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Hermes vs Gorica Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 68-63
15-26 18-20 15-5 20-12
Position#14
Record2-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game91.9
Hermes 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#7
Record9-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game84.4
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 17· Kosarkaski centar Drazen Petrovic
Other2024-25
Meetings · Hermes v Gorica
16 Feb 2025
HERM68
GORI63
17 Feb 2024
HERM89
GORI84
07 Feb 2021
HERM88
GORI115
11 Jan 2020
HERM82
GORI117
06 Apr 2019
HERM90
GORI109
12 Jan 2019
HERM73
GORI89
18 Mar 2017
HERM99
GORI73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hermes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gorica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermes
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#6
L
71-93
71
93
-22
66avg 75
H23/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
L
80-101
80
101
-21
77avg 75
A30/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
64-127
64
127
-63
46avg 75
A07/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
75-79
75
79
-4
70avg 75
H15/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
L
80-89
80
89
-9
70avg 75
A22/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
L
68-74
68
74
-6
64avg 75
H11/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
80-94
80
94
-14
74avg 75
A19/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
65-79
65
79
-14
65avg 75
A25/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
94-100
94
100
-6
86avg 75
H01/02
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
L
71-74
71
74
-3
61avg 75
A08/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
16-27
15-28
18-22
20-22
12-14
33-35
15-30
19-38
12-29
11-29
22-31
11-18
18-21
24-21
22-19
23-21
15-26
22-14
20-28
17-22
20-13
15-20
16-19
20-32
21-13
19-29
20-20
19-22
15-20
18-19
13-18
24-23
17-26
23-23
30-28
17-15
18-16
19-21
17-22
165.8Avg total
74.8Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.291.9169.1-14.612%
Season at home (7)79.685.6165.1-6.029%
Season away (9)75.496.8172.2-21.30%
Last 10 (10)74.891.0165.8-16.20%
Last 5 (5)75.684.2159.8-8.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)78.194.8172.9-16.812%
vs Similar (6)82.886.0168.8-3.233%
vs Weaker (7)94.186.7180.9+7.457%
This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#11
L
55-68
55
68
-13
46avg 75
A23/11
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
74-69
74
69
+5
68avg 75
H30/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
57-80
57
80
-23
49avg 75
A07/12
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
65-77
65
77
-12
48avg 75
A13/12
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
74-49
74
49
+25
70avg 75
A07/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
80-78
80
78
+2
80avg 75
A11/01
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
W
111-104 OT
111
104
+7
111avg 75
H19/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
76-102
76
102
-26
74avg 75
H25/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
98-106 OT
98
106
-8
95avg 75
A01/02
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
78-70
78
70
+8
73avg 75
H08/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
19-14
10-13
9-24
12-23
24-13
19-23
19-10
12-21
11-18
11-24
23-17
9-25
23-20
10-19
23-13
24-14
7-14
21-10
22-11
21-23
17-14
19-21
23-20
20-22
25-12
15-21
23-28
18-23
17-23
20-25
21-31
23-26
28-24
11-16
23-19
24-18
21-19
13-16
20-17
157.1Avg total
76.8Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.684.4165.0-3.856%
Season at home (7)86.185.6171.7+0.671%
Season away (9)76.383.4159.8-7.144%
Last 10 (10)76.880.3157.1-3.550%
Last 5 (5)88.692.0180.6-3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.088.5166.5-10.530%
vs Similar (8)84.484.2168.6+0.162%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)81.972.8154.7+9.182%
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +1.6+1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +1.6+1.6
HermesGorica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H23/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A30/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
31-67
31
67
-36
A07/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H15/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A22/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H11/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A19/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A25/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H01/02
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A08/02
Prva Liga
79.0Avg total
35.6Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.644.285.8-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.842.886.6+1.050%-
Last 30 away (16)39.745.485.1-5.731%-
Last 10 (10)35.643.479.0-7.820%-
Last 5 (5)37.640.478.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)38.648.386.9-9.712%-
vs Similar (6)41.839.080.8+2.867%-
vs Weaker (7)48.738.687.3+10.186%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#11
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A23/11
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H30/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A07/12
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A13/12
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A07/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A11/01
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H19/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H25/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A01/02
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H08/02
Prva Liga
75.5Avg total
37.2Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.140.480.5-0.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.141.584.6+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)37.139.276.3-2.160%-
Last 10 (10)37.238.375.5-1.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.840.883.6+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.442.679.0-6.230%-
vs Similar (8)42.039.581.5+2.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.938.280.1+3.773%-
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hermes: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.1 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.716.6
50.8%
52.0%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.911.1
35.9%
33.7%33.3
🏀 Free throws11.57.1
61.7%
70.4%7.1
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.820.3
47.4%
52.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.6
33.2%
33.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws17.912.7
70.9%
70.4%12.7
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hermes
LLLLLLLLLL
Gorica
WLLWWWLLWL
#14
League position
#7
-22.9
Net rating
-5.1
101.5
Offensive rating
95.3
124.3
Defensive rating
100.5
52.3%
Effective FG%
48.2%
57.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
19.1%
Turnover %
21.2%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.9%
3-point %
33.2%
67.5%
Assist %
65.2%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 95.3Defence124.3 · 100.5Shooting52.3% · 48.2%3-point %35.9% · 33.2%Ball care19.1% · 21.2%Off. rebounds27.8% · 27.5%Free throws0.18 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)0% · 50%
■ Hermes   ■ Gorica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hermes wins
9
Gorica wins
DateGameScore
02/11/24Gorica v Hermes95-80
17/02/24Hermes v Gorica89-84
11/11/23Gorica v Hermes99-87
29/03/21Gorica v Hermes97-65
07/02/21Hermes v Gorica88-115
24/11/20Gorica v Hermes113-67
11/01/20Hermes v Gorica82-117
19/10/19Gorica v Hermes85-66
06/04/19Hermes v Gorica90-109
12/01/19Hermes v Gorica73-89
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25ABosco71-74
01/02/25HSamobor94-100
25/01/25AOmis65-79
19/01/25ASonik Puntamika80-94
11/01/25HCrikvenica68-74
22/12/24AMladost80-89
15/12/24HKK Zagreb75-79
07/12/24AKastela64-127
30/11/24ADakovo80-101
23/11/24HMarsonia71-93
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HDakovo78-70
01/02/25AMarsonia98-106 OT
25/01/25HJazine76-102
19/01/25HSkrljevo111-104 OT
11/01/25AKastela80-78
07/01/25ABosco74-49
13/12/24ASamobor65-77
07/12/24AOmis57-80
30/11/24HSonik Puntamika74-69
23/11/24ACrikvenica55-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hermes
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeLLLLL29%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %12%29%0%
Points / game77.279.675.4
Allowed / game91.985.696.8
Point differential-14.6-6.0-21.3
Avg total169.1165.1172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gorica
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW56%
HomeLWWLW71%
AwayLLWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %56%71%44%
Points / game80.686.176.3
Allowed / game84.485.683.4
Point differential-3.8+0.6-7.1
Avg total165.0171.7159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%29%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %19%14%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor1615194%90.080.2+9.8
2 Jazine1612475%94.683.2+11.4
3 Mladost1612475%83.876.3+7.4
4 Kastela1611569%85.972.1+13.8
5 Skrljevo1711665%90.580.5+10.0
6 Marsonia1610662%87.483.6+3.8
7 Gorica169756%80.684.4-3.8
8 KK Zagreb178947%75.375.5-0.2
9 Sonik Puntamika167944%74.173.6+0.4
10 Omis1761135%75.178.4-3.2
11 Crikvenica1751229%66.677.6-11.1
12 Dakovo1741324%77.486.1-8.7
13 Bosco1731418%74.587.9-13.4
14 Hermes1621412%77.291.9-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hermes1518152068
Gorica262051263
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