015
GSW99
HOU98
19 May 2015
GSW110
HOU106
21 Jan 2015
GSW126
HOU113
10 Dec 2014
GSW105
HOU93
20 Feb 2014
GSW102
HOU99
13 Dec 2013
GSW112
HOU116
08 Mar 2013
GSW88
HOU94
12 Feb 2013
GSW107
HOU116
12 Feb 2012
GSW106
HOU97
20 Dec 2010
GSW112
HOU121
27 Oct 2010
GSW132
HOU128
03 Dec 2009
GSW109
HOU111
28 Oct 2009
GSW107
HOU108
10 Apr 2009
GSW109
HOU113
12 Dec 2008
GSW108
HOU119
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
L
118-123
118
123
-5
A08/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
111-106
111
106
+5
H11/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
101-89
101
89
+12
A14/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
W
128-118
128
118
+10
H17/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
105-127
105
127
-22
A22/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#2
L
108-111
108
111
-3
H24/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
122-131
122
131
-9
A25/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
W
134-114
134
114
+20
A27/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#9
W
119-114
119
114
+5
A29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
112-95
112
95
+17
H31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-36
19-21
36-29
32-37
24-25
37-31
28-25
22-25
29-29
21-34
22-13
29-13
35-26
32-32
38-33
23-27
33-34
19-32
16-36
37-25
34-33
22-27
34-24
18-27
25-22
29-35
38-45
30-29
28-32
32-24
40-28
34-30
30-23
34-25
29-33
26-33
15-38
38-15
32-27
27-15
228.6Avg total
115.8Scored
112.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)115.2110.8226.1+4.458%
Season at home (5)116.6105.6222.2+11.080%
Season away (7)114.3114.6228.9-0.343%
Last 10 (10)115.8112.8228.6+3.060%
Last 5 (5)119.0113.0232.0+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)105.3116.6221.9-11.30%
vs Similar (13)112.5113.4225.9-0.846%
vs Weaker (10)119.8116.4236.2+3.470%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
78-98
78
98
-20
H02/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
135-117
135
117
+18
A09/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
115-132
115
132
-17
H11/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
W
116-89
116
89
+27
H16/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
128-110
128
110
+18
H22/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
114-110
114
110
+4
A24/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#6
W
121-114
121
114
+7
A25/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#6
W
120-110
120
110
+10
H27/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#27
W
132-100
132
100
+32
A29/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
111-116
111
116
-5
A31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
13-26
24-22
23-27
27-19
38-26
34-35
36-37
27-28
24-30
34-37
30-37
33-15
21-32
25-22
37-20
32-26
38-12
30-38
28-34
32-27
29-32
24-22
29-29
30-26
29-22
33-33
29-33
32-35
31-31
28-19
29-25
23-21
34-14
38-34
37-31
20-27
31-17
33-32
27-40
226.6Avg total
117.0Scored
109.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)121.3110.9232.2+10.478%
Season at home (4)119.8110.2230.0+9.575%
Season away (5)122.6111.4234.0+11.280%
Last 10 (10)117.0109.6226.6+7.470%
Last 5 (5)119.6110.0229.6+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)118.6113.4232.0+5.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)116.6108.2224.8+8.468%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -0.8-0.8
Golden State WarriorsHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A08/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H11/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A14/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H17/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
52-66
52
66
-14
A22/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#2
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H24/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A25/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A27/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#9
W
64-48
64
48
+16
A29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H31/10
NBA
114.1Avg total
56.7Scored
57.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.657.2112.8-1.533%-
Last 30 at home (12)58.756.9115.6+1.842%-
Last 30 away (18)53.657.3110.9-3.728%-
Last 10 (10)56.757.4114.1-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)57.454.8112.2+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)52.156.6108.7-4.429%-
vs Similar (13)55.456.2111.6-0.823%-
vs Weaker (10)58.458.8117.2-0.450%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H02/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
65-45
65
45
+20
A09/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H11/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H16/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
70-38
70
38
+32
H22/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A24/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#6
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A25/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#6
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H27/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#27
W
57-35
57
35
+22
A29/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A31/10
NBA
105.1Avg total
56.2Scored
48.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.452.1109.5+5.367%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.854.1113.9+5.669%-
Last 30 away (14)54.849.8104.6+5.064%-
Last 10 (10)56.248.9105.1+7.370%-
Last 5 (5)58.250.4108.6+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)59.456.6116.0+2.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)57.051.2108.2+5.868%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 112.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.823.2
51.8%
54.0%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.814.8
38.1%
34.9%44.4
🏀 Free throws28.322.1
78.1%
76.2%22.1
They take 83.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 110.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.027.7
53.3%
54.0%55.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.411.1
33.2%
34.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws28.322.2
78.4%
76.2%22.2
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
WWWLLLWWWL
Houston Rockets
LWWWWWWLWL
#10
League position
#4
+2.9
Net rating
+1.8
102.7
Offensive rating
109.3
99.8
Defensive rating
107.5
54.3%
Effective FG%
51.9%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
16.5%
Turnover %
14.5%
7.4%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.1%
3-point %
33.2%
68.4%
Assist %
61.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.7 · 109.3Defence99.8 · 107.5Shooting54.3% · 51.9%3-point %38.1% · 33.2%Ball care16.5% · 14.5%Off. rebounds7.4% · 30.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HLos Angeles Lakers112-95
29/10/26AMinnesota Timberwolves119-114
27/10/26ADenver Nuggets134-114
25/10/26APhoenix Suns122-131
24/10/26HMemphis Grizzlies108-111
22/10/26ALos Angeles Lakers105-127
17/10/26HPortland Trail Blazers128-118
14/10/26ALos Angeles Lakers101-89
11/10/26HSacramento Kings111-106
08/10/26APortland Trail Blazers118-123
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26ADallas Mavericks111-116
29/10/26AMilwaukee Bucks132-100
27/10/26HAtlanta Hawks120-110
25/10/26AAtlanta Hawks121-114
24/10/26ASan Antonio Spurs114-110
22/10/26HDallas Mavericks128-110
16/10/26HOklahoma City Thunder116-89
11/10/26HDallas Mavericks115-132
09/10/26ADallas Mavericks135-117
02/05/26HLos Angeles Lakers78-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW58%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %58%80%43%
Points / game115.2116.6114.3
Allowed / game110.8105.6114.6
Point differential+4.4+11.0-0.3
Avg total226.1222.2228.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%60%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL78%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%75%80%
Points / game121.3119.8122.6
Allowed / game110.9110.2111.4
Point differential+10.4+9.5+11.2
Avg total232.2230.0234.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%75%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics98189%123.4110.0+13.4
2 Memphis Grizzlies98189%117.9108.2+9.7
3 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
4 Houston Rockets97278%121.3110.9+10.4
5 Portland Trail Blazers75271%120.3114.3+6.0
6 Atlanta Hawks117464%120.7115.7+5.0
7 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
8 Philadelphia 76ers106460%110.6111.0-0.4
9 Minnesota Timberwolves127558%118.8112.4+6.4
10 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
11 Orlando Magic95456%116.0117.8-1.8
12 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
13 Toronto Raptors105550%119.6111.5+8.1
14 San Antonio Spurs105550%115.5109.4+6.1
15 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
16 Cleveland Cavaliers84450%117.2118.2-1.0
17 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
18 Oklahoma City Thunder105550%109.0110.8-1.8
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 New Orleans Pelicans94544%115.4116.6-1.1
21 Utah Jazz94544%112.8115.6-2.8
22 Charlotte Hornets104640%97.0108.0-11.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
24 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
25 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
26 Indiana Pacers103730%117.9119.2-1.3
27 Milwaukee Bucks103730%111.4122.0-10.6
28 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings100100%106.5122.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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