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Gorica vs Samobor Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 02 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 82-109
21-26 24-34 19-30 18-19
Position#7
Record11-11
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Samobor 🏆
Croatia
Position#1
Record19-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game80.5
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 23· GSD Velika Gorica
Other2024-25
Meetings · Gorica v Samobor
02 Apr 2025
GORI82
SAMO109
16 Mar 2024
GORI80
SAMO85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samobor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#4
W
111-104 OT
111
104
+7
111avg 75
H19/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
76-102
76
102
-26
74avg 75
H25/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
98-106 OT
98
106
-8
95avg 75
A01/02
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
78-70
78
70
+8
73avg 75
H08/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
L
63-68
63
68
-5
55avg 75
A16/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
78-81
78
81
-3
68avg 75
H22/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
L
83-88
83
88
-5
74avg 75
A01/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
87-60
87
60
+27
86avg 75
H08/03
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
75-82
75
82
-7
71avg 75
A15/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
74-58
74
58
+16
67avg 75
H22/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
25-12
15-21
23-28
18-23
17-23
20-25
21-31
23-26
28-24
11-16
23-19
24-18
21-19
13-16
20-17
26-15
20-18
5-15
12-20
25-20
17-16
20-22
16-23
23-19
24-24
14-24
22-21
34-11
20-15
16-24
17-10
14-26
28-13
14-26
19-17
18-20
14-16
23-9
19-13
164.2Avg total
82.3Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.581.2160.8-1.750%
Season at home (10)84.279.8164.0+4.470%
Season away (12)75.782.4158.1-6.833%
Last 10 (10)82.381.9164.2+0.440%
Last 5 (5)79.473.8153.2+5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)78.091.4169.4-13.420%
vs Similar (9)81.382.2163.6-0.944%
vs Weaker (10)79.570.0149.5+9.580%
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#6
W
100-80
100
80
+20
102avg 81
H19/01
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
75avg 81
H25/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
100-94
100
94
+6
98avg 81
A01/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
W
95-64
95
64
+31
89avg 81
H08/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
L
88-94
88
94
-6
84avg 81
A16/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
68-66
68
66
+2
61avg 81
H23/02
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
82-70
82
70
+12
81avg 81
A01/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
90-95
90
95
-5
80avg 81
H08/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
95-83
95
83
+12
90avg 81
H16/03
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
87-80
87
80
+7
79avg 81
A22/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
25-24
28-7
25-25
29-16
22-21
14-15
19-27
23-24
26-17
23-23
28-30
23-20
22-13
32-17
18-14
22-22
31-31
19-21
16-20
18-18
15-18
19-12
16-18
25-19
18-19
18-9
21-23
22-30
19-21
22-18
27-26
25-14
35-25
16-23
19-21
25-18
18-27
22-20
22-15
169.4Avg total
88.9Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)88.680.5169.2+8.186%
Season at home (12)87.776.6164.2+11.192%
Season away (10)89.885.3175.1+4.580%
Last 10 (10)88.980.5169.4+8.480%
Last 5 (5)84.478.8163.2+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.782.3157.0-7.733%
vs Similar (6)92.590.7183.2+1.883%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)88.778.7167.4+10.090%
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.8-0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.8-0.8
GoricaSamobor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#4
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H19/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H25/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A01/02
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H08/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A16/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H22/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A01/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H08/03
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A15/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H22/03
Prva Liga
81.9Avg total
43.9Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.539.680.1+1.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.540.082.5+2.553%-
Last 30 away (15)38.539.177.7-0.667%-
Last 10 (10)43.938.081.9+5.980%-
Last 5 (5)43.436.079.4+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)36.943.880.7-6.930%-
vs Similar (9)40.438.378.8+2.167%-
vs Weaker (10)44.135.579.6+8.690%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H19/01
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H25/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A01/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H08/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A16/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H23/02
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A01/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H08/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
60-39
60
39
+21
H16/03
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A22/03
Prva Liga
88.6Avg total
46.5Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.441.486.8+3.957%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.139.885.9+6.265%-
Last 30 away (13)44.543.588.0+0.946%-
Last 10 (10)46.542.188.6+4.450%-
Last 5 (5)44.041.885.8+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.343.083.3-2.733%-
vs Similar (6)48.242.290.3+6.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.540.886.2+4.860%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.719.5
47.9%
52.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.6
37.4%
33.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.314.1
73.1%
70.4%14.1
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.824.4
58.4%
52.0%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.1
32.2%
33.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws16.812.2
72.6%
70.4%12.2
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gorica
WLWLLLWLLW
Samobor
WWLWWLWWWW
#7
League position
#1
+1.0
Net rating
+11.5
103.0
Offensive rating
113.0
102.0
Defensive rating
101.4
51.1%
Effective FG%
54.3%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
20.8%
Turnover %
14.8%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.4%
3-point %
32.2%
61.9%
Assist %
62.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 113.0Defence102.0 · 101.4Shooting51.1% · 54.3%3-point %37.4% · 32.2%Ball care20.8% · 14.8%Off. rebounds31.5% · 28.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Gorica   ■ Samobor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gorica wins
3
Samobor wins
DateGameScore
13/12/24Samobor v Gorica77-65
16/03/24Gorica v Samobor80-85
10/12/23Samobor v Gorica85-74
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/25HOmis74-58
15/03/25ASonik Puntamika75-82
08/03/25HCrikvenica87-60
01/03/25AMladost83-88
22/02/25HKK Zagreb78-81
16/02/25AHermes63-68
08/02/25HDakovo78-70
01/02/25AMarsonia98-106 OT
25/01/25HJazine76-102
19/01/25HSkrljevo111-104 OT
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/25ABosco87-80
16/03/25HKastela95-83
08/03/25HOmis90-95
01/03/25ASonik Puntamika82-70
23/02/25HCrikvenica68-66
16/02/25AMladost88-94
08/02/25HKK Zagreb95-64
01/02/25AHermes100-94
25/01/25HDakovo84-79
19/01/25HMarsonia100-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gorica
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeLWLWW70%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %50%70%33%
Points / game79.584.275.7
Allowed / game81.279.882.4
Point differential-1.7+4.4-6.8
Avg total160.8164.0158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%40%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %14%10%17%
Samobor
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWWLW92%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %86%92%80%
Points / game88.687.789.8
Allowed / game80.576.685.3
Point differential+8.1+11.1+4.5
Avg total169.2164.2175.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%50%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)75% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor2219386%88.680.5+8.1
2 Mladost2317674%82.777.1+5.6
3 Kastela2316770%85.873.4+12.4
4 Skrljevo2316770%91.281.1+10.0
5 Jazine2316770%91.382.0+9.3
6 KK Zagreb23121152%78.777.8+0.8
7 Marsonia23121152%84.684.4+0.2
8 Gorica22111150%79.581.2-1.7
9 Sonik Puntamika23101343%73.775.4-1.7
10 Omis2391439%76.579.1-2.6
11 Crikvenica2371630%68.177.9-9.8
12 Bosco2361726%73.983.9-10.0
13 Dakovo2351822%76.686.3-9.7
14 Hermes2341917%77.488.1-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gorica2124191882
Samobor26343019109
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