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Gorica vs Bosco Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 93-89
22-23 14-21 27-24 30-21
Position#7
Record11-12
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game82.4
Gorica 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#13
Record6-17
FormLWWLL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game83.9
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 24· GSD Velika Gorica
Other2024-25
Meetings · Gorica v Bosco
05 Apr 2025
GORI93
BOSC89
26 Apr 2023
GORI80
BOSC96
15 Jan 2023
GORI67
BOSC73
13 Oct 2018
GORI98
BOSC68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bosco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Jazine
#5
L
76-102
76
102
-26
74avg 74
H25/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
98-106 OT
98
106
-8
95avg 74
A01/02
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
78-70
78
70
+8
73avg 74
H08/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
L
63-68
63
68
-5
55avg 74
A16/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
78-81
78
81
-3
68avg 74
H22/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
L
83-88
83
88
-5
74avg 74
A01/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
87-60
87
60
+27
86avg 74
H08/03
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
75-82
75
82
-7
71avg 74
A15/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
74-58
74
58
+16
67avg 74
H22/03
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
82-109
82
109
-27
70avg 74
H02/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
17-23
20-25
21-31
23-26
28-24
11-16
23-19
24-18
21-19
13-16
20-17
26-15
20-18
5-15
12-20
25-20
17-16
20-22
16-23
23-19
24-24
14-24
22-21
34-11
20-15
16-24
17-10
14-26
28-13
14-26
19-17
18-20
14-16
23-9
19-13
21-26
24-34
19-30
18-19
161.8Avg total
79.4Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.782.4162.1-2.848%
Season at home (11)84.082.5166.5+1.564%
Season away (12)75.782.4158.1-6.833%
Last 10 (10)79.482.4161.8-3.030%
Last 5 (5)80.279.4159.6+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.493.0171.4-14.618%
vs Similar (9)81.382.2163.6-0.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)78.969.2148.1+9.778%
This opponent (Bosco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BoscoCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBosco
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#6
L
92-108
92
108
-16
87avg 62
H25/01
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
L
78-84
78
84
-6
73avg 62
A02/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
74-71
74
71
+3
72avg 62
H08/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
W
81-79
81
79
+2
72avg 62
A15/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
70-64
70
64
+6
60avg 62
H25/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
L
72-74
72
74
-2
58avg 62
A01/03
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
65-57
65
57
+8
66avg 62
H08/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
73-65
73
65
+8
66avg 62
A15/03
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
80-87
80
87
-7
71avg 62
H22/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
72-87
72
87
-15
55avg 62
H29/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
25-23
19-34
25-23
17-26
26-18
26-21
9-19
15-17
16-18
21-19
22-17
17-29
21-10
21-27
22-13
18-19
17-12
10-22
25-11
15-17
19-14
19-22
19-21
22-10
14-9
12-22
17-16
17-24
17-19
24-13
15-9
18-25
27-18
20-22
15-22
16-20
29-22
16-20
11-25
153.3Avg total
75.7Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)73.983.9157.7-10.026%
Season at home (12)72.680.4153.0-7.833%
Season away (11)75.387.6162.9-12.418%
Last 10 (10)75.777.6153.3-1.950%
Last 5 (5)72.474.0146.4-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)70.292.0162.2-21.717%
vs Similar (6)79.578.2157.7+1.333%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
GoricaBosco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#5
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H25/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A01/02
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H08/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A16/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H22/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A01/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H08/03
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A15/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H22/03
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
45-60
45
60
-15
H02/04
Prva Liga
84.5Avg total
43.9Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.540.280.7+0.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.541.383.8+1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)38.539.177.7-0.667%-
Last 10 (10)43.940.684.5+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)44.040.884.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.645.382.9-7.627%-
vs Similar (9)40.438.378.8+2.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)43.935.078.9+8.989%-
This opponent (Bosco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BoscoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#6
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H25/01
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A02/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H08/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A15/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H25/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A01/03
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
36-19
36
19
+17
H08/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A15/03
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H22/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H29/03
Prva Liga
76.7Avg total
38.9Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.844.380.0-8.523%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.341.979.2-4.533%-
Last 30 away (15)34.246.780.9-12.513%-
Last 10 (10)38.937.876.7+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.835.674.4+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)35.445.380.8-9.921%-
vs Similar (6)37.240.077.2-2.833%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.118.9
47.1%
52.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.7
36.7%
33.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws16.812.1
72.0%
70.4%12.1
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boscotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bosco: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.422.5
54.3%
52.0%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.85.4
27.3%
33.7%16.2
🏀 Free throws19.513.9
71.3%
70.4%13.9
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gorica
LWLWLLLWLL
Bosco
LLWWLWWWLL
#7
League position
#13
-3.3
Net rating
-1.7
101.3
Offensive rating
100.7
104.6
Defensive rating
102.4
50.3%
Effective FG%
50.0%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
20.9%
Turnover %
16.9%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
22.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.7%
3-point %
27.3%
61.2%
Assist %
50.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 100.7Defence104.6 · 102.4Shooting50.3% · 50.0%3-point %36.7% · 27.3%Ball care20.9% · 16.9%Off. rebounds31.8% · 22.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Gorica   ■ Bosco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Gorica wins
4
Bosco wins
DateGameScore
07/01/25Bosco v Gorica49-74
26/04/23Gorica v Bosco80-96
29/03/23Bosco v Gorica107-80
15/01/23Gorica v Bosco67-73
23/10/22Bosco v Gorica82-78
26/01/19Bosco v Gorica73-96
13/10/18Gorica v Bosco98-68
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/25HSamobor82-109
22/03/25HOmis74-58
15/03/25ASonik Puntamika75-82
08/03/25HCrikvenica87-60
01/03/25AMladost83-88
22/02/25HKK Zagreb78-81
16/02/25AHermes63-68
08/02/25HDakovo78-70
01/02/25AMarsonia98-106 OT
25/01/25HJazine76-102
Boscolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25HKastela72-87
22/03/25HSamobor80-87
15/03/25AOmis73-65
08/03/25HSonik Puntamika65-57
01/03/25ACrikvenica72-74
25/02/25HMladost70-64
15/02/25AKK Zagreb81-79
08/02/25HHermes74-71
02/02/25ADakovo78-84
25/01/25HMarsonia92-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gorica
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL48%
HomeWLWWL64%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %48%64%33%
Points / game79.784.075.7
Allowed / game82.482.582.4
Point differential-2.8+1.5-6.8
Avg total162.1166.5158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%36%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %13%9%17%
Bosco
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL26%
HomeWWWLL33%
AwayLLWLW18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %26%33%18%
Points / game73.972.675.3
Allowed / game83.980.487.6
Point differential-10.0-7.8-12.4
Avg total157.7153.0162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor2320387%89.580.6+8.9
2 Mladost2317674%82.777.1+5.6
3 Kastela2316770%85.873.4+12.4
4 Skrljevo2316770%91.281.1+10.0
5 Jazine2316770%91.382.0+9.3
6 KK Zagreb23121152%78.777.8+0.8
7 Marsonia23121152%84.684.4+0.2
8 Gorica23111248%79.782.4-2.8
9 Sonik Puntamika23101343%73.775.4-1.7
10 Omis2391439%76.579.1-2.6
11 Crikvenica2371630%68.177.9-9.8
12 Bosco2361726%73.983.9-10.0
13 Dakovo2351822%76.686.3-9.7
14 Hermes2341917%77.488.1-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gorica2214273093
Bosco2321242189
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