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Gorica vs KK Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 78-81
25-20 17-16 20-22 16-23
Position#7
Record9-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game83.4
vs
Position#8
Record8-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game75.5
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 18· GSD Velika Gorica
Other2024-25
Meetings · Gorica v KK Zagreb
15 Nov 2025
GORI88
KK Z61
22 Feb 2025
GORI78
KK Z81
14 Oct 2023
GORI61
KK Z78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
KK Zagreb winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
74-69
74
69
+5
68avg 74
H30/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
57-80
57
80
-23
49avg 74
A07/12
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
65-77
65
77
-12
48avg 74
A13/12
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
74-49
74
49
+25
70avg 74
A07/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
80-78
80
78
+2
80avg 74
A11/01
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
W
111-104 OT
111
104
+7
111avg 74
H19/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
76-102
76
102
-26
74avg 74
H25/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
98-106 OT
98
106
-8
95avg 74
A01/02
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
78-70
78
70
+8
73avg 74
H08/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
L
63-68
63
68
-5
55avg 74
A16/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-23
24-13
19-23
19-10
12-21
11-18
11-24
23-17
9-25
23-20
10-19
23-13
24-14
7-14
21-10
22-11
21-23
17-14
19-21
23-20
20-22
25-12
15-21
23-28
18-23
17-23
20-25
21-31
23-26
28-24
11-16
23-19
24-18
21-19
13-16
20-17
26-15
20-18
5-15
12-20
157.9Avg total
77.6Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.683.4163.0-3.853%
Season at home (7)86.185.6171.7+0.671%
Season away (10)75.081.9156.9-6.940%
Last 10 (10)77.680.3157.9-2.750%
Last 5 (5)85.290.0175.2-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.088.5166.5-10.530%
vs Similar ◀ (7)81.782.9164.6-1.157%
vs Weaker (12)80.372.4152.8+7.975%
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KK ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#6
L
76-77
76
77
-1
73avg 70
A01/12
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
93-73
93
73
+20
90avg 70
H07/12
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
79-75
79
75
+4
75avg 70
A15/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
79-66
79
66
+13
70avg 70
H12/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
71-69
71
69
+2
64avg 70
H15/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
L
63-76
63
76
-13
55avg 70
A18/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
71-72 OT
71
72
-1
65avg 70
A26/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
86-67
86
67
+19
83avg 70
H01/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
64-95
64
95
-31
52avg 70
A08/02
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
L
79-81
79
81
-2
79avg 70
H15/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-11
20-20
18-33
21-13
22-17
21-15
30-19
20-22
18-11
21-18
21-24
19-22
18-20
21-14
21-20
19-12
27-17
13-22
16-16
15-14
16-20
14-18
20-20
13-18
19-15
11-18
19-15
12-13
23-22
18-13
19-19
26-13
20-23
13-22
17-32
14-18
29-17
10-21
27-21
13-22
151.2Avg total
76.1Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)75.375.5150.8-0.247%
Season at home (9)81.173.6154.7+7.667%
Season away (8)68.877.6146.4-8.925%
Last 10 (10)76.175.1151.2+1.050%
Last 5 (5)72.678.2150.8-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.882.7157.5-7.833%
vs Similar ◀ (10)74.773.0147.7+1.740%
vs Weaker (14)78.069.7147.7+8.371%
This opponent (Gorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.5+0.5
GoricaKK Zagreb
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H30/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A07/12
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A13/12
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A07/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A11/01
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H19/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H25/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A01/02
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H08/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A16/02
Prva Liga
76.7Avg total
38.2Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.839.879.5+0.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.140.983.0+1.350%-
Last 30 away (16)37.738.876.5-1.162%-
Last 10 (10)38.238.576.7-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)44.440.084.4+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.442.679.0-6.230%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)40.037.977.9+2.171%-
vs Weaker (12)42.237.880.0+4.575%-
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KK ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#6
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A01/12
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H07/12
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A15/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H12/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H15/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A18/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A26/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H01/02
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A08/02
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H15/02
Prva Liga
72.5Avg total
37.1Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.736.373.0+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.236.773.9+0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)36.235.972.1+0.353%-
Last 10 (10)37.135.472.5+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)34.637.872.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.339.779.0-0.350%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)33.534.868.3-1.340%-
vs Weaker (14)37.936.073.9+1.964%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.620.6
47.2%
52.0%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.8
34.2%
33.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws17.112.3
71.9%
70.4%12.3
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
KK Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KK Zagreb: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.8
52.4%
52.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.4
31.2%
33.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.010.3
60.6%
70.4%10.3
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gorica
LWLLWWWLLW
KK Zagreb
LLWLLWWWWL
#7
League position
#8
-4.1
Net rating
+0.8
96.1
Offensive rating
104.6
100.2
Defensive rating
103.7
48.6%
Effective FG%
50.1%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
21.1%
Turnover %
20.1%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
38.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.2%
3-point %
31.2%
64.1%
Assist %
59.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.1 · 104.6Defence100.2 · 103.7Shooting48.6% · 50.1%3-point %34.2% · 31.2%Ball care21.1% · 20.1%Off. rebounds28.1% · 38.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Gorica   ■ KK Zagreb
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Gorica wins
1
KK Zagreb wins
DateGameScore
09/11/24KK Zagreb v Gorica97-102 OT
24/01/24KK Zagreb v Gorica81-83 OT
14/10/23Gorica v KK Zagreb61-78
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/25AHermes63-68
08/02/25HDakovo78-70
01/02/25AMarsonia98-106 OT
25/01/25HJazine76-102
19/01/25HSkrljevo111-104 OT
11/01/25AKastela80-78
07/01/25ABosco74-49
13/12/24ASamobor65-77
07/12/24AOmis57-80
30/11/24HSonik Puntamika74-69
KK Zagreblast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25HBosco79-81
08/02/25ASamobor64-95
01/02/25HOmis86-67
26/01/25ASonik Puntamika71-72 OT
18/01/25ACrikvenica63-76
15/01/25HKastela71-69
12/01/25HMladost79-66
15/12/24AHermes79-75
07/12/24HDakovo93-73
01/12/24AMarsonia76-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gorica
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL53%
HomeLWWLW71%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %53%71%40%
Points / game79.686.175.0
Allowed / game83.485.681.9
Point differential-3.8+0.6-6.9
Avg total163.0171.7156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%29%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %18%14%20%
KK Zagreb
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL47%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %47%67%25%
Points / game75.381.168.8
Allowed / game75.573.677.6
Point differential-0.2+7.6-8.9
Avg total150.8154.7146.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %12%11%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor1715288%89.981.1+8.8
2 Mladost1713476%84.477.0+7.4
3 Jazine1712571%94.183.5+10.5
4 Kastela1711665%84.672.2+12.4
5 Skrljevo1711665%90.580.5+10.0
6 Marsonia1711665%87.583.7+3.8
7 Gorica179853%79.683.4-3.8
8 KK Zagreb178947%75.375.5-0.2
9 Sonik Puntamika1881044%73.773.9-0.2
10 Omis1871139%75.977.8-1.9
11 Crikvenica1751229%66.677.6-11.1
12 Dakovo1741324%77.486.1-8.7
13 Bosco1731418%74.587.9-13.4
14 Hermes1731418%76.790.2-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gorica2517201678
KK Zagreb2016222381
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